Fiorentina v Milan Predictions & Betting Odds – 11th May 2019

AC Milan can dig out important away win

Fiorentina v Milan Betting Tips – Serie A, 11th May 7.30pm

Milan have some work to to to try and secure a top-four finish in the league this season. They are three points outside of the top four with three to play and they are struggling in the goal difference to those they are trying to catch inside the top four. Milan may get a good chance at three points this weekend against Fiorentina who are out of form. Read our predictions for Fiorentina v Milan.

Fiorentina v Milan Betting Odds*

AC Milan 7/5
Fiorentina 2/1
Draw 23/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 9th, 2019 at 11:47 p.m.)

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Fiorentina News and Form

Fiorentina are not in any kind of form at the moment. They have lost their last three league games, but their run of poor form goes back much longer than that. They are currently without a win in any of their last 11 league fixtures. Since the turn of the New Year Fiorentina have only claimed two victories in Serie A.

Throughout this campaign they have only managed the five home wins as it is (D8 L4) and they have failed to collect one in any of their last nine games there. They have not scored a single goal in any of their last three home games either. Each of their last five league home games have gone under 2.5 goals.

Fiorentina have averaged 1.5 goals per home game this season, and really despite a pretty disappointing campaign, they have not been bad at the back. Fiorentina have conceded at just over a goal per home game. 35% of their home games have gone under 2.5 goals.

64% of the home goals that Fiorentina have scored this season have come in the second half of fixtures. It has just been a lack of a cutting edge when it comes to producing wins for them this season. Just to highlight that they are W1 D6 L2 in their home games against the current top ten.

Fiorentina v Milan Head to Head

Fiorentina took a 1-0 win at the San Siro in December
Milan have lost one of their last six against Fiorentina
Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last four on home soil against Milan (W2 D2)
Both teams have scored in three of the last seven meetings


Key-Facts – Fiorentina v Milan

  • Fiorentina have won just two league games in 2019
  • Milan have no clean sheet in seven away games
  • a see Milan have won just five away games all season

Milan News and Form

They see Milan can still have a shot at landing themselves a place in the Champions League next season. The top four is within their sight, but they have work to do. They head into the weekend three points outside of the top four, with them also trailing those they are trying to catch on goal difference.

So with only the three games left to play, including this one, there is a lot of work to do. There have only been the five away victories that Milan have taken this season (D7 L5) so it has been far from convincing from them on the road. In their last four away games played AC Milan have only managed one point.

All of AC Milan’s away defeats this season though have been against top-ten sides. Given that the Fiorentina are not a top-10 side, then Milan will be looking for a positive here. AC Milan have averaged 1.2 goals per away game and only 29% of their road fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals.

Whichever way you look at this it is not looking as if it is going to be a high-scoring fixture. Milan have claimed a clean sheet in around a quarter of their away games, but there has not been one by them in any of their last seven road games. They have conceded 76% of their away goals in the second half of fixtures, but have scored 65% of their away goals after the halftime break as well.

Fiorentina v Milan Tips & Odds

AC Milan to win to nil at 10/3
Under 2.5 goals at 10/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 9th, 2019 at 11:47 p.m.)

Fiorentina v Milan Predictions

AC Milan to win: This is way more important of a game for AC Milan than it is for Fiorentina. That has to count for something at the end of the day. This is not likely going to be a high scoring fixture, so backing a low scoring away win looks decent.

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