Roger Federer v Alexander Zverev Winner Odds & Predictions

Federer to edge Zverev in semi finals

Tennis Betting

Roger Federer v Alexander Zverev Preview – November 17th, 2018

The first semi-final of the ATP World Tour Finals sees Roger Federer go as the 4/9 odds on favourite* (betting odds taken on November 16th, 2018 at 10:31 pm) to beat young German Alexander Zverev. Will Federer make it through to his 11th Final in the competition or will Zverev make his first appearance in one?

Roger Federer v Alexander Zverev odds*

Roger Federer 4/9
Alexander Zverev 7/4
* (betting odds taken on November 16th, 2018 at 10:31 pm)

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Much has been made about the standings in Group Lleyton Hewitt because things have been tight and the tie-breaking format isn’t all that straight forward. Federer opened his campaign with a really sloppy, below par defeat against Kei Nishikori. But then he roared his way back to life beating Dominic Thiem and Kevin Anderson in straight sets to win the group in the end. All without the confusion of having to look percentage of sets and games won.

Federer is a five-time ATP World Tour champion but he hasn’t gotten his hands on the title since 2011. While he meets up with Zeverv in the semi-final, the bigger problem could be down the line in potentially meeting Novak Djokovic in the Final itself.

Zverev was in the Group Guga Kuerten where he had some really tight scraps. He lost heavily against Novak Djokovic and then needed two tie-break set wins to beat Marin Cilic and a tie break in his first set en-route to the victory of John Isner. Overall he took a 49.2% game win percentage across his three group games, with Federer up at 56.9%.

Head To Head

This will be the first time that Federer and Zverev have met this season. Three times they went up against each other inn 2017 and Federer came out 2-1 ahead in those matches. One of those was at last year’s ATP World Tour Finals, Federer winning a round-robin match in three sets. Overall in the head to head between Federer and Zverev, Federer narrowly leads 3-2.

Prediction

Federer looked much more like his old self after getting that poor match out of the way against Nishikori. Maybe he got some of the rust out. The fact that Zverev was easily beaten by Djokovic has to leave us leaning on Federer. It may be worth pushing for the 2-1 Correct Score at 11/4 odds* (betting odds taken on November 16th, 2018 at 10:31 pm).