Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Predictions & Betting Odds – 2nd May 2017

Real Madrid to edge tight first leg at home

Real Madrid
Real Madrid © GEPA pictures

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Betting Preview – UEFA Champions League 2nd May 7.45pm

A heavyweight showdown between the two Spanish giants then for the semi-final. Atletico have suffered some heartache against their rivals in the past few seasons of the Champions League, having lost the 2014 and 2016 Finals against Real, while exiting the quarter finals against them in 2015. This is going to be a tough first leg for Atletico to get through again as they head out to the Bernabeu, but will they be able to snatch a vital away goal at least? This is probably going to be another epic, tense duel between these two.

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Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid 2017 Infographic

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Betting Tips

This should be another epic old duel between these two rivals. They met back on April 8th at the Bernabeu in the league and that ended in a 1-1 draw. It’ll probably be tight again. This is the fourth consecutive season that these two have met in the UEFA Champions League and it is Real Madrid who are on top with a W2 D2 from those four games in that sequence which includes both the 2014 and 2016 Finals. There has been just the one European Cup semi-final meeting between them prior to this, with Real Madrid winning through in the 1958/59 campaign before lifting the trophy. This is the seventh season in a row that Real Madrid are in the semi-finals and since 2010/11 they have won 35 of their 41 home games in the Champions League. Real Madrid’s record against Spanish teams in Europe is W11 D6 L3 (W4 D2 L1 at home; W2 D3 L2 away). Their record in two-legged ties is W5 L2 and they are unbeaten in their last seven games against Spanish opposition.

Los Blancos have a tremendous scoring record on home soil in the UEFA Champions League, having found the back of the net in each of their last 35 games at the Bernabeu. The last time Real Madrid failed to score in a Champions League home game was against Barcelona in 2011. Real Madrid and fellow semi-finalists Juventus are the only unbeaten teams in this season’s competition (W7 D3) and Real Madrid have lost just one of their last 12 knockout stage matches as well (Wolfsburg in April 2016). Los Blancos have won all four of their knockout stage matches this season despite falling behind to the opening goal in each of them and they have continued their streak of scoring at least two goals in each of their 10 Champions League games this season. They are without a clean sheet though and a Real Madrid 2-1 correct score at Bet365 is a tempting 15/2 option. Cristiano Ronaldo is a 5/6 outright favourite in the anytime goalscorer market for this one.

There have been three 1-1 draws in the last five meetings between these two (across 90 minutes) and in the Bet365 correct score market, a 1-1 draw is a price of 6/1. Atletico will need all of their defensive might to stick in there at the Bernabeu and under the reign of Diego Simeone, they have collected 27 clean sheets in 46 Champions League games. Atletico Madrid are the lowest scoring side of the four teams left in the competition this season, having netted just 13 goals in 10 games to get to this stage. Antoine Griezmann, who has scored 12 goals in the champions League since last season is a quote of 2/1 in the anytime goalscorer market. He has actually been involved in 50% of their Champions League goals since last season. The game going under 2.5 goals will return you a price of 4/5 with Bet365.

Atletico don’t have the winning head to head form going against Real Madrid across all contemptuous and they have failed to score in four of those seven games. Real Madrid to win to nil at Bet365 returns a price of 15/8. Atletico have suffered just the one defeat in their 10 Champions League games this season (W7 D2) so overall have been in fantastic form. Atletico’s record in European Cup semi-finals is D1 L3, their lone success coming against Chelsea in the 2013/14 season. The Rojiblancos have posted a W10 D6 L6 record on the road in the Champions League since September 2013 and each of the six losses in that sequence happened by a one-goal margin. Their record against Spanish sides in UEFA competition is W8 D5 L7 (W1 D2 L5 away; W6 D2 L0 home). Their record in two-legged ties is W5 L3.

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Betting Odds

Real Madrid 5/6, Draw 11/4, Atletico Madrid 3/1

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Predictions

Real Madrid Home Win: Atletico have the resilience to stick in this one and make a contest of this. However, Real Madrid aren’t likely going to let this home advantage slip them by and they can take a lead in the tie, probably in a game which goes under 2.5 goals.