Royal Ascot 16:10 Racing Odds and Tips June 17 – Heights could sprint to Victory at 14/1 with Betvictor

Victory hoping to scale the Heights in Windsor Castle

It’s going to be next to impossible to evaluate the form going into the two-year-old races at Royal Ascot this year.
For example, in Wednesday’s Windsor Castle Stakes not a single one of 20 declared runners has raced more than once so a degree of guesswork will be involved, though there may be some clues in past trends of the 5f Listed sprint.

Windsor Castle Stakes History and Trends

The Windsor Castle Stakes is normally the last race to be run on the Wednesday of Royal ascot but these are not normal times.
Past winners have gone on to run in Group races later in the year but the form is not normally as strong as, for example, the Coventry Stakes.
First run in 1879, it is always a bit of a lottery with big fields spread across the width of the Straight Course so it pays to take a close look at any draw advantage being evidenced in previous races at the meeting.

  • Only two fillies in the last 12 years have managed to reach the frame
  • Seven of the last 12 winners have started at odds of 12/1 or bigger
  • Eight of the last 12 winners started in stall 13 or higher
  • All of the last 12 winners were placed fourth or better in their previous run

Recent Winners

Year Winner Jockey Trainer Time
2007 Drawnfromthepast Martin Dwyer Jamie Osborne 0:59.77
2008 Flashmans Papers Steve Drowne John Best 1:00.60
2009 Strike The Tiger John R. Velazquez Wesley A. Ward 1:01.28
2010 Marine Commando Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey 1:01.09
2011 Frederick Engels Johnny Murtagh David Brown 0:59.91
2012 Hototo Phillip Makin Kevin Ryan 1:01.21
2013 Extortionist Johnny Murtagh Olly Stevens 0:59.82
2014 Hootenanny Victor Espinoza Wesley A. Ward 0:59.05
2015 Washington DC Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 1:00.04
2016 Ardad Robert Havlin John Gosden 1:02.56
2017 Sound and Silence William Buick Charlie Appleby 0:59.20
2018 Soldier’s Call Daniel Tudhope Archie Watson 1:00.25
2019 Southern Hills Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 1:03.05

Windsor Castle Stakes Current Best Odds

Chief Little Hawk 9/2
Sunshine City 11/2
Sheriff Bianco and Tactical 8/1
Mighty Gurkha 10/1
Get It 12/1
Victory Heights 14/1
Astimegoesby, Hyde Park Barracks and Yazam 16/1
Fast Start 22/1
Muker, Stay Smart and Steadman 25/1
Macho Pride and Fools Rush In 33/1
Tenth Century 40/1
Selected and Tantastic 50/1
Honeydew 100/1
(Odds correct at 09:45 BST June 16, 2020)
Horse Racing Betting at Ladbrokes

Windsor Castle Stakes Predictions

The big negative surrounding current favourite Chief Little Hawk (a general 9/2) is that he was a May foal and this almost always goes to one born earlier in the year but he did beat stablemate Hyde Park Barracks (a general 16/1) at Navan last week.
Frankie Dettori has chosen the filly Sunshine City (11/2) with Betvictor), a winner at Gulfstream Park, ahead of stable companion Sheriff Bianco (8/1 with Ladbrokes) but Oisin Murphy rides the Churchill Downs runner-up so he is not necessarily the second string of Wesley Ward’s stable.
Get It (12/1 with Bet365) and Tactical (8/1 with Bet365) finished second and third behind Eye Of Heaven at Newmarket and the The Queen’s colt may have the better of the draw today.
Muker (a general 25/1) had Fools Rush In (available at 33/1) back in third when scoring at Newcastle but neither the second nor the fourth have franked the form.
VICTORY HEIGHTS won at Newcastle despite showing signs of inexperience so the 14/1 with Betvictor could be a bit of value in a wide-open renewal.

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