Derby v Nottingham Forest Betting Preview – Championship 15th October 1.15pm
The East Midlands derby is one of the highlights of Sunday’s action to get into. Both have been struggling to find a winning touch lately and land any kind of positive consistency. So this will be a high pressure match up at Pride Park and it is Derby who are playing a bit of catch up as well as they start a couple of points adrift of Forest around mid-table. They won’t want to slip back any further by giving up three points in this big home fixture.
Derby v Nottingham Forest Betting Tips
Derby need a win in this East Midlands derby to play catch up with Nottingham Forest in the Championship. However, the Rams are not in winning form with them having gone W1 D3 L2 in their last six games in the Championship. They have drawn each of their last three games. Starting off that sequence of drawn matches was a hugely disappointing 1-1 home draw against the struggling Birmingham, but before the international break the Rams went to league leaders Cardiff and earned a point in a good 0-0 draw there. They have been having their struggles in front of goal and just in two of their ten league outings this season, have they scored more than one goal. But for this derby clash, there looks a high probability of goals, because four of Derby’s last seven league wins on home soil have featured them scoring more than three goals. Over 2.5 goals at bet365 is a price of 4/5 while going out to over 3/5 is a 2/1 punt.
Derby go into the weekend in fifteenth place in the Championship but they which is two points and two places behind Forest. However, the Rams do have a game in hand over them. The Rams have just been decidedly average across the season. Striker Matej Vydra is their top scorer with four goals this term and he is trading at 6/4 in the anytime goalscorer market level with Chris Martin and they have David Nugent at 11/4. The Rams do carry some weight going forward, but things haven’t quite all come together for Gary Rowett’s Rams yet this season. Their defence is not anything special and both teams to score at bet365 for a price of 8/11 looks value for this one. From the two meetings last season in the Championship, Derby collected four points from them so they did have a slight upper hand over Forest.
In their home fixture, last season Derby won 3-0 against Forest and that means that they have won their last two at Pride Park against them. Derby have won just two of their last six league games against Nottingham Forest in a W2 D2 L2 record against them. So things do look to be pretty even between the two sides and 13/5 odds on the draw in the match outright is offering some appeal. Nottingham Forest snapped a three match losing streak in the Championship just before the international break when they sprung a surprise and beat Sheffield United. Sill over their last seven league games they have gone W2 L5 so they can hardly be trusted with a great deal of confidence. Their defence hasn’t stood up to too many tests because they have only managed the one clean sheet in their last ten league games.
Top Tip
Draw/Derby Half Time/Full Time at 7/2
Nottingham Forest have produced a W2 L3 record from their five away games this season and their last away game they lost 2-1 against Aston Villa. Forest have actually only been behind at half time in just one of their last nine games away from home in the league and Half Time Draw at bet365 for a price of 5/4 is very appealing, especially with the Rams having been ahead at the break in just seven of their last 27 home fixtures. In four of their six league defeats this season, Nottingham Forest have actually been level at the break in those games, so reading into that they have had a lot of let downs in the second half of matches. A Draw/Derby half time/full time bet then could come into play for a price of 7/2. Daryl Murphy is the top scorer for Forest this season and he is a price of 15/8 in the anytime goalscorer market. This looks as if it will be a tight battle in the East Midlands derby.
Derby v Nottingham Forest Betting Odds
Derby 8/11, Draw 13/5, Nottingham Forest 15/4
Derby v Nottingham Forest Predictions
Draw: With the amount of drawn matches that Derby have produced lately, the drawn outcome has to have favour in this one. Nottingham Forest aren’t exactly a side that can be backed with tremendous confidence after having lost four of their last six fixtures. There may just not be enough from either of them to go and pick up a win for themselves.
