Napoli v Liverpool Predictions & Betting Odds – 3rd October 2018

Ancelotti-inspired Napoli can cause an upset

Liverpool
Liverpool © GEPA pictures

Napoli v Liverpool Betting Preview – UEFA Champions League 3rd October 8.00pm

Liverpool came up with a late winner at home on match day one to claim maximum points off PSG in this tough group. They will be looking to follow up with something on the board from this trip to Italy. Napoli have been putting together a strong season but they could only manage a 0-0 draw in their opening Champions League group against Red Star Belgrade. Read our predictions for the Napoli v Liverpool fixture.

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Napoli News and Form

Napoli have put together a solid enough season so far. They are running in second place in Serie A only to Juventus. They lost against the Old Lady on the weekend in a high-profile showdown at the top of the league. That was their second defeat of the season only across all competition. On home soil, Napoli have three wins from three games played, the last two wins coming with a clean sheet as well. You do have two very strong sides going up against each other here and over 2.5 goals is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 6:46 pm).

As good as Napoli have been on the domestic front they have struggled to translate it over into European action. They have lost seven of their last thirteen games in Europe and have won just one of their last six in the Champions League. They have won three of their last four European home games though, firing off at least two goals in each of those. Both teams to score looks a pretty straightforward option to throw into the mix at 4/7 odds* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 6:46 pm). They have what it takes to make this a very difficult game for Liverpool and current boss Carlo Ancelotti has never lost a UEFA game against Liverpool (W3 D1).

Liverpool News and Form

Liverpool’s winning streak across all competitions ended in the week with back to back draws (90 minutes) against Chelsea in the EFL Cup and Premier League. On match day one of this season’s Champions League, Liverpool came up with a late winner to beat PSG 3-2. This trip to Naples will be the first of two very difficult road games in the group for the Reds, having to go to Paris to face PSG as well. This season in all competitions away from Anfield, Liverpool have posted a W3 D1 record and they have conceded exactly one goal in each of their last three road games. In the correct score market a 1-1 draw is the shortest-priced option at 6/1 with the Liverpool 2-1 at 15/2* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 6:46 pm).

Mo Salah was hauled off in the second half of Liverpool draw at Chelsea on the weekend in the EPL, and he looks short of confidence. Daniel Sturridge, who scored their equaliser in that game with an absolute peach from 30 yards, is a decent enough 3/2 anytime goalscorer option to have a look at for the game anyway* (betting odds taken on September 30th, 2018 at 6:46 pm). Liverpool’s record in Europe against Italian teams is W10 D7 L10. Last season away from home in the group stage Liverpool only went W1 D2 and then turned around to post a W2 L1 record in three knockout stage away games. Their only loss was in Italy against Roma.

Napoli v Liverpool Head to Head

The only previous time that these two met was in the 2010 Europa League. There was a 0-0 between the two out in Italy and then Liverpool posted a comfortable 3-1 win back on home soil against them.

Napoli v Liverpool Betting Odds*

Liverpool even money
Napoli 13/5
Draw 5/2
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on September 29th, 2018 at 11.35 p.m.)
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Napoli v Liverpool Predictions

The Italians are not going to be a pushover at all in this one and haven’t done bad on home soil recently in Europe.  With the experienced hand of Carlo Ancelotti a Napoli Double Chance has a bit of appeal moving forward into this game.