Cheltenham Tuesday 14.50 Betting: Notebook working to fine margins at 3/1 with Betway

Notebook fairly priced to extend unbeaten record over fences

Cheltenham Festival

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Arkle Trophy Recent Winners

Year Winner Age Jockey Trainer
2019 Duc Des Genievres 6 P Townend W Mullins
2018 Footpad 6 R Walsh W Mullins
2017 Altior 7 N de Boinville N Henderson
2016 Douvan 6 R Walsh W Mullins
2015 Un De Sceaux 7 R Walsh W Mullins
2014 Western Warhorse 6 T Scudamore D Pipe
2013 Simonsig 7 B Geraghty N Henderson
2012 Sprinter Sacre 7 B Geraghty N Henderson
2011 Captain Chris 7 R Johnson P Hobbs
2010 Sizing Europe 8 A Lynch H De Bromhead
2009 Forpadydeplasterer 7 B Geraghty T Cooper
2008 Tidal Bay 7 D O’Regan H Johnson
2007 My Way De Solzen 7 R Thornton A King
2006 Voy Por Ustedes 5 R Thornton A King
2005 Contraband 7 T Murphy M Pipe
2004 Well Chief 5 A McCoy M Pipe
2003 Azertyuiop 6 R Walsh P Nicholls
2002 Moscow Flyer 8 B Geraghty J Harrington
2001 NO RACE
2000 Tiutchev 7 M Fitzgerald N Henderson
1999 Flagship Uberalles 5 J Tizzard P Nicholls

Arkle Trophy Trends

  • 95 per cent of the last 20 winners started at 9/1 or lower.
  • 100 per cent of the last 10 winners had won their previous race.
  • 92 per cent of the last 13 winners were aged six or seven.
  • 80 per cent of the last 15 winners had placed at Cheltenham before.
  • 80 per cent of the last 15 winners had won a chase at Grade 1 or Grade 2 level.
    Horse Racing Betting at Betvictor

Arkle Trophy Current Best Odds

Notebook 3/1
Fakir D’Oudairies 4/1
Brewin’upastorm 6/1
Cash Back 13/2
Maire Banrigh 12/1
Esprit Du Large 14/1
Global Citizen and Rouge Vif 16/1
Put The Kettle On 18/1
Al Dancer 20/1
Our Merlin 200/1
(Odds correct at 11.30 GMT, March 9)

Formbook points to Notebook

NOTEBOOK has a perfect record over fences.
He’s won twice at premier Irish tracks Punchestown and Leopardstown, though didn’t have much to spare over market rivals Fakir D’Oudairies and Cash Back in Grade 1 races the last twice.
There is a question mark over his temperament with regard to the extended preliminaries as he bolted on the way to the start last time but the 3/1 with Betvictor could be worth checking out if the lid is kept on.

Accurate jumping could see O’Brien challenger go close

Though only five, Fakir D’Oudairies has taken to fences like a duck to water.
Cheltenham’s fences can catch out the over-exuberant but he’ll be tough to pass if getting into a rhythm, though is only five and was beaten fair and square by Notebook at Leopardstown – a best 4/1.

Cash back from Cash Back?

Willie Mullins has won four of the last five runnings of the Arkle Trophy and relies this year on Cash Back.
A general 13/2, he was beaten less than a length by Notebook when on a hat-trick at Leopardstown but, aged eight, is a little older than the ideal for this novices’ race.
He is having a first run in the UK so remains something of an unknown quantity and it would be no surprise to see him tried over a longer distance before the end of the campaign.

Brewin’upastorm has kept his powder dry

Brewin’upastorm‘s lack of recent action can be viewed two ways.
Supporters will suggest that trainer Olly Murphy has deliberately kept his charge away from the racecourse to finalise preparations while detractors will find the negatives in the lack of a recent run.
He ran well over hurdles at The Festival last year and also at Aintree but over further. A couple of these may be too fleet-footed and improvement will be required on his chase form to date so the 6/1 with Unibet is hardly a stand-out price.

Can De Bromhead bring Put The Kettle On back to the boil?

There are two mares contesting this year’s Arkle Trophy.
The unbeaten Maire Banrigh is one and Put The Kettle On is the other.
Henry De Bromhead’s six-year-old has only lost once so far over the larger obstacles and beat Al Dancer and Rouge Vif at Cheltenham in November.
The latter’s form runs through this race like a seam of gold and Aidan Coleman’s mount looks overpriced at 18/1 with Unibet, though this is fairly open renewal with the likes of Esprit Du Large and Global Citizen having a decent chance.


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