Poland v Italy Predictions & Betting Odds – 14th October 2018

Poland can respond against Azzurri

European Football

Poland v Italy Betting Tips – UEFA Nations League, 14th October 7.45pm

Poland needs to dust themselves down after suffering a home defeat on Thursday. They suffered a 2-3 home setback against Portugal in their second game in the competition. So that leaves them facing Italy now in what could be a battle to avoid relegation at the end of the campaign. Italy played a friendly draw with Ukraine in preparations. Read our predictions for Poland v Italy.

Poland v Italy Betting Odds*

Italy 13/8
Poland 7/4
Draw 21/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on October 12th, 2018 at 1:35 p.m.)

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Poland News and Form

Poland had a pretty hefty setback on Thursday in losing 2-3 at home against Portugal. A win in that would have given them a tremendous lift in the group. Now they are playing catch up. Poland are level on one point with Italy, so whoever happens to lose this one will be in relegation trouble. The winner of the game moves to within two points of leaders Portugal.

Poland collected a good 1-1 draw out in Italy in their opening Nations League game. But then were surprisingly slack at the back against Portugal. Still, Italy aren’t as big of a threat and a Poland 1-0 correct score has some appeal at 13/2 odds* (betting odds taken on October 12th, 2018 at 1:27 pm).

Poland’s form is now at W1 D2 L3 in their last six games so they need to start turning the corner immediately. They have posted a D1 L1 record in their last two home games now. Poland do have a scoring threat and they have only failed to score in one of their last nine games.

So the potential is there and there is no bigger scoring threat in their set up than Robert Lewandowski. The Bayern Munich man wasn’t on the scoresheet against Portugal but he is always worth a punt given his record at this level. He is at 5/4 in the anytime goalscorer market* (betting odds taken on October 12th, 2018 at 1:27 pm). Can they produce the response they need?

Italy News and Form

Italy are much in the same boat as Poland in so much as they aren’t in form. They picked up a 1-1 draw with Ukraine in a friendly in midweek leaving then D2 L1 in their last three games. They have only managed to take one win in their last nine international games now (competitive and friendly combined) so there are problems there.

They aren’t watertight at the back with one clean sheet in their last eight played. Also, they are lacking a scoring threat as the 1-1 draw with Ukraine means that they have scored more than one goal in just one of their last thirteen games.

New boss Roberto Mancini has a big job on his hands but the quality of players just doesn’t seem to be there at the moment. Their goal in their first Nations League game against Poland came late on from a penalty before they turned around and lost 1-0 in Portugal.

So there’s no form and not a tremendous attacking threat coming Poland’s way in this one. There is every chance that they are going to be vulnerable away from home in this fixture. Under 2.5 goals is at 8/13 odds and once again is a great fit for Poland v Italy betting predictions* (betting odds taken on October 12th, 2018 at 1:27 pm).

Poland v Italy Head to Head

In the first Nations League meeting last month there was a 1-1 draw between Poland and Italy. That leaves things even with one win each and the draw in their last three games. Both teams have scored in just two of the last seven meetings.

Poland v Italy Predictions

Poland to win: Poland may have been undone by Portugal, but we see can them having the goals to take down a fragile Italy. The Italians aren’t settled yet and may find themselves exposed out on the road. Home win.

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