Betting strategies for the new season.
Well the hysteria is over.(After 4 mins for us).
Now we can look forward to the coming season.
It’s never the wrong time to bring up a couple of old rules.
Discipline.
Without it you’ll never make your betting pay.
Decide upon your plan and keep to it. Changing horses in midstream is unlikely to
work. Always have more than one string to your bow. Having just one strategy at your
disposal is short sighted.
Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Stick to your staking plan. If you haven’t
got one you’re playing with fire.
Always be aware of your cash balance. To make certain you’re up to the mark on this chore keep a record of each and every bet you make. If nothing else it will show you which types of bets are your good ones and which you should consign to the wastepaper basket.
The other rules. More of the same. DISCIPLINE, DISCIPLINE and more DISCIPLINE.
I’ve been on the look-out for new strategies, or old ones that can be tweaked.
Lay the Draw is as old as the hills but I’ve mentioned elsewhere that it can be updated somewhat by waiting until around the 40th minute to place your bet. Then there is every likelihood of a goal before half-time. Check the stats for individual teams and their scoring habits. You’ll be surprised how many make a habit of scoring just before the break.
For those who are more adventurous, look for a draw at 70 minutes. Often at this stage of play the draw will be on offer at a more appetising LAY price of around 2.00 or even lower.
Just check your stats for teams that make a habit of scoring late-on.
A different strategy I will be watching closely is the ODDS/EVENS GOALS.
It will in the main require using a "normal" bookmaker and an Exchange.
Providing you’re not looking to make a "mint" from these bets, a good solid but fair return can be obtained.
There are two approaches. First you back ODDS with the bookmaker and then 0 – 0,1 – 1, 2 – 0, 0 – 2, 2 – 2 on the Exchange.
Here is where you need to use your expertise.
I’ve just checked one of tonight’s games and the ODD GOALS are on offer at 1.95. The six correct scores could be DUTCHED with the 1.95 but would only return a little over 5%. However if you decide you know the winner and expect goals to be scored, it’s reasonable to discard 0 – 0 and 0 – 2 but add 3 – 1.
The second approach is, of course, to back EVENS, usually on offer at 1.90. The correct scores that go with this are, 1 – 0, 0 – 1, 2 -1, 1- 2, 3 -2 and 2 – 3. using the full set of scores would only return a miserly 5. 01%.
Obviously it’s a case of taking a view and disarding the most unlikely scores. 3 – 2 and 2 – 3 are most unlikely.
The secret with this strategy is to choose your games carefully. Check out HEAD to HEAD results looking for low scoring matches. the signs are usually staring you in the face.
As with all my strategies, all I can offer are the bare bones. Circumstances, and your own knowledge will help devise your own way of weighing up the pros and cons.
For interest, the game mentioned above ended 2 – 0.
