A Football Guide to Betting on Man Utd (Back to Football Betting Guide Intro)
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Football Betting Prediction: Title Contender
Premier League Start: Manchester United 3, Newcastle 0
The Strengths: As predictable as it really is, Alex Ferguson is the club’s biggest strength. He has foregone the need to make a major signing over the summer, probably believing that he has the squad to go on and win big things. If he didn’t think that way, then it’s not as if the club doesn’t have money to spend. In fact, Ferguson was told by the board that there were enough pennies in the coffer to go out and buy one world class player. He has neglected to do so, and indeed got in a little snipe about certain teams going on “kamikaze” spending sprees. Ferguson has done a little bit of shopping though, bringing in Mexican striker Javier Hernandez, who looks like he could really trouble some of the more static defences in the league and defender Chris Smalling from Fulham. The signing of Smalling is a little puzzling, as he wasn’t in great form over the second half of last season, even being dropped from the Fulham starting line-up. It’s just a little peculiar as defence is the one area in which United could use a little more certainty than what Smalling brings. Anyway, United also picked up Portuguese striker Bebe, just to stock pile their corp of young forwards. Quite what Ferguson is going to do with them all remains a mystery, as he likes to stick Wayne Rooney up front on his own. United do have a great squad, and Ferguson is able to get the very best out of the young players he picks up, and those which come through the ranks. That’s not saying United are a young team, they are not, but there is a pretty solid future at Old Trafford. So, turning attention back to the present, veterans Paul Scholes, Edwin Van Der Saar and Ryan Giggs still have important roles to play in their title charge. Scholes in particular is looking evergreen with his early season performances. Wayne Rooney of course will be relied upon for another astounding season, and hopefully he puts the misery of the World Cup behind. England’s great hope simply never showed up during South Africa 2010, and the sooner he gets back amongst the goals, then the stronger United will be. An incredibly versatile and deep squad, which could just make all the difference over the course of the season.
The Weaknesses: United do have weakness, and the main one is at the back. Rio Ferdinand, who is constantly bothered with injuries, is a liability and, in many ways like Chelsea, there just is not the world class quality there, or anywhere in the squad depth in that position. There are guys who will come in and perform, but are just as liable to fall asleep and give away cheap goals. Chris Smalling falls perfectly into this category. There are concerns over other players. Ferguson has a lot of trust in his record signing Dimitar Berbatov who just hasn’t clicked consistently at Old Trafford. His poor misses at the end of last season could be blamed for them not winning the title. Does he have it in him to step things up a gear and shake off his lazy image? Nani is another one who never quite lived up to expectations. Expected to be the new Cristiano Ronaldo, he hasn’t delivered. The size of United’s squad (even though it has to be 25 players under the new rules) could be a case of too many cooks spoiling the broth. Does Ferguson really have an ideal strong starting eleven, or will he just mix it up. There doesn’t seem to be the continuity of the likes of Chelsea, but United do always find ways to win whoever Ferguson fields. But he surely can’t rely on the aging legs of Scholes, Giggs and Van Der Saar all season? Ferguson isn’t afraid to change sides up, and plenty of different players will be used for cup matches no doubt.
Betting Home: Pretty much a fortress really when it comes to betting on Manchester United at Old Trafford. They were breached by Everton and Aston Villa last season though, and that was two too many defeats for Ferguson. They may be caught out again once or twice over the course of the season, but expect more wins than anything else at Old Trafford. Somewhere around the stat of 81% win percentage of last season will be about right. Expect another big haul of home goals too from United. A good cornerstone for building an accumulator really are United, otherwise sub-market bets will bring greater odds when Man Utd are home, things like Over/Under, winning margin or Asian Handicaps.
Betting Away: You don’t really ever expect Manchester United to go away from Old Trafford and lose matches. It doesn’t happen that often, although they had their problems last season on their travels where they lost five matches. That was because of that vulnerable defence, and it could happen again as the problems haven’t been fixed. May not happen against anyone outside of the top six teams in the league, but United may slip on the road. Best betting tip would be to maximise Asian Handicap betting by taking United in the minus, as they are usually good enough to come through.
Manchester United Best Betting Stat: 26% of their home matches last season ended in 3-0 wins. They started off that way again this season, so it’s worth looking out for in your football betting strategy.
Manchester United Best Football Odds:
Premier League Outright: 2/1 at Bet365
Top Four Finish: 1/12 at Boylesports
Top Goalscorer:
Wayne Rooney: 4/6 at Blue Square
Dimitar Berbatov: 5/2 at 888Sport
Javier Hernandez: 3/1 at Blue Square
Win A Major Trophy: 8/11 at Totesport
Premiership and FA Cup Double: 18/1 at Totesport
First League Defeat: Liverpool: 4/1 at BetFair
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