Derby v Millwall Predictions & Betting Odds – 20th February 2019

Rams to sink struggling Lions

Championship Betting

Derby v Millwall Betting Tips – Championship, 20th February 7.45pm

The Rams exited the FA Cup on the weekend, while Millwall took a win to move ahead to the quarterfinals. Back in league action this weekend Millwall be looking for points to try and pull away from the drop zone. The Rams meanwhile need points to keep up a challenge for a finish in the play-off spots. Read our predictions for Derby v Millwall.

Derby v Millwall Betting Odds*

West Brom 11/10
QPR 11/5
Draw 13/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 17th, 2019 at 6:25 p.m.)

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Derby News and Form

The Rams haven’t managed back to back league wins since the beginning of last December. That lack of winning consistency has seen them fall out of the top six. But still they are W3 D3 L1 in their last seven Championship games, but a winning streak will really bolster their playoff chances. In their last league game, they were held to a 1-1 draw out at bottom side Ipswich, which for the Rams, were important points dropped. The Rams are undefeated in six at Pride Park, winning their last two there. Overall the Rams are W8 D5 L2 at home this season.

Derby have produced an average of 1.5 goals per game at home this season. They have earned a clean sheet in a third of their games at home. The Rams are on a four-match scoring streak on home soil in the second tier, having scored exactly two in both of their last two there. The Rams have played fewer games than any of the current top four this season. A win in this one moves them up into fifth place, a draw up into sixth. Only three teams in the division currently have a better defensive record than Derby this season. Only four teams have better home records too.

Derby v Millwall Head to Head

Millwall earned a 2-1 home win over the Rams in August
The Lions have lost just one of their last six against the Rams (W2 D3)
Both teams have scored in two of the last six meetings
Three of the last four meetings have gone over 2.5 goals

 

Key-Facts – Derby v Millwall

  • Millwall have just one away win all season in the Championship
  • Derby have won back to back home matches
  • Millwall are without a clean sheet in 14 road games

 

Millwall News and Form

Millwall are struggling down at the other end of the table. They are only the two points above the drop zone but have games in hand over the four teams beneath them, which could prove important. They are still in the FA Cup as well having won at AFC Wimbledon no the weekend to reach the quarterfinals. Millwall are currently winless in five league games (D3 L2) and their away form is pretty much in the gutter. They have won just one league game away from The Den this term in the Championship. That lone victory was at bottom side Ipswich on January 1st.

Their overall away record this season is W1 D4 L10. The Lions have been struggling in front of goal recently with one goal in their last five played. They have averaged less than a goal per game on their travels overall this season. The Lions have just one away clean sheet this season as well, conceding in each of their last fourteen on the road. Of the fourteen away goals that Millwall have produced this season, eleven of them have come after the halftime break. Incidentally, Millwall’s half time record away from home is W2 D5 L8.

Derby v Millwall Tips & Odds

Derby to win to nil at 12/5
Under 2.5 goals at 4/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 17th, 2019 at 6:25 p.m.)

Derby v Millwall Predictions

Derby to win: Given the contrast in form between them, Derby going strongly at home while Millwall have little form to speak of away, then there appears to be a simple option here. That is the home win for the Rams.