Leicester v Derby Betting Preview – FA Cup 8th February 7.45pm
So punters will be wondering how to approach this FA Cup fourth round replay. The Foxes only survived their trip to Pride Park thanks to a late equaliser from captain Wes Morgan. But despite the 2-2 scoreline, the Rams didn’t offer a tremendous amount of threat going forward. But Leicester are going along so poorly at the moment, so will they be at risk because punters are having a hard time of trusting them with anything at the moment? Can the Foxes pull themselves through based on Derby missing their big chance to pull off the upset at the first attempt? It should be pretty interesting at the King Power.
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Leicester v Derby FA Cup Betting Tips
Where do you find value in Leicester? It is a pretty tough thing to do at the moment because of the huge mess that they are in. They have failed to win any of their last five games now in all competitions (D1 L4) and they are sliding badly in the Premier League. They were smashed 3-0 by Manchester United at the King Power on the weekend and they are really staring down the barrel of relegation at the moment. The Foxes have scored in just two of their last seven games in all exemptions, and both of those games came in the FA Cup. So maybe there is a glimmer of possibility for them in this one. Leicester won at Everton 2-1 in the third round and then earned a 2-2 draw at Derby in the first attempt. Both teams to score at Bet365 will return you a pretty decent price of 10/11. That has happened in each of the last four between these in Leicester so there is a trend going.
The Foxes have actually netted four goals exactly in three of their last four matches on home soil against Derby, netting a total of 14 goals. So there is reason enough to have a look over 2.5 goals at Bet365 which will return you a price of 11/10. Trading up in the first goalscorer market for the game is Islam Slimani and Jamie Vardy who are 9/2 joint favourites there, with Ahmed Musa at 5/1. They have yet to score a league goal in the 2017 calendar year, but seem to have no problem in the cup, so it is worth getting behind them to get on the scoresheet in this one. Leicester have posted a W8 D4 L5 record at the King Power this season across all competitions, but they have gone W1 L3 in their last four there, failing to score in any of those three defeats in that sequence. They dodged a bullet at Pride Park and the question is, can they take advantage of that.
What could play into Leicester’s hands is that Derby are not a free-scoring side. Derby have scored fewer goals than any other side in the top 13 in the Championship currently. So they may have a hard time matching up to Leicester at the King Power and despite putting two goals on the board in the meeting with the Foxes at Pride Park, the Rams didn’t look a particular threat in the game. They have produced a pretty solid defence this season have the Rams but they have been far better at home than they have been out on the road. Derby have only claimed the one clean sheet in their last six games out on the road which has led them to a W2 D1 L3 record. Each of the defeats in that sequence saw Derby fail to score in. Their big chance perhaps was at home in the first meeting against the Premier League outfit. They almost got themselves across the line, but that equaliser may have destroyed their hopes of being in the fifth round. Darren Bent is a 13/5 anytime goalscorer market for them, with Tom Ince at 11/4. As a beacon of hope, the Rams won at West Brom in the third round.
Leicester v Derby FA Cup Betting Odds
Leicester 21/20, Draw 12/5, Derby 16/5
Leicester v Derby FA Cup Predictions
We don’t see the Rams having enough to take down Leicester. The Foxes may well make changes and this should be a breath of fresh air for them, away from the pressure of the Premier League. Leicester have been scoring in the cup and there just looked enough evidence for the first meeting that they will handle the Rams at the King Power. Have a flutter on both teams to score, but for Leicester to find a win from somewhere.
