Liverpool v Newcastle Betting Tip & Odds: There appears as if there will be a high possibility of a draw between these two sides on Friday night. However, because of Liverpool’s supremacy over Newcastle at Anfield, would look to that stat to guide you into an Asian Handicap bet here for a bit better value. Liverpool -1 Asian Handicap is priced at 21/20 at Bet365 which isn’t a bad shout at all. The Reds have won this fixture 3-0 for the last three times now. Another trend worth looking at is Dirk Kuyt as Anytime Goalscorer for 2/1 at SkyBet. Kuyt has scored in each of his last three matches against Newcastle now.
Liverpool to win: 4/7 at Bet365
Draw: 10/3 at Boylesports
Newcastle to win: 13/2 at Boylesports
EPL Match Preview: Yes, it is Liverpool striker Andy Carroll meeting his former employers in the Premier League, but the match has far more interesting connotations than that side story. This will be a match between the sixth and seventh placed teams in the Premier League on Friday night, with Liverpool holding just a one point supremacy over Newcastle, so there are big points to play for. Both sides are still firmly in the fight for fourth and fifth in the league, so this is a crucial match for both sides. With Newcastle’s dip in form after their superb start to the season, the three points would be immense for them, pulling them ahead of the Anfield crew. Whereas Liverpool with a home win could put some good daylight between themselves and the Magpies. Neither side have been in tip top form though, with only one win between them in their last four matches combined. Liverpool have been giving very cheap points away at Anfield this season, while Newcastle’s defence has suddenly looked as if they have opened the floodgates. Will that be an invitation though for Andy Carroll to make an impact? With Luis Suarez out of Friday’s game, Liverpool really need their big money signing to find the kind of form which had when he was at Newcastle. Or will he be upstaged again by the fantastic form of Demba Ba?
Liverpool Form: It hasn’t been red hot form from Liverpool as of late. With the pressures mounting on Luis Suarez, who is facing a lengthy ban after being found guilty of racial slurs against Manchester United’s Patrice Evra, the striker will miss Friday’s clash with Newcastle after receiving a one match ban for an obscene gesture in Liverpool’s defeat at Fulham at the start of December. With big money signing Andy Carroll not firing on all cylinders, it appears as if Liverpool are going to struggle for goals. While the Reds have not lost at Anfield this season, they have only won three of their nine matches there, drawing the other six. There have been some highly disappointing draws at Anfield this season, again down to a lack of firepower, with Norwich, Swansea and most recently Blackburn Rovers on Boxing Day, earning a point from there. Liverpool’s lack of goals is clear to see, as they haven’t managed more than one goal at Anfield in their last six league matches at Anfield. So Liverpool have just a 33% success rate at home this season, and have won just one of their last six home games. They have only failed to score on just one occasion at Anfield this season in the league, but their nine home matches have only produced eleven goals in total. What has been keeping their heads above water is that they have conceded on average, less than one goal per game at Anfield. But with a scoring record there of an average of just 1.22 per match, Liverpool have kept two clean sheets from their nine matches so far, and 78% of their home games have ended over 2.5 goals. In general, Liverpool have been pretty strong starters in their Premier League matches, their most profitable time in front of goal coming in the first fifteen minutes of matches, and they have only conceded four goals all season in the first half of their matches. The Reds have scored first in 61% of their matches this season. Luis Suarez is the club’s top scorer, but only has five to his name, and while there are five other players all on two goals each, there really hasn’t been any valuable contribution to speak of from Liverpool as an attacking force this season. With Steven Gerrard needing a little more time to get back into action to 100% capacity, if the Reds do lose Suarez then the further struggles which Liverpool may have are evident. But with two wins and two draws in their last four league matches, Liverpool are at least showing some kind of resiliency, largely at the back at in not conceding, however, they have had four pretty easy games, and now facing an out of form Newcastle, they really should have capitalized much more than they have. Time to shop for a striker in January for Kenny Dalglish?
Newcastle Form: Well, it’s tough to jump on the bandwagon and say that the inevitable down turn in Newcastle United’s season was going to happen. After going unbeaten right up until mid November in the Premier League, Alan Pardew had Newcastle going along at a great clip, largely down to a fantastic defence which was built on consistency in picking the same four players match after match. It can be argued that Newcastle had an easy run up until mid November, when they faced Man City, Man Utd and then Chelsea in back to back matches. After losing their first match of the season against City, Newcastle bounced back with a point at Old Trafford, but then put in a limp display at home against Chelsea and it has been struggles since that 3-0 home defeat for the Magpies. After a run of six games without a win though, Newcastle picked up a streak breaking win at Bolton on Boxing Day and will be hoping that that will have been the start of a revival in fortunes for them. Newcastle’s away form reading four wins, three draws and two defeats on the season, the exact same record which they have at home. Those two defeats have come in their last three away matches, so there is some form to turn around. The Magpies though have scored in their last seven away matches, so they should at least be eying up a point away at Afield on Friday night. Newcastle have hit thirteen away goals, at an average of 1.44 goals per game, but they have conceded on average 1.22 goals per game away from home. They have managed clean sheets in 33% of their away fixtures. Newcastle have scored 60% of their league goals this season in the second half of matches, and they have conceded heavily in the fifteen minutes before half time in their games. Other than that they have managed, by large, to keep things pretty tight at the back. The Magpies have opened the scoring in 44% of their matches this season, and a lot of their good fortune has come down to the efforts of Demba Ba, who has netted 14 times this season. There hasn’t been any support for him, but his contribution, which includes eight away goals, has been crucial. Alan Pardew has said that the Magpies will actively search for a defender in the January transfer window and not go after a forward. This is largely down to Steven Taylor’s season being ended by an Achilles problem. Newcastle will be without Senegal international forward Ba for part of January, as the striker heads to the African Cup of Nations.
Head to Head: Well, Liverpool should take some comfort from their good home form against Newcastle. Liverpool have won 53 matches out of 80 against Newcastle at Anfield, with the Magpies managing just twelve wins there. Liverpool have in total, scored more than double the amount of goals which Newcastle have in this fixture. Last season’s corresponding fixture ended in a 3-0 win for Liverpool, and if you like your trends, then all three of Newcastle’s last trips to Anfield have ended in 3-0 defeats. In fact, Newcastle haven’t managed a goal at Anfield in their last five trips there.
Online Bookmaker Promotion: If there are five or more goals scored in this match, then online bookmaker Paddy Power will refund any losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score or Scorecast bets placed on the game. The bookie also offers a free £50 bet for new customers registering an account. Paddy Power will match the value of your first stake on a new account with a free bet up to the maximum value of £50.
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