Bournemouth cut to 3/4 odds-on for Premier League relegation

Bookies give Bournemouth a 65% chance (approximately) of getting relegated after latest defeat

Callum Wilson / Bournemouth ©imago images / Xinhua 08.01.2020

On February 16th 2020, Bournemouth were 5/4 odds-against in Premier League relegation betting at Betfair. Less than a month later and the Cherries have been cut to 8/15 to take the drop* (betting odds taken from Betfair at 01:47 GMT on Monday, March 8th, 2020).

The road to Premier League survival for Eddie Howe’s men is fraught with dangers.

Premier League Relegation Odds

Norwich 1/25
Aston Villa 4/7
Bournemouth 8/15
West Ham 9/5
Watford 21/10
Brighton 11/4
25/1 bar
* (betting odds taken from Betfair at 01:47 GMT on Monday, March 8th, 2020)

EPL relegation Betting at Betfair

Defeat by Liverpool increases relegation chances

Bournemouth suffered a 2-1 loss at Liverpool on the weekend, leaving them with just the one point collected in their last four league outings. Granted it was a game that few would have expected them to win, but it was another game chalked off for the season.

With their away form in the gutter, the Cherries may have to lean heavily on their form back at the Vitality Stadium between now and the end of the season to get safe.

They are unbeaten in their last three home league games (W2 D1), scoring at least two goals in each of those. So there is at least a glimmer of survival hope there for them.

Next Two Home Games Crucial

The next two home games that Bournemouth will go into are going to be massively crucial for them. They host Crystal Palace and Newcastle in their next two matches on the south coast, with a trip to Wolverhampton sandwiching those fixtures.

In such a congested, tense battle for survival, a couple of wins would be massive. It’s not that Bournemouth are trying to make up big gaps in points to get safe. Despite them finishing the weekend third from bottom, they sit level on points with West Ham and Watford and just two behind Brighton.

The Cherries are currently 7/5 To Stay Up* (betting odds taken from Betfair at 01:47 GMT on Monday, March 8th, 2020).

Four-cast not so good for April

Looking a little further down the line, there is a tough run of four games on the horizon for Bournemouth. A run which could make or break them.

Starting on April 11th they will face Manchester United, Tottenham, Leicester and Manchester City in consecutive matches.

They will only have two games of the season left after that sequence.

Considering that Man Utd, Spurs and Leicester are all in a tussle to get themselves into a strong top-four finish alongside Liverpool and Man City, that’s a bit of a nightmare scenario for the Cherries.

Bournemouth’s form against current top-eight sides this season home and away is D2 D2 L7.

Away-day blues

Bournemouth’s record on the road in this season’s Premier League is W3 D1 L11. Sizing up the four remaining away fixtures that they have while being reminded of their overall road form, things look dire there for them as well.

During the end-of-season run-in, they will hit the road to face Wolves, Manchester United, Manchester City and Everton. The Cherries are currently on a six-match losing streak away from home in the EPL. None of those remaining away games look like good opportunities to earn points in.

Pressure building and building

Bournemouth are trouble looking at what is to come. Their away form doesn’t help. The Cherries have only scored two goals in their last six away games in total.

Those current odds of 8/15 on a Bournemouth Relegation represent around a 65% chance that the bookmakers are giving them of getting relegated* (betting odds taken from Betfair at 01:47 GMT on Monday, March 8th, 2020)..