Saul Alvarez v Sergey Kovalev Boxing Winner Odds & predictions

Alvarez - Kovalev

Boxing  Preview – Sunday, November 3rd at 4.00 am

The MGM Grand will be hosting a big boxing bout in the early hours of Sunday morning (UK time) as defending WBO light heavyweight champion Sergey Kovalev put himself on the line against Saul Alvarez. This will be a debut for Alvarez at the weight as he steps up a couple of divisions to have a shot at Kovalev’s title.

Saul Alvarez v Sergey Kovalev Odds

1 X 2
1/4 22/1 3/1

*(betting odds taken from bet365 on October 31st, 2019 at 11:23 pm)

Premier League Betting at Bet365

Will “Krusher” Kovalev hold on to his title?

Russia’s Kovalev is a career light heavyweight fighter and so that is going to be some advantage in his corner. He is currently in his third reign as the WBO light heavy championship. That started with a unanimous decision win over Colombia’s Eleider Alvarez earlier this year. Kovalev triggered his rematch clause against Alvarez after being stopped in the seventh round of their August 2018 contest in which Kovalev lost both his WBO and IBF light heavyweight crowns.

Alvarez in Round 9


He did go through a title defence in August this year as he took on Britain’s Anthony Yarde in Russia and stopped his opponent in the 11th round. That leaves Krusher with a 34-3 career record, 29 of his 34 wins coming by a knockout. It was interesting though in his recent fight against Yarde (who had never been past 7 rounds), that it was the fight in which an opponent has landed the most punches ever on Kovalev in a bout .

Can Canelo successfully step up the division?

Mexico’s Saul “Canelo” Alvarez is going up two weight classes here to have a shot at Kovalev. Throughout his career, Canelo has not been afraid of taking on challenges in different divisions. If he were to win on the weekend, then it would give him a title in a fourth different weight class in his career. He has previously won belts at light middleweight, middleweight and super middleweight.

This is the highest he has been at however and it is never an easy thing to pull off. Canelo has won his last three fights and he holds a 52-1 career record. The one loss in his career was against Floyd Mayweather back in September 2013. Alvarez holds a W11 D1 record since then. The draw was against Gennady Golovkin in 2017 before Alvarez turned around and won the rematch a year later in a big upset over GGG. Canelo has only had the one fight this year, a bout against American Daniel Jacobs back in May, which he won on a unanimous decision.

Alvarez v Kovalev Betting Tip

Alvarez by KO TKO or Disq. at 21/20 odds*
*(betting odds taken from bet365 on October 31st, 2019 at 11:23 pm)

Alvarez v Kovalev Prediction

There was some defensive weaknesses from Kovalev in his bout against Yarde earlier this year. Canelo will have been watching closely to see what tactical advantage he could take from it. Alvarez looks good value for the win and he has enough class to stop his opponent as well, so the Alvarez by a KO TKO or Disqualification at 21/10 is well worth consideration*(betting odds taken from bet365 on October 31st, 2019 at 11:23 pm).

Again, part of that is how often Yarde got through to Kovalev. Canelo has handpicked this fight. He is fresher and has the patience to soften up Kovalev inside where the Russian isn’t that strong, before striking late on in the bout.