It’s going to be next to impossible to evaluate the form going into the two-year-old races at Royal Ascot this year.
For example, in Wednesday’s Windsor Castle Stakes not a single one of 20 declared runners has raced more than once so a degree of guesswork will be involved, though there may be some clues in past trends of the 5f Listed sprint.
Table of Contents
Windsor Castle Stakes History and Trends
The Windsor Castle Stakes is normally the last race to be run on the Wednesday of Royal ascot but these are not normal times.
Past winners have gone on to run in Group races later in the year but the form is not normally as strong as, for example, the Coventry Stakes.
First run in 1879, it is always a bit of a lottery with big fields spread across the width of the Straight Course so it pays to take a close look at any draw advantage being evidenced in previous races at the meeting.
- Only two fillies in the last 12 years have managed to reach the frame
- Seven of the last 12 winners have started at odds of 12/1 or bigger
- Eight of the last 12 winners started in stall 13 or higher
- All of the last 12 winners were placed fourth or better in their previous run
Recent Winners
| Year | Winner | Jockey | Trainer | Time |
|---|
| 2007 | Drawnfromthepast | Martin Dwyer | Jamie Osborne | 0:59.77 |
| 2008 | Flashmans Papers | Steve Drowne | John Best | 1:00.60 |
| 2009 | Strike The Tiger | John R. Velazquez | Wesley A. Ward | 1:01.28 |
| 2010 | Marine Commando | Paul Hanagan | Richard Fahey | 1:01.09 |
| 2011 | Frederick Engels | Johnny Murtagh | David Brown | 0:59.91 |
| 2012 | Hototo | Phillip Makin | Kevin Ryan | 1:01.21 |
| 2013 | Extortionist | Johnny Murtagh | Olly Stevens | 0:59.82 |
| 2014 | Hootenanny | Victor Espinoza | Wesley A. Ward | 0:59.05 |
| 2015 | Washington DC | Ryan Moore | Aidan O’Brien | 1:00.04 |
| 2016 | Ardad | Robert Havlin | John Gosden | 1:02.56 |
| 2017 | Sound and Silence | William Buick | Charlie Appleby | 0:59.20 |
| 2018 | Soldier’s Call | Daniel Tudhope | Archie Watson | 1:00.25 |
| 2019 | Southern Hills | Ryan Moore | Aidan O’Brien | 1:03.05 |
Windsor Castle Stakes Current Best Odds
Chief Little Hawk 9/2
Sunshine City 11/2
Sheriff Bianco and Tactical 8/1
Mighty Gurkha 10/1
Get It 12/1
Victory Heights 14/1
Astimegoesby, Hyde Park Barracks and Yazam 16/1
Fast Start 22/1
Muker, Stay Smart and Steadman 25/1
Macho Pride and Fools Rush In 33/1
Tenth Century 40/1
Selected and Tantastic 50/1
Honeydew 100/1
(Odds correct at 09:45 BST June 16, 2020)
Horse Racing Betting at Ladbrokes
Windsor Castle Stakes Predictions
The big negative surrounding current favourite Chief Little Hawk (a general 9/2) is that he was a May foal and this almost always goes to one born earlier in the year but he did beat stablemate Hyde Park Barracks (a general 16/1) at Navan last week.
Frankie Dettori has chosen the filly Sunshine City (11/2) with Betvictor), a winner at Gulfstream Park, ahead of stable companion Sheriff Bianco (8/1 with Ladbrokes) but Oisin Murphy rides the Churchill Downs runner-up so he is not necessarily the second string of Wesley Ward’s stable.
Get It (12/1 with Bet365) and Tactical (8/1 with Bet365) finished second and third behind Eye Of Heaven at Newmarket and the The Queen’s colt may have the better of the draw today.
Muker (a general 25/1) had Fools Rush In (available at 33/1) back in third when scoring at Newcastle but neither the second nor the fourth have franked the form.
VICTORY HEIGHTS won at Newcastle despite showing signs of inexperience so the 14/1 with Betvictor could be a bit of value in a wide-open renewal.
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