US Open 2019 Tennis Winner Odds & Predictions

Djokovic the one to beat at Flushing Meadows

Tennis Betting

US Open 2019 Tennis Preview

The fourth and final tennis Grand Slam action of 2019 will start on Monday, August 26th. That is when the US open 2019 will be taking centre stage. So it is Grand Slam time again and once again there is pretty much only one question weighing heavily on the minds of punters.

The question, of course, is which of the big three is going to walk away with the title? It’s almost as if the rest of the 128 man-field doesn’t even need to bother showing up.

US Open 2019 outright winner odds*

Novak Djokovic 11/10
Raphael Nadal 3/1
Roger Federer 7/1
Daniil Medvedev 12/1
Stefanos Tsitsipas 25/1
Dominic Thiem 28/1
Stan Wawrinka 40/1
Kei Nishikori 50/1
David Goffin 50/1
Milos Raonic 50/1
Karen Khachanov 50/1
Felix Auger Aliassime 66/1
Kevin Anderson 66/1
100/1 bar
* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm)

U.S. Open reigning champion

Novak Djokovic claimed his third U.S. Open Grand Slam career title 12 months ago he made fairly light work of Juan Martin del Potro in the showcase match. Djokovic goes back as the 11/10 outright favourite to win the title once more and given his record in Grand Slams this season then he does look to be the one to beat* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm).

Roger Federer Outright Winner


The record of the Serbian speaks for itself. He has claimed two Grand Slam titles this year, the first at the Australian Open and then he followed it up with the Wimbledon title. For the record, that was his seventh Australian Open title and his fifth Wimbledon title.

Djokovic has made an appearance in four of the last five Grand Slam tournaments, winning four of those. Just once in his last eight Grand Slam final appearances as he failed to convert and walk away with the title. That was in his 2016 U.S. Open final defeat against Stan Wawrinka.

Djokovic has been to 8 US Open finals, so he has put in a lot of appearances to claim those three titles. In his last six US Open final appearances, he is W3 L3. The only action that Djokovic played between picking up the Wimbledon title and the start of the U.S. Open was an appearance in Cincinnati

He lost in the Cincinnati semifinals against Russia’s Daniil Medvedev. That is twice this season that Djokovic has been beaten by Medvedev, and the fascinating thing is that the two of them could meet up in the quarter finals at Flushing Meadows.

Can Roger Federer end US Open drought?

Roger Federer is just one of three players in the modern open era to have won the US Open five times. But can he get that elusive sixth title to make him the greatest of all time at the Grand Slam? Well, the Swiss player has such a great affinity with Flushing Meadows, but his last title there happened in 2008.

Federer claimed each of his five U.S. Open career Slam titles in consecutive years. Just twice since that 2008 title has Federer made it back to the final. The most recent of those two final appearances was in 2015 it when he lost to Djokovic in four sets. Last year he suffered a shock fourth-round exit against Americas John Millman.

Federer has proven this year that hestill has the legs to go the full two weeks of a Grand Slam as he reached the final of Wimbledon back in the summer. Unfortunately for him, he was stopped by Djokovic again.

The way that the draw for the U.S. Open 2019 has panned out, Roger Federer who is third seed would potentially meet Novak Djokovic in the semifinals, and then potentially have to face Rafael Nadal in the final itself.

Will Rafael Nadal take advantage of the draw?

So Spain’s Nadal has the benefit of the draw in some way here. He is the one of the big three who gets to go on his own in the bottom half of the draw. So that should increase his chances of getting close to what would be his fourth U.S. Open title.

He has been back playing some fantastic stuff during the 2019 season and of course picked up the record 12th French Open title earlier this year. While the rest of his Grand Slam career doesn’t even come close to what he has achieved in Paris, the U.S. Open is his second-best Grand Slam tournament in terms of titles one.

As one of the big three in the game, he has produced tremendous consistency at the Grand Slams. He has not been eliminated before the semi-final stage in any of his last six Slam events. He was the defending champion at the U.S. Open last year but couldn’t go the extra step as he was stopped in the semifinals by injury.

Nadal lost this year’s Australian Open final against Djokovic. With the bookmakers having Nadal at 3/1 odds to win the US Open 2019, they see him as a far bigger threat than Roger Federer* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm).

Medvedev leads the chasing pack

Even at this stage after a long season and with the big three not getting any younger, it is still hard to dig around and find value within anybody else in the field. Djokovic, Nadal and Federer are the only three players heading into action at Flushing Meadows in single figures with the bookmakers.

Leading the charge of the chasing pack is young Russian Daniil Medvedev who is at 12/1 odds to lift the U.S. Open title* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm). As mentioned above he has had a great season in terms of having beaten Djokovic twice.

The second one of those victories was recently at the Western and Southern open, on his way to winning the title which was incidentally the biggest title of Medvedev’s career. So can he now translate that over to the even bigger stage of the Grand Slam? To do that he may well have to pull it would be a remarkable third victory this calendar year over Djokovic who he could meet in the quarter-finals.

The rest of the field

So then beyond the big 3+ Medvedev, you’re getting deeper into the realms of improbability from a betting perspective. Trading at 25/1 is young Greek star Stefanos Tsisiptas but his form has fallen away ever since the start of Wimbledon* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm).

He produced a fantastic first half of the season including his run to the semifinals of the Australian Open. But whether he can do enough now to produce top-level tennis and walk away with the first-ever Grand Slam is a whole different matter entirely.

There is Austria’s Dominic Thiem who is one of the top players in the chasing pack. However, his Slam record outside of the French open is pretty sorry. So for that reason alone, it would be a surprise to see him come through the field and walk away with the title as well.

The only other player in the lineup who is under a quote of 30/1 is young German Alexander Zverev. But stack-up his Grand Slam career record so far, as you can do with the likes of seasoned pros like veterans Stan Wawrinka, Kevin Anderson and Marin Cilic, it becomes really difficult to see any of them doing enough over a fortnight to walk away with the crown based on the lack of what they have done.

Can anyone stop Djokovic in the first quarter?

The first quarter of the draw should not take too much sizing up really. This is where the top seed and defending champion Novak Djokovic is. He is 1/3 odds on to claim the win in the quarter* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm). The closest challenger is Russia’s Daniil Medvedev. Also up in the top quarter is former champion Stan Wawrinka and Kevin Anderson.

Can Federer win competitive second quarter?

The second quarter is Roger Federer’s section and the five-time US Open champion is at 10/11 odds to win this part of the draw* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm). There are however some tricky opponents in there that could trip him up.

Behind the favouritism of Federer in the second quarter at the US open 2019, you have Kei Nishikori, Milos Raonic and David Goffin all at 17/1 odds. Grigor Dimitrov is a longer shot at 18/1* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm).

Who wins the open third quarter?

The third-quarter of the U.S. Open should produce a highly competitive section. The outright favourite to win the third quarter is Dominic Thiem at 11/4* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm).

But also in this part of the draw is Stefanos Tsipsitas, Roberto Bautista Agut, young Canadian sensation Felix Auger Aliassime and Nick Kyrgios. You also have a couple of dangerous heavy servers in Denis Shapovalov and Kyle Edmund in the mix.

Player to win the fourth quarter

This is Nadal’s section of the draw and the Spaniard is at 4/6 odds on to win it, not too surprisingly* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm). The top-seeded opponent that he could need down in the bottom quarter is Alexander Zeverev who has yet to prove that he can make an impact at Grand Slam level. Other than that, Nadal really has been handed a favourable draw.

Open 2019 predictions

We really find it hard to look past Novak Djokovic for the title again at Flushing Meadows. While Roger Federer has been talking the talk, happy with his performance at Wimbledon and a good rest behind him since then, but the fact is it has been over a decade since he has gone the distance in New York.

Given that he’s in such a competitive section of the draw and would have to potentially go past Djokovic and Nadal then we see that as being too big a challenge for the Swiss legend.

Nadal should be able to make a deep run simply because of the favourable draw that he has been handed. However, at the end of the day, there is no better player around on the hardcourt surface than Djokovic. He’s top seed and top pick.

So it is not the most exciting of prediction is but it does look to be the most stable. It is probably worth a look at a Djokovic/Nadal option in the name the finalists market too. That incidentally is a 9/4 option for your US Open 2019 betting* (betting odds taken from Bet365 on August 23rd, 2019 at 11:29 pm).