Royal Ascot 2019 June 21 Odds and Predictions – Horse Racing Betting

Home in on Hermosa for Group 1 treble

Horse Racing Betting

We’re on the downward slope now but there is no let up on quality at Royal Ascot, nor on quantity.

The fourth day of the festival has two races on the Straight Course containing for than 25 runners and there is a maximum field in the closing handicap on the Round Course.

Two races share centre stage and both are for the three-year-olds. The Commonwealth Cup attempts to discover the best sprinter of the classic generation while the Coronation Stakes features the dual 1000 Guineas winner Hermosa.

Commonwealth Cup – Meade colt can Advertise sprinting credentials

In just its fifth year, there hasn’t been time to establish any strong trends in the Group 1 race over 6f. But it has been noticeable that all winners so far had won over 6f previously and had raced within the previous 30 days. However, that may not be enough evidence to put a line through six of the nine-strong field.
Ten Sovereigns was drawn away from the key action when favourite for the Qipco 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket and only finished fifth. That was the first defeat of his career, however, and he beat Jash and Rumbleinthejungle in last year’s Middle Park over 6f. He is a worthy favourite at 11/8 with Betvictor but the same firm are offering 14/1 against ADVERTISE and that is simply too big.
We can probably ignore the latter’s run in the 2,000 Guineas as he was on his toes in the preliminaries and blew up in the race itself.
Second in the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot last year, he later won the July Stakes and the Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh before finishing second in the Dewhurst – that is top-class form. Neither trainer nor jockey have given up on the Showcasing colt, who is out of a Pivotal mare so should handle any give in the ground.
Hello Youmzain beat the much-touted Calyx at Haydock but that form is probably worth taking with a pinch of salt as the second was a long way below his best that day.

Advertise to Win or Place in the Commonwealth Cup
14/1

Betvictor

Commonwealth Cup Current Odds

Ten Sovereigns 11/8,  Jash  and Hello Youmzain 5/1, Khaadem 7/1, Advertise 14/1, Forever In Dreams 25/1, Rumble Inthejungle, Royal Intervention and Konchek 50/1

Coronation Stakes – Dual classic heroine Hermosa sitting pretty again

Aidan O’Brien also has a strong favourite in the Coronation Stakes in HERMOSA (a general 11/10).
You could argue that the Ballydoyle filly had an easy time out in front when beating the returning Pretty Pollyanna last time at the Curragh. But that certainly wasn’t the case earlier at Newmarket and she appears to relish a battle as well as having a fine turn of foot. She’s a worthy favourite.
French 1000 Guineas winner Castle Lady and Jubiloso are unbeaten but their form doesn’t so far compare. Pretty Polyanna has four lengths to find on the form book with the favourite.

Albany Stakes – Daahyeh looks destined for big things

Eight of the 26 runners in the opening race made a winning debut so there will be plenty of guesswork involved in trying to find the winner. A speculative vote goes to DAAHYEH as her victory at Newmarket was achieved in a decent time and the second went on to win easily at Chester. Roger Varian’s filly is 12/1 with Ladbrokes.

King Edward VII Stakes – Japan just shades rivals

No favourite has won this Group 2 since Nathaniel in 2011, even though it rarely attracts big fields. Big-priced winners are rare but this is possibly a race in which no bet would be a wise call. Making no selection is not an option, however. JAPAN‘s third in the Epsom Derby is undoubtedly the best form on offer. But he’s only a general 5/4 and this is a contest in which Aidan O’Brien’s stable has had a few disappointments down the years.

Sandringham Stakes – Totsy looks hot stuff

Favourites have a surprisingly good record in the fillies’ handicap, even though there is almost always a big field and many of the powerful stables have at least one runner. Only one of the 11 winners has started at bigger odds than 11/1 so it pays to concentrate on the head of the market and pay heed to what is backed on the day.
Magnetic Charm is the class act having won a Listed race at York on her reappearance. She’d be a popular winner as she carries the colours of The Queen. But HOTSY TOTSY has been a persistent whisper and has form on fast and soft going. She is having her first run in a handicap having bolted up under a penalty on Polytrack last time and can be backed at 10/1 with Ladbrokes.

Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes – Baghdad can continue his love affair with Ascot

It looks like bookmakers have most bases covered in this 1m4f handicap for older horses. They have BAGHDAD and Fujaira Prince, who has yet to finish outside the first two, competing for favouritism at 7/1.
The former is trained by Mark Johnston, who has a good record in this. His charge beat today’s rival Corgi in last year’s King George V Stakes over the same distance and the booking of Ryan Moore suggests connections mean business again.


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