Burnley v Arsenal Predictions & Betting Odds – 12th May 2019

Clarets can raise their game against the Gunners

Burnley © GEPA pictures

Burnley v Arsenal Betting Tips – Premier League, 12th May 3.00pm

Burnley have just lost their way again with only one point earned from their last three Premier League fixtures. However, they get the chance to sign off for the season in style at home. The Clarets will be taking on an Arsenal side who are in a terrible mess at the moment and who last weekend, threw away their chance of earning a top-four finish. The Gunners do still have a chance to defend fifth place over Manchester United. Read our predictions for Burnley v Arsenal.

Burnley v Arsenal Betting Odds*

Arsenal 11/10
Burnley 11/5
Draw 11/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)

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Burnley News and Form

Burnley have suffered back to back league defeats, not scoring a goal in either of those losses. On home soil in this season’s top flight, the Clarets have produced the seven wins (D2 L9), but five of those have been since December 30th. Against the top six sides at Turf Moor this season, Burnley have only come up with a W1 L4 record in such games.

The one game in that sequence which they did win was against Spurs. Burnley have averaged 1.3 goals per home fixture but in each of their last five home Premier League games, they have scored exactly two goals. Burnley were on a twelve match scoring streak on home soil, before they were shut out in a loss against Man City in their last home game.

Burnley to beat Arsenal



Burnley are W2 L3 in their last five home games, with the two wins in that sequence, both being 2-0 wins over Wolves and Cardiff. Burnley picked up a clean sheet in 28% of their home league fixtures, with each of their last three going under 2.5 goals. Six of Burnley’s nine home losses this season have been by a margin of at least two goals, so they have had defensive struggles.

Burnley have scored 61% of their home goals in the first period of games. Just the bottom three teams, along with Bournemouth are the ones to have conceded more league goals than Burnley have done in the Premier League. Burnley start the weekend in 15th place and will either finish there or one place either way.

Burnley v Arsenal Head to Head

Arsenal were 3-1 winners at home over Burnley in December
The Gunners are on a nine-match winning streak against the Clarets
Burnley have lost their last three home games 1-0 against Arsenal
Both teams have scored in three of the last eight meetings


Key-Facts – Burnley v Arsenal

  • The Clarets have scored in 12 of their last 13 home games
  • Burnley have the fourth-worst defensive record in the EPL
  • Arsenal have lost four of their last six league games


Arsenal News and Form

All that Arsenal could come up with last weekend was a draw against Brighton. That was a costly result for them too because it’s unlikely that they will make the final four in the table. In order to that, they have to claim maximum points, hope that Spurs lose and overturn an 8-goal deficit to the Lilywhites in the process.

Arsenal have really suffered with their league form at the end of the season, going just W1 D1 L4 in their last six league games now. Most of their troubles have come away from home as well where they are on a three-match losing streak, scoring just the one goal in that sequence.

It’s worth bearing in mind that Arsenal had extra work in midweek as they went to Valencia and recorded a win there reach the Europa League final. So that is where their big focus will be now as winning that trophy will get them to the Champions League next season. 72% of Arsenal’s league away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals.

The Gunners have only taken one clean sheet away from home this season, which was a 1-0 success at Watford in mid-April. Both teams have scored in 78% of Arsenal’s away games. Arsenal have averaged 1.5 goals per game on the road, conceding at an average of 1.9 per game. Five of their six away wins have been by a one-goal margin.

Burnley v Arsenal Tips & Odds

Both teams to score at 8/15
Burnley – Draw Double Chance at 3/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)

Burnley v Arsenal Predictions

Burnley to win: Burnley at home on the final day of the season taking on an Arsenal side who had just crumbled in defence seems like a reasonable enough opportunity to back the Clarets in a double chance bet. Arsenal’s form just makes them so untrustworthy.

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