Real Madrid v Villarreal Predictions & Betting Odds – 5th May 2019

Villarreal can frustrate Los Merengues again

Real Madrid v Villarreal Betting Tips – La Liga, 5th May 3.15pm

Villarreal have produced well against Real Madrid recently. They have improved their form recently to put a five-point cushion between themselves and the drop zone. Real Madrid remain out of form after a shock loss at Rayo Vallecano last weekend. The end of the season can’t come quickly enough for them at the moment. Read our predictions for Real Madrid v Villarreal.

Real Madrid v Villarreal Betting Odds*

Real Madrid 7/10
Draw 3/1
Villarreal 15/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 2nd, 2019 at 7:34 p.m.)

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Real Madrid News and Form

Real Madrid again failed to handle themselves in an away game in La Liga last weekend. They suffered a 1-0 loss at relegation-threatened Rayo Vallecano. That is just a W1 D2 L1 record now that Madrid have taken in their last four league games. They have failed to score in their last two league games as well. But their troubles have been out on the road and they are actually carrying a bit of home form in La Liga. It is a four-match winning streak that they are currently on, Los Merengues having scored at least two goals in each of those four success.

This is their penultimate home fixture of the season. Their defence has picked up a clean sheet in 59% of home fixtures for the season, scoring at an average of 1.7 goals per home fixture. Only 41% of league fixtures at the Bernabeu this season have gone over 2.5 goals, which is a nod to their defence. Their overall home record is W12 D1 L4 this season and of those twelve wins, eight have been by a margin of at least two goals. 72% of the home goals that Real Madrid have scored this season have been in the second half of games. Madrid have opened the scoring 11 of their home games.

Real Madrid v Villarreal Head to Head

Each of the last two meetings have ended in a 2-2 draw
Real Madrid are winless in three against Villarreal (D2 L1)
Real Madrid lost this corresponding fixture last season 1-0
Villarreal have lost one of their last four trips to Real Madrid in the league (W2 D1)


Key-Facts – Real Madrid v Villarreal

  • Real Madrid have won their last four home league games
  • Real Madrid have taken a clean sheet in over half of their home games
  • Villarreal have won three of their last four league games (D1)


Villarreal News and Form

Villarreal are not mathematically safe from relegation, although it looks more than likely that they will stay up. Going into the weekend they are five points above the drop zone with three to play. There’s enough teams between them and the bottom three to survive. The current form of Villarreal is good as well with a W3 D1 return having been posted in their last four played and each of the wins in that sequence by a one-goal margin. Two of those three were away from home. That moved their away record for the season on to W5 D5 L7 and they have averaged exactly a goal per road game this season.

Villarreal have actually handled themselves against Real Madrid pretty well recently. So will they be able to frustrate them again? Villarreal have actually taken a clean sheet in 47% of their away games this season. The negative for them is that they have failed to score in any of their four away games this season against top six sides (D1 L3). Villarreal have been level at the half time break in 10 of their away games. They have a good scoring streak of league form going, with them having netted in each of their last five away games and in each of their last ten, home and away combined. They have conceded 67% of their away goals in the second period of fixtures.

Real Madrid v Villarreal Tips & Odds

Villarreal-Draw Double Chance at 6/5
Under 2.5 goals at 13/8
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 2nd, 2019 at 7:34 p.m.)

Real Madrid v Villarreal Predictions

Real Madrid to win: There is no clear plan from Real Madrid at the moment. There are going to be wholesale changes in the summer so they are just playing the season out in a haphazard way. Villarreal seemed to have figured them out recently, so a Double Chance on the visitors looks a nice option.