Royal Ascot 16:10 Racing Odds and Tips June 19 – Godolphin stayer looks value at 9/2 with Coral

Al Dabaran poised to take the plaudits in Queen's Vase

Horse Racing Betting

Queen’s Vase History

Originally run over 2m, the distance of the Queen’s Vase was reduced to 1m6f in 2017 due to pressure from breeders.
The move wasn’t universally welcomed but elevating the contest to a Group 2 has partly compensated owners and trainers and it certainly didn’t harm the future of either the 2017 or 2018 winners, Stradivarius and Kew Gardens, who have both gone on to prove themselves top stayers.
First run in 1838, the original trophy was donated by Queen Victoria, hence the name of the race.
It’s name was changed the King’s Vase in 1903, for obvious reasons, before reverting to its original title in 1960.
Henry Cecil trained the winner eight times including with the brilliant Le Moss in 1978.
Horse Racing Betting at Coral

Recent Winners

Year Winner Jockey Trainer
2007 Mahler Michael Kinane Aidan O’Brien
2008 Patkai Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute
2009 Holberg Joe Fanning Mark Johnston
2010 Mikhail Glinka Johnny Murtagh Aidan O’Brien
2011 Namibian Silvestre de Sousa Mark Johnston
2012 Estimate Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute
2013 Leading Light Joseph O’Brien Aidan O’Brien
2014 Hartnell Joe Fanning Mark Johnston
2015 Aloft Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien
2016 Sword Fighter Colm O’Donoghue Aidan O’Brien
2017 Stradivarius Andrea Atzeni John Gosden
2018 Kew Gardens Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien
2019 Dashing Willoughby Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding

Recent Trends

  • No recent winner had raced beyond 1m4f previously
  • 75 per cent of the last 12 winners had an official rating of 99 or higher
  • Only one of the last 12 winners had won a Group race previously
  • Only one of the last 12 winners had run at ascot previously

Queen’s Vase Current Best Odds

Born With Pride 4/1 4/1 4/1
Santiago 4/1 4/1 4/1
Berkshire Rocco 10/3 10/3 5/2
Al Dabaran 7/2 4/1 9/2
Nobel Prize 5/1 5/1 4/1
On Guard 10/1 10/1 12/1
Punctuation 33/1 28/1 25/1
Cloud Thunder 250/1 100/1 150/1
London Arch 250/1 80/1 100/1

(Betting Odds were taken from Bet365, Betvictor & Coral on June 18, 2020 at 09:45 BST)

Queen’s Vase Predictions

The forecast going should hold no fears for Berkshire Rocco(a general 4/1) as he was third on soft ground in the Group 3 Zetland Stakes at Newmarket in the autumn, though the form of that race has sent out mixed messages.
Second in the Lingfield Derby Trial on his return to action, there is a good chance he’ll stay the longer trip but he doesn’t have much in the way of speed.
Santiago represents Aidan O’Brien, who has won this six times and four times in the last seven years.
He is not a certain stayer on paper but did win his maiden on soft going at Listowel in September and wouldn’t be running here if though capable of taking a big step forward, though is only a best 4/1.
Ballydoyle also run Nobel Prize (a general 11/2) who was progressing nicely last year and may have more chance of lasting home.
Born With Pride (4/1 with Bet365) looked a very smart filly when winning a Listed race on her debut at Newmarket in October. The second that day won the Irish 1000 Guineas last week and the third won the Pretty Polly at Newmarket earlier this month and is fancied to run well in tomorrow’s Coronation Stakes but Tom Marquand’s mount ran a shocker on her reappearance at Kempton and stamina could be an issue.
AL DABARAN looks an uncomplicated sort and is a stand-out 9/2 with Coral.
The Godolphin colt is from the same family as top French stayer Vazirabad. He won his first two starts as a juvenile, including one at Ascot, before getting outpaced in a couple of Group 3 races in France. Conditions are not going to be a prblem and he should also have the requisite stamina so it will be a shock if he’s not in the firing-line.

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