Brighton v Derby Betting Preview – Championship 10th March 3.00pm
A big chance for Brighton to get some pressure back onto leaders Newcastle. The Seagulls managed to arrest a little slump that they hit with a midweek win at Rotherham and now go into this Friday night fixture with just a three point deficit to Newcastle. So the Seagulls can make a big hole in that and they have been pretty immense on the south coast with just one loss in their last fifteen on home soil, which came against Newcastle. As for Derby, they have been struggling for wins lately and with some poor away form in the bag, are likely to succumb to Brighton’s huge need for three points.
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Brighton v Derby Betting Tips
Brighton hit a bit of a speed bump in their quest to land the Championship title as they suffered back to back defeats against Newcastle and Nottingham Forest. But they regained a little ground in the midweek round of games as they took a win at Rotherham while Newcastle couldn’t find a way past Reading. So Brighton are now just the three points behind leaders Newcastle and they can heap some pressure back on the Magpies with a win on Friday night at home against the Rams. They have been an immense side at home in the Championship this season with a record of W13 D3 L2 at home soil. Brighton have suffered just the one defeat in their last fifteen league games on the south coast and that was against Newcastle in the high profile clash at the end of February. Brights are on a fifteen match scoring streak at home so they will be expected to find a way through the Rams.
A Brighton 1-0 correct score at Bet365 for the game is trading at a price of 5/1 and that looks to be some value for punters, because the Rams will offer up some resistance in this one. There was a 0-0 draw played out between the two of them on the opening weekend of the season at Pride Park and each of the last three between them now have ended in a draw. Brighton though have remained unbeaten in a W2 D3 record in their last five overall against the Rams so are carrying form. Brighton have bagged at least two goals in three of their last five against Derby now too. The Seagulls have only conceded 11 goals on home soil in the Championship this season and only 56% of their game there have gone over the 2.5 goal line. So under 2.5 goals at Bet365 for a quote of 4/6 should have big appeal. In the anytime goalscorer market there is a price of 7/5 on Glenn Murray with Tomer Hemed at 8/5. Big game for the Seagulls to start building momentum with again.
Derby aren’t running in the kind of form that suggests that they will spring a surprise in this one. They have been stuttering badly since the start of February really with only a W1 D3 L4 record on the board in their last eight league games. They have lost their last three out on her road with consecutive 1-0 scorelines, so there is that result again. Derby have only scored in two of their last five league games and that suggests that they are going to have a tough time in breaking down Brighton’s good home defence. Away from home this season in the Championship, Derby have posted a W6 D3 L8 record so they haven’t been great. In their last seven on the road they have returned a miserable W1 D1 L5 record. David Nugent and Darren bent are 3/1 anytime goalscorer options for them on Friday night but they have their work cut out for them as an offensive unit. Both teams not to score at Bet365 for a price of even money looks a sound punt. It’s hard to see Derby winning this one, but they may set their stall out for a point.
Brighton v Derby Betting Odds
Brighton 19/20, Draw 13/5, Derby 7/2
Brighton v Derby Predictions
This is probably going to be a low scoring affair as Derby aren’t all that bad defensively. However, the Rams have lost four of their last six away games by a 1-0 scoreline and backing Brighton to get the three points by that return looks huge value. Brighton have been fantastic on the south coast and the poor away form of the Rams isn’t likely to disrupt their chances at all in this one. Look for the home win and under 2.5 goals on the match as well.
