Southampton v Bournemouth Predictions & Betting Odds – 28th April 2018

Saints to grab lifeline at home in south coast derby

Southampton
Southampton © GEPA pictures

Southampton v Bournemouth Betting Tips – Premier League 28th April 3.00pm

Big game coming up on the south coast. Southampton are in big relegation trouble and would be in a lot deeper if they were to lose this one against their rivals. The Saints simply have to turn up and deliver on home soil but they are out of winning form. Still, Bournemouth aren’t quite firing as well as they were and so the Saints have a chance to rally themselves.

Southampton News and Form

The Saints need to collect three points in this one. They are four points away from Premier League safety at the moment and have just the four games to go. So it is all on the line at the moment. They lost their FA Cup semi-final against Chelsea over the weekend and now turn to the serious business of trying to avoid relegation from the top flight. Southampton have a D3 L5 record in their last eight league games home and away and are struggling in front of goal. The Saints have scored in just two of their last six league games and their home form is poor right now. They haven’t taken a win in any of their last nine games at home in the top flight and have only managed the three wins in total there all season (D7 L7). Southampton have produced 18 goals in 17 home games this season but have netted in just one of their last three on home soil. Just 35% of their home games have made it above the 2.5 goal line. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 0:41 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). In total, the Saints have managed a clean sheet in just 18% of games at St Mary’s.

Bournemouth News and Form

Bournemouth are not running in top gear at the moment and go into this one on the back of two straight defeats (against Man Utd and Liverpool). But the bigger picture is that they have won just one of their last nine league games and are winless in four. They are winless in four on the road as well, shipping ten goals in that short run of away games. They are open at the back and in the bet365 correct score market a Southampton 1-0 is at 15/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 0:41 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). Bournemouth have just a W3 D6 L8 record away from home in the top flight this season, averaging just under a goal per game on their travels. The Cherries have conceded at an average of 1.6 goals per away game and have a clean sheet in just 18% of their road games. They are running on a ten-match sequence without a clean sheet (home and away combined) but if they turn all of that around and take an away win, they will leave their south coast rivals in heaps of trouble.

Southampton v Bournemouth Head to Head

The season’s earlier meeting produced a 1-1 draw at the Vitality and that is back to back drawn results between them. Southampton are narrowly W2 D2 L1 up against the Cherries from the five previous Premier League meetings. The Saints are unbeaten in their two previous Premier League home games against the Cherries (W1 D1) and they are undefeated in their previous 13 home games against the Cherries in all competitions throughout history. Bournemouth have failed to score in their last four visits to St Mary’s.

Southampton v Bournemouth Betting Odds*

Southampton 13/20, Draw 14/5, Bournemouth 4/1* (Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018)

Southampton v Bournemouth Predictions

Southampton to win: Home and advantage and meeting the Cherries who aren’t quite in their best form at the moment presents the Saints with a big chance of getting something together in this one. Back a home win. How badly they need it.