Real Madrid v Bayern Munich Predictions & Betting Odds – 1st May 2018

Los Merengues to finish job against depleted Bayern

Real Madrid
Real Madrid © GEPA pictures

Real Madrid v Bayern Munich Betting Preview – UEFA Champions League 1st May 7.45pm

Bayern Munich should really have had Real Madrid on the ropes in this tie. They missed chance after chance in their first leg at home to give themselves an advantage but now they have head to head out to Spain on Tuesday night and try to fight back from 2-1 down. In last year’s quarter finals, they produced a 2-1 win at the Bernabeu having lost by that scoreline at home, but they lost in extra time. With injuries stacking up against them, the Bundesliga may well have missed their chance of reaching the final.

Real Madrid News and Form

Real Madrid will be looking to hold on to a 2-1 advantage back at the Bernabeu in the second leg of this semi-final. This was exactly the situation that was on the board twelve months ago at the quarter-final stage. Bayern managed to fight back to land a 2-1 win in Spain in the second leg after ninety minutes, sending the tie to extra time. Real Madrid powered their way through (with some controversy) to reach the final and eventually successfully defend their title. Real Madrid are on a six-match winning streak against Bayern Munich, scoring 15 and conceding 5 in that spell.

This is the eighth straight season that they are in the semi-finals of the competition and this is their fourth two-legged tie with Bayern in seven seasons, with the Spaniards 2-1 up. In the last round though at home, they were pummeled 3-1 by Juventus, but a late penalty from Cristiano Ronaldo sent Los Merengues though. They do look vulnerable at the back and both teams to score at bet365 makes for a reasonable place to start at 4/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:45 a.m. on April 26th, 2018)

They conceded a lot of chances to Bayern in that first leg and rode their luck at times. The win though was the first time in a Champions League game this season Cristiano Ronaldo failed to score but has seven goals in his last four games against Bayern and will once again go as the first goalscorer favourite in the match. Also, that defeat against Juventus was a rare home loss for them. It is their only defeat in their last 30 European games (W21 D6) and they have won 34 of their last 41 home games in the Champions League (D5 L2) which is a brilliant record. Their record at home against German sides is a fantastic W25 D5 L3. Madrid’s record in two-legged ties with German clubs in UEFA competition is W17 L8 and to back them up even further, the Spaniards have won each of their last six ties against German opposition. Just once from 33 occasions have they lost a tie after winning the first leg away from home.

Bayern Munich News and Form

So once again this is a tough situation for Bayern Munich against Real Madrid. Only twice in the history of the UEFA Champions League has a team lost the first leg of a tie at home to turn things around and win that tie. They lost both Jerome Boateng and Arjen Robben in the first leg to injury which hampered them even more, and with major injuries to others that they are dealing with, they are not at full strength and there is an air of the first leg having been a missed opportunity for them. They certainly had enough chances to produce the win and get themselves a comfortable cushion. Even the usually deadly Robert Lewandowski didn’t bring his shooting boots to their party. Bayern’s away record against Spanish clubs is not great at W7 D5 L15 so they have a big uphill struggle ahead of them.

Bayern have to produce a couple of goals at least in this game now but in the bet365 correct score market, it is a Real Madrid 2-1 which is in at 8/1 odds with only the 1-1 draw shorter at 7/1* (Betting Odds taken at 11:45 a.m. on April 26th, 2018). Bayern Munich have been in this situation five times before, having lost the first leg of a tie at home. Twice they have turned around ties from this position. Each of the three times they didn’t, they had lost the first leg 2-1. If they can get themselves to penalty shootout they should fancy their chances as they hold a W5 L1 record in a penalty shoot-out in UEFA competitions. Real Madrid are W2 L2 in contrast. Bayern Munich have collected taken seven wins in their last fourteen road games, losing five of those. They are on a four-match winning streak on their travels at the moment though as a positive. Their depleted squad makes this more difficult as they have notable injuries to the likes of Arturo Vidal, Manuel Neuer, Kingsley Coman, Jerome Boateng, Arjen Robben. It’s questionable as to whether they have the depth to turn this time around. The first leg saw Bayern lost at home this season for the first time in all competitions.

Real Madrid v Bayern Munich Betting Odds*

Real Madrid 21/20, Bayern Munich 23/10, Draw 14/5* (Betting Odds taken at 02:45 a.m. on April 26th, 2018)

Real Madrid v Bayern Munich Predictions

Real Madrid have looked nothing more than average for most of the play offs in the Champions League this season but still, they keep finding a way to get the job done. That’s a credit to their resilience. It’s a mystery how they won that first leg, but they did and they have an advantage and can certainly play better than they did. Home win.