The fight for the year-end world No 1 spot is still firmly on in the men’s game and all eight players taking place in the season finale at the O2 Arena in London will fancy their chances of taking home a big prize.
The culmination of the ATP season promises to be intriguing and this is a tournament that doesn’t always go to form and stay true to the rankings. However, with plenty still at stake, it will be a surprise if the big guns aren’t taking it seriously.
ATP Tour Tennis Betting at Boylesports
ATP Tour Finals Winners in the Modern Era
| YEAR | WINNER | RUNNER-UP | FINAL SCORE | CITY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | ALEXANDER ZVEREV | NOVAK DJOKOVIC | 6-4, 6-3 | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2017 | GRIGOR DIMITROV | DAVID GOFFIN | 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2016 | ANDY MURRAY | NOVAK DJOKOVIC | 6-3, 6-4 | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2015 | NOVAK DJOKOVIC | ROGER FEDERER | 6-4, 6-3 | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2014 | NOVAK DJOKOVIC | ROGER FEDERER | W/O (BACK) | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2013 | NOVAK DJOKOVIC | RAFAEL NADAL | 6-3, 6-4 | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2012 | NOVAK DJOKOVIC | ROGER FEDERER | 7-6(6), 7-5 | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2011 | ROGER FEDERER | JO-WILFRIED TSONGA | 6-3, 6-7(6), 6-3 | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2010 | ROGER FEDERER | RAFAEL NADAL | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2009 | NIKOLAY DAVYDENKO | JUAN MARTIN DEL POTRO | 6-3, 6-4 | LONDON, U.K. |
| 2008 | NOVAK DJOKOVIC | NIKOLAY DAVYDENKO | 6-1, 7-5 | SHANGHAI, CHINA |
| 2007 | ROGER FEDERER | DAVID FERRER | 6-2, 6-3, 6-2 | SHANGHAI, CHINA |
| 2006 | ROGER FEDERER | JAMES BLAKE | 6-0, 6-3, 6-4 | SHANGHAI, CHINA |
| 2005 | DAVID NALBANDIAN | ROGER FEDERER | 6-7(4), 6-7(11) 6-2, 6-1, 7-6(3) | SHANGHAI, CHINA |
| 2004 | ROGER FEDERER | LLEYTON HEWITT | 6-3, 6-2 | HOUSTON, U.S.A. |
| 2003 | ROGER FEDERER | ANDRE AGASSI | 6-3, 6-0, 6-4 | HOUSTON, U.S.A. |
| 2002 | LLEYTON HEWITT | JUAN CARLOS FERRERO | 7-5, 7-5, 2-6, 2-6, 6-4 | SHANGHAI, CHINA |
| 2001 | LLEYTON HEWITT | SEBASTIEN GROSJEAN | 6-3, 6-3, 6-4 | SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA |
| 2000 | GUSTAVO KUERTEN | ANDRE AGASSI | 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 | LISBON, PORTUGAL |
The eight players are split into two groups in which all players will play the others on a round-robin basis. The top two from each section progress to the semi-finals.
Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic have been drawn together for the group stage.
The climax of the ATP season starts this Sunday at the O2 Arena with the duo being joined by Dominic Thiem and Matteo Berrettini in Group Bjorn Borg.
Group Bjorn Borg
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | 4/7 | 13/20 | 8/15 |
| Roger Federer | 11/4 | 9/5 | 11/4 |
| Dominic Thiem | 13/2 | 8/1 | 13/2 |
| Matteo Berrettini | 14/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 |
(Betting Odds were taken from Unibet, Coral & Bet365 on November 10, 2019 at 9.30am)
The current world No 1, Rafael Nadal has to get past Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas and last year’s defending champion Alexander Zverev in Group Andre Agassi.
Group Andre Agassi
| Player | |
 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 26/19 | 5/4 | 11/8 |
| Rafael Nadal | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 |
| Alexander Zverev | 9/2 | 4/1 | 4/1 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 |
(Betting Odds were taken from Unibet, Coral & Bet365 on November 10, 2019 at 9.30am)
Roger Federer is a six-time winner of the traditional year-end tournament in which an invitation is based on current world rankings but the Swiss’ last victory came back in 2011, though he has been a beaten favourite three times in the intervening years. Federer is a best 9/2 with Boylesports to be the winner in 2019.
Novak Djokovic won it four times between 2012 and 2015 and is seeking a sixth victory overall. He still has a chance of overhauling Rafa Nadal and ending the year back as world number one but has been a beaten finalist in London in two of the last three years, though does arrive off the back of a welcome victory in the Paris Masters. It doesn’t help that he has to play Fereder in the group stages (it will be the 49th time they’ve met in singles) but Betway make Djokovic their 5/4 favourite.
Rafael Nadal is 7/1 in the overall betting with Paddy Power but this is a tournament that has not been kind to the Spaniard down the years when he has been fit enough to take part. He didn’t play Paris because of injury and playing under a roof and under lights on a hardcourt at the end of a long season would not be his cup of tea, though he has twice reached the final.
Defending champion Alexander Zverev is making his third straight appearance at the O2 so has firmly established himself among the world’s top 10. But it has been an up and down season for the young German, who has managed only one win in a minor tournament in Geneva. He will need to bring his A game back to London to be competitive and Zverev is 18/1 this year with Boylesports.
Daniil Medvedev reached the final of the US Open this year and believes he’s ready to break up the domination of the big three. Playing at the 02 for the first time, the Russian certainly arrives in fine form having reached six finals in seven big tournaments since Wimbledon – the 23-year-old is a best 5/1.
There is no love lost between Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas, a best 16/1, and they meet in the group stages. Dominic Thiem is a best 20/1 but will take heart from the fact that he has a better-than-average head-to-head record against group rival Federer, though lost to the veteran at the O2 last year. Matteo Berrettini, another rookie, is 40/1 with William Hill.
Nitto ATP Tour Finals Current Best Outright Betting Odds
Novak Djokovic 5/4, Roger Federer 9/2, Daniil Medvedev 5/1, Rafael Nadal 7/1, Alexander Zverev and Stefanos Tsitsipas 16/1, Dominic Thiem 20/1, Matteo Berrettini 40/1
(Odds correct at 9.30am November 10)
Djokovic has the incentive to produce his best form in London and, up first, should steal an early march on his group rivals. But the brash DANII MEDVEDEV has beaten the Serb in their last two meetings at Monte Carlo and Cincinatti and no-one arrives in better or more consistent form that the Russian. The latter’s group is the toughest on paper but I’m not sure if Nadal will be really up for this so Medvedev should reach the semi-finals at least. From there, it’s usually up for grabs.
