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Randox Grand National Final Declarations, Analysis and Six To Savour – Horse Racing April 14

Horse Racing Betting
As you can see from the list below, shocks are not uncommon in the world's greatest and most famous horse race but there are some key trends which can usually narrow down your choice at Aintree.

Grand National Winners Since 1945

Year Age Weight Trainer
2017 One For Arthur 8 10-11 L Russell D Fox 14/1
2016 Rule The World 9 10-07 M Morris D Mullins 33/1
2015 Many Clouds 8 11-9 O Sherwood L Aspell 25/1
2014 Pineau De Re 11 10-6 R Newland L Aspell 25/1
2013 Auroras Encore 11 10-3 S Smith R Mania 66/1
2012 Neptune Collonges 11 11-6 P Nicholls D Jacob 33/1
2011 Ballabriggs 10 11-0 D McCain Jnr J Maguire 14/1
2010 Dont Push It 10 11-5 JJ O'Neill AP McCoy 10/1
2009 Mon Mome 9 11-0 V Williams L Treadwell 100/1
2008 Comply Or Die 9 10-9 D Pipe T Murphy 7/1
2007 Silver Birch 10 10-6 G Elliott R Power 33/1
2006 Numbersixvalverde 10 10-8 M Brassil N Madden 11/1
2005 Hedgehunter 9 11-1 W Mullins R Walsh 7/1
2004 Amberleigh House 12 10-10 D McCain G Lee 16/1
2003 Monty's Pass 10 10-7 J Mangan B Geraghty 16/1
2002 Bindaree 8 10-4 N Twiston-Davies J Culloty 20/1
2001 Red Marauder 11 10-12 N Mason R Guest 33/1
2000 Papillon 9 10-12 T Walsh R Walsh 10/1
1999 Bobbyjo 9 9-10 T Carberry P Carberry 10/1
1998 Earth Summit 10 10-5 N Twiston-Davies C Llewellyn 7/1
1997 Lord Gyllene 9 9-10 S Brookshaw T Dobbin 14/1
1996 Rough Quest 10 10-7 T Casey M Fitzgerald 7/1
1995 Royal Athlete 12 10-6 J Pitman J Titley 40/1
1994 Miinnehoma 11 10-8 M Pipe R Dunwoody 16/1
1993 VOID
1992 Party Politics 8 10-7 N Gaselee C Llewellyn 14/1
1991 Seagram 11 10-6 D Barons N Hawke 12/1
1990 Mr Frisk 11 10-6 K Bailey Mr M Armytage 16/1
1989 Little Polveir 12 10-3 T Balding J Frost 28/1
1988 Rhyme N Reason 9 11-0 D Elsworth B Powell 10/1
1987 Maori Venture 11 10-13 A Turnell S Knight 28/1
1986 West Tip 9 10-11 M Oliver R Dunwoody 15/2
1985 Last Suspect 11 10-5 T Forster H Davies 10/1
1984 Hallo Dandy 10 10-2 GW Richards N Doughty 13/1
1983 Corbiere 8 11-4 J Pitman B de Haan 13/1
1982 Grittar 9 11-5 F Gilman Mr D Saunders 7/1
1981 Aldaniti 11 10-13 J Gifford B Champion 10/1
1980 Ben Nevis 12 10-12 T Forster Mr C Fenwick 40/1
1979 Rubstic 10 10-0 J Leadbetter M Barnes 25/1
1978 Lucius 9 10-9 GW Richards B Davies 14/1
1977 Red Rum 12 11-8 D McCain T Stack 9/1
1976 Rag Trade 10 10-12 F Rimell J Burke 14/1
1975 LEscargot 12 11-3 D Moore T Carberry 13/2
1974 Red Rum 9 12-0 D McCain B Fletcher 11/1
1973 Red Rum 8 10-5 D McCain B Fletcher 9/1
1972 Well To Do 9 10-1 T Forster G Thorner 14/1
1971 Specify 9 10-13 J Sutcliffe J Cook 28/1
1970 Gay Trip 8 11-5 F Rimell P Taaffe 15/1
1969 Highland Wedding 12 10-4 T Balding E Harty 100/9
1968 Red Alligator 9 10-00 S Smyth B Fletcher 100/7
1967 Foinavon 9 10-0 J Kempton J Buckingham 100/1
1966 Anglo 8 10-0 F Winter T Norman 50/1
1965 Jay Trump 8 11-5 F Winter T Smith 100/6
1964 Team Spirit 12 10-3 F Walwyn W Robinson 18/1
1963 Ayala 9 10-0 K Piggott P Buckley 66/1
1962 Kilmore 12 10-4 R Price F Winter 28/1
1961 Nicolaus Silver 9 10-1 F Rimell B Beasley 28/1
1960 Merryman 9 10-12 N Crump G Scott 13/2
1959 Oxo 8 10-13 W Stephenson M Scudamore 8/1
1958 Mr What 8 10-06 T Taaffe Sr A Freeman 18/1
1957 Sundew 11 11-07 F Hudson F Winter 20/1
1956 ESB 10 11-03 F Rimell D Dick 100/7
1955 Quare Times 9 11-00 V O'Brien P Taaffe 100/9
1954 Royal Tan 10 11-07 V O'Brien B Marshall 8/1
1953 Early Mist 8 11-02 V O'Brien B Marshall 20/1
1952 Teal 10 10-12 N Crump A Thompson 100/7
1951 Nickel Coin 9 10-01 J O'Donoghue J Bullock 40/1
1950 Freebooter 9 11-11 B Renton J Power 10/1
1949 Russian Hero 9 10-08 G Owen L McMorrow 66/1
1948 Sheila's Cottage 9 10-07 N Crump A Thompson 50/1
1947 Caughoo 8 10-00 H McDowell E Dempsey 100/1
1946 Lovely Cottage 9 10-08 T Rayson Capt B Petre 25/1

Grand National Key Trends

  • History tells us that the age of the winner will be between 8 and 12
  • Only one horse, Many Clouds, has carried more than 11st 7lb to victory since Red Rum in 1977.
  • Only one winner in the last 27 years did not have a run in the eight weeks prior to the Grand National
  • Only two of the last 19 winners had fallen or unseated their rider more than twice previously so, even though the fences have been modified and horse are better prepared, jumping is still important
  • The average odds of the winner over the last six years is 32/1. The race nowadays attracts a better class of chaser and most of the 40 runners this year have earned their place. No outright favourite has won in more than 10 years but it will be the market leaders that attracts the majority of the ¬£150million expected to be wagered on the race at the weekend. Some will be the 'housewives' that the newspapers like to target with their 'Pinstickers' Guides' but many will be serious bettors who regard the National as just another race. only one with bigger and broader betting opportunities
  • Class is still important in the Grand National and all recent winners have won a race over fences valued at ¬£10,000 or more
  • Every winner over the last 25 years had won over at least 3m previously - this is not a race for dubious stayers
Bechers Brook, The Chair, Valentines and Canal Turn - just four of the 16 unique fences that make up a circuit on the National Course at Aintree. The runners have to go around twice to complete the 4m4f, only The Chair and water jump are only jumped once, on the world's greatest steeplechase and not all will make it home. There were only 16 finishers when the race was run on soft going two years ago. The first official running of the Grand National was in 1839 and there have been countless stories and myths attached to the race in the years in between - will any rewrite history in 2018? With several bookmakers advertising that they'll pay out on each-way bets down the sixth place in the Grand National (one is paying out on the first eight places), here is my Six to Savour in this year's big race (in no particular order).

Final Declarations - Six to Savour

    1. SHANTOU FLYER (40/1 with 10Bet and William Hill) was pulled up last year but didn't have much luck in-running. Has changed stables this season and has been right back to form lately for Richard Hobson. He can't have the ground soft enough so conditions won't be an issue.
    2. WARRIORS TALE (general 50/1) has raced mostly over shorter trips over fences but was just collared over 3m in the Skybet Chase at Doncaster in January and was placed over 3m2f over hurdles. Owner Trevor Hemmings loves to have a runner in the race.
    3. TIGER ROLL (a general 11/1) travelled strongly throughout when winning the Cross-Country Chase at Cheltenham. He's not overly big so the fences will ask questions of Gordon Elliott's eight-year-old but he's won over 4m so is unlikely to be stopping if jumping round.
    4. VIEUX LION ROUGE  (a general 33/1) was seventh two years ago and sixth last year, fading in the closing stages on both occasions. But stamina shouldn't be a problem as he's won a Grand National Trial over 3m4f and has also won a Becher Chase over the Grand National fences. Lightly-raced this season - will it be his year this time?
    5. VALSEUR LIDO (66/1 with 10Bet and William Hill) is another running in the Gigginstown colours, but this one is trained by Henry De Bromhead. He is a dual Grade 1 winner over fences running in his first handicap and overpriced if he can recapture his best form. Two recent runs have been over a trip too short.
    6. I JUST KNOW (a general 25/1) has been the subject of sustained ante-post interest and is a bold-jumping front-runner who made all over 3m6f at Catterick in January. Had a recent pipe-opener over hurdles and still looks well handicapped so should go well.

Randox Health Grand National 2018 Likely Odds

Total Recall, Anibale Fly and Tiger Roll 10/1, Blaklion 11/1, Baie Des Iles 12/1, Seeyouatmidnight 14/1, Minella Rocco and Ucello Conti 16/1, Captain Redbeard 18/1, I Just Know and The Last Samuri 20/1, Gas Line Boy, Milansbar, Raz De Maree, Regal Encore, Shantou Flyer, and The Dutchman 25/1, Vieux Lion Rouge and Alpha Des Obeaux 33/1, Carlingford Lough, Final Nudge and Houblon Des Obeaux 40/1, Lord Windermere, Pleasant Company, Vicente, Vintage Clouds and Warriors Tale 50/1, Bless The Wings, Buywise, Chase The Spud and Childrens List 50/1, Perfect Candidate, Saint Are and Valseur Lido 66/1, Beeves, Delusionofgrandeur, Double Ross, Pendra, Road To Riches, Thunder And Roses and Virgilio 100/1, Walk In The Mill 150/1, Maggio and Tenor Nivernais 200/1


Cheltenham Festival Day Two Preview – Horse Racing Betting March 14

Horse Racing Betting
SAMCRO looks a banker in the Ballymore Novices' Hurdle at the start of day two of the Cheltenham Festival. Gordon Elliott resisted the temptation to run his star novice in the Supreme Novices' Hurdle yesterday and probably has another Irish raider, Next Destination, to beat in this lesser contest, though nobody will be getting rich at the current best 8/11. Honours were fairly even between Ireland and the home team on the opening day of The Festival and day two promises to be just as competitive, though Irish eyes should be smiling again after the second race, the RSA Insurance Novices' Chase. This is as much a race for future stayers as yesterday's National Hunt Chase and Presenting Percy has been popular with ante-post punters and is set to go off favourite (currently a best 5/2). He won the Pertemps Final over hurdles last year for Patrick Kelly and has proved just as adept over fences but could find MONALEE a tough opponent. Henry De Bromhead's seven-year-old has always looked a chaser in the making, despite having the speed to finish second in last year's Albert Bartlett over the smaller obstacles. He's won both completed starts over fences, beating today's rivals Al Boum Photo and Dounikos in a Grade 1 at Leopardstown last time, and the return to 3m is probably a plus - the 7/2 with Betbright looks a bit of value. Bryony Frost has developed a terrific partnership with Black Corton but this may be a step too far for the Paul Nicholls runner.

RSA Insurance Novices' Chase Current Best Odds

Presenting Percy 5/2, Monalee 7/2, Al Boum Photo 7/1, Black Corton and Dounikos 8/1, Elegant Escape 11/1, Ballyoptic 18/1, Bonbon Au Miel 25/1, Allysson Monterg 50/1, Full Irish 100/1 The Coral Cup comes under the 'too hard' category while a late injury scare has dampened enthusiasm for backing ALTIOR at a best 5/4 in the Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase and who's to say which of Willie Mullins' five runners in the Weatherbys Champion Bumper will prove best but TIGER ROLL could be worth an interest in the Glenfarclas Chase over the cross-country fences. Gordon Elliott won the race last year with Cause Of Causes, ridden by Jamie Codd, and that partnership has been backed for a repeat (a general 11/4). But the stable also run Bless the Wings, who has run over the cross-country fences, and Tiger Roll. The latter won the National Hunt Chase at the meeting last year and his run behind Bless The Wings at Cheltenham in December had all the hallmarks of a prep race, though he's now into a general 6/1. The Last Samuri is the potential fly in the ointment but the Aintree specialist will have to adapt quickly to the unique challenge of the obstacles.  

Bet365 Gold Cup Odds – Horse Racing Betting April 25

Horse Racing Betting
Having run in the Crabbie's Grand National has proved no bar to performing well in the bet365 Gold Cup in the past. Burton Port unseated his rider at Aintree last year just two weeks before finishing second at Sandown but actual winners in this are less frequent. Royale Knight (a general 20/1) was sixth in the Grand National and heads a quartet of runners bidding for compensation in the last big race of the national hunt season. Rocky Creek (a general 16/1) was unplaced at Aintree but had earlier won the BetBright Chase at Kempton, ahead of Sandown specialist Le Reve (8/1 with Betfred and on betfair). Ely Brown (40/1 with Coral)and Unioniste (16/1 with Betfred) both fell in the Grand National but the latter is one of four Paul Nicholls entries in this and there has barely been a Saturday go by over the last couple of months without his stable winning at least one major race. WONDERFUL CHARM may be the one best equipped to carry the Ditcheat banner this time and he looks attractively priced at 16/1 with Boylesports, BetVictor, Coral and William Hill. Possibly a little unlucky not to catch Duke Of Lucca (a general 14/1) over 3m1f at Aintree on Grand National day, the seven-year-old could find further improvement over this extra half-mile and the ground has turned in his favour. Very highly tried since winning at Newton Abbot in the autumn, he was placed in a Grade 1 around time last year and should give a good account. Wonderful-Charm_3043681 Grand Jesture (11/1 with bet365 and Skybet)should run well for Henry De Bromhead if reproducing his latest second to The Druid's Nephew at Cheltenham. He's only 4lb higher but The Package (11/1 with 888sport) has been raised 10lb for winning the Kim Muir Fulke Walwyn at The Festival and isn't getting any younger - no 12-year-old has won this in 20 years which will also count against Vics Canvas (a general 16/1). The useful hunter chaser Paint The Clouds (a general 9/1) is interesting, however, though Sam Waley-Cohen will probably have to put up a bit of overweight. He makes more appeal the former Gold Cup winner Bob's Worth (11/1 with 888sport), who has been well below his best this season. Bally Legend (a general 25/1) often runs well in these big handicaps but this is a real staying test and he might have stamina limitations. The faster going might help Lost The Legend (a stand-out 25/1 with Coral) but the champion trainer can charm his fans again in the season's big finale.