Barcelona v AC Milan Betting Odds & Preview – Champions League – 03.04.12

AC Milan uphill battle against Barcelona strong home record

Andres Iniesta (Barcelona)

Barcelona v AC Milan Betting for the second leg of the Champions League quarter final in nicely poised at 0-0 after the first leg. If you had done your Correct Score, Half Time/Full Time or Scorecast betting at Bet365, then you will have gotten your lost stakes refunded on them. That is because Bet365 offer lost stake refunds on those markets, if the game ends 0-0 in regulation time. This great football betting promotion applies to all matches listed on Bet365 and is well worth taking advantage of. These two European giants square off again, in what will be the fourth coming together in the Champions League this season. So far there has been two draws and the one win for Barcelona, but they have all been tight games, and in the high pressured situation in the Nou Camp for Barcelona v AC Milan, will we see the Catalans frustrated again by the Italians? If so, then it will be worth taking the coverage again with Bet365.


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Barcelona v AC Milan Betting Odds
Barcelona: 3/10 at Paddy Power
Draw: 5/1 at Bet365
AC Milan: 11/1 at Bet Victor

Well the two sides are at a stalemate after the first match in Milan last week, but it was a match that Barcelona did have the better of. Both Lionel Messi and Xavi were in outstanding form, but they just couldn’t pry a stubborn and hard working AC Milan defence open. They will be favourites to progress through to the semi final especially at the Nou Camp, where they have a strong home record. If they make it through the semi finals for the fifth time in a row, they will equal Real Madrid’s record of the same achievement. It is the home record here which we have to look at for Barcelona v AC Milan betting. Barcelona have not lost at home in Europe since 2009, that is a run of fourteen home fixtures, and twelve of those have produced victories. So that record alone, and Barcelona’s outstanding class suggests that AC Milan are going to be in for a long night.

Just to further enhance Barcelona’s case here, they have won 13 out of 11 quarter finals in the European Cup, and they have won their last five quarter final ties. So a very strong record, and against Italian sides at the Nou Camp, Barcelona have a W10 D5 L2 record. At home in La Liga, Barcelona have won fourteen, drawn one and lost none, and they have conceded just eight goals all season there, and they average four goals per game going forward. The presence of Lionel Messi of course will be huge, and he will be worth looking at in the goalscorer markets. Messi is 2/1 at Bet365 in the First Goalscorer market. Barcelona just look too strong, because they have the extra creativity and strength in their side on the evidence of the first leg, but they have to be wary, because the Italians did play a smart game and had a chance to steal a narrow win themselves.

AC Milan did earn a 2-2 draw at the Nou Camp on match day one, but they have not managed to win in Europe away from home this season. It was their defence, marshalled by veteran Alessandro Nesta. Milan worked Barcelona high up the pitch, trying to stop the Spaniards from relaxing on the ball from the back. It did work to a certain degree, but AC Milan did find themselves struggling to make a big impact going forward, which was disappointing at home. AC Milan managed only 38% of possession on their home turf, so that paints a big picture, and while they worked hard, they didn’t threaten a great deal, and you expect them to have to work even harder on Tuesday night in Barcelona v AC Milan betting. AC Milan’s overall away record in Spain is W4 D6 L10, and as mentioned, they haven’t won in the Champions League this season away from home. They posted three draws in the group stage, and then suffered a 3-0 against Arsenal in the round of sixteen.

The winner of this tie will face the winner of Chelsea or Benfica in the semi finals.