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Manchester City v QPR Odds at BetFred
Man City 1/7, Draw 8/1, QPR 18/1
Well, there are big connotations about this match, both at the top and the bottom of the league. The primary focus on this match has been all about Manchester City, and whether or not they can finish off their second chance to win the Premier League. The destiny of Roberto Mancini’s men is in their own hands, as they simply need to win here and they will be lifting the title, regardless of what Manchester United do. While the Citizens go into the match level on points with United, they have a superior goal difference of eight, which is unlikely to be overturned. To their huge credit, after looking out of the title, City have strung together a fantastic run of form, taking out both Manchester United and Newcastle in back to back game. They may just have the winning mentality after all, and the triumph away at Newcastle was perhaps the turning point. It came straight after beating Manchester United for a second time this season, and with City’s shaky away form and against a high flying Magpies, City turned in a professional performance, proving that their heads are in the right place.
City have gotten back to their best since a defeat against Arsenal on April 8th. That was the match when it all seemed to have gotten away from them. However, with five straight wins on the bounce, City have capitalised on an unfamiliar choke from the Red Devils. City have rattled off fifteen goals and have conceded just one in their last five matches. They have hit their stride again after a sticky patch, and Mancini has made tactical decisions which has won him crucial matches, like bringing on Nigel de Jong and pushing Yaya Toure forward against Newcastle. That was the game-breaking change in a match City had to win. So now, they host QPR to win the Premier League title. It was 44 years when City last won the league (back in 1968) and the runners up then were Manchester United. Back in November, City squeezed out a 3-2 win away at Loftus Road against QPR, the hero on the day then? Yaya Toure, popping up with the winner. You have to feel that City will pull out the stops here to get the title wrapped up. It is not as if they have been jittery at home or anything, winning seventeen, drawing one and losing none. Fifty two goals they have amassed at home, averaging 2.9 goals per game, and conceding 0.55 on home soil. City haven’t conceded a goal in the first fifteen minutes of any matches this season, just one in the first half hour of a match. That is strong start, the foundation upon which they have built so many wins.
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But Premier League survival is what is at stake for Mark Hughes and his visiting QPR. A point will be enough to keep them in the division next season, as they start two points ahead of 18th placed Bolton (but QPR have a superior goal difference which won’t be overhauled by the Trotters). So can QPR get the point they need, and throw a lifeline back to Manchester United in the title race? A defeat at the Etihad Stadium would leave the R’s open to relegation. They will be heavy underdogs of course, not only because of City’s home record, but because of their own away form. Rangers have only won three matches away from home this season and are without a win in 12 on the road. They have done marvellously at Loftus Road during the run in, rattling off five straight wins including victories of Arsenal, Liverpool and Spurs to keep their survival hopes high. But mixed in between all that, has been away defeat after away defeat. Rangers have lost the last six away matches in a row now, and that is where they are hurting. They will battle to the end, in the hopes of causing one final twist, but City should have the desire, creativity and technical ability to overpower them.
Man City v QPR Prediction: We are playing stats here, City have a league leading 52 points at home this season, QPR have the league’s worst tally of just 11 eleven away points this season. Simple maths, City should win this and win well. But it is probably going to be a little nervy given what is at stake. Therefore, a conservative Man City 2 Goal Winning Margin for 3/1 looks good at Bet365.
