Just who will win the Cheltenham Gold Cup 2012? That is the question on the lips of horse racing fans as this year’s renewal of the famous race heads our way. The 2012 Cheltenham Gold Cup will be ran on Friday, March 16th and there are doubts over whether or not, two times champion Kauto Star will be fit enough to take part after picking up an injury while schooling. That has left the defending Champion and incredible talent of Long Run as clear and outright favourite in 2012 Cheltenham Gold Cup betting this year. The famous run, which goes over 3 miles and two and a half furlongs, presents 22 jumps to the runners and rider and while the field this season perhaps does not look quite as strong as last year’s there are some good trends worth looking at for Cheltenham Gold Cup Ante Post betting prices. The injury to Kauto Star will continue to be the biggest story until a decision is made either way on his participation. But it seems as if Long Run is holding all the aces at the moment, but will the challengers such as Burton Port, Grands Crus and Synchronised be able to challenge for the front in the Cheltenham showpiece? Or will Long Run, who demolished the illustrious field last season at Prestbury Park by seven lengths hit back from his slight dip in form after suffering back to back defeats against a resurgent Kauto Star?
As with horse racing betting, it is always worth dipping into some trends to try and help figure out who will win the Cheltenham Gold Cup 2012? One of the most prominent trends which has caught our eye, is the fact that the last eleven winners of the Cheltenham Gold Cup all came from the front three in the betting. So that as it stands, means that a winner will come from the trio of Long Run, Kauto Star or Burton Port (if Kauto Star doesn’t make it, then you can throw Grands Crus in there). Experience at Cheltenham also counts for a long when trying to decide who will win the Cheltenham Gold Cup 2012, because out of the last fourteen winners of the Gold Cup, twelve of them had secured a place finish at the Cheltenham Festival before. Seasonal form is also worth looking at, because the Gold Cup champion in eleven of the last twelve years had all won a race during the season in the build up to the race. Long Run? Check. Kauto Star? Check. Synchronised? Check. Grands Crus? Check. Burton Port? Negative. So there are some strong pointers there as well to sum up the fact that you really should be looking at the head of the ante post Cheltenham Gold Cup betting to pick out your winner. If you want to tip your hand in favour of favourite Long Run, then six of the last nine Cheltenham Gold Cup winners have started as favourites. Another factor we could be looking at is age, as horses between seven and nine have tasted victory in sixteen of the last eighteen Gold Cups. That puts Grands Crus, Burton Port and in particular Long Run in the frame. Twelve year old Kauto Star is naturally beyond the range, while Synchronised is at the top end, aged nine.
Who will win the Cheltenham Gold Cup 2012? Well, if we are taking any ante post pointers from the bookies, then no-one is really going to come close to Long Run here. He is so far out in front at the moment, that it could be a foregone conclusion. There is not the talent at the front of the pack like there was last year, but if Long Run turns up and has a bad day, then there is superb prices to be taken in the chasing pack behind him. Alternatively a good look at the Without Kauto Star/Long Run Market, where the field is evenly priced at great value with Grands Crus and Burton Port the stand out candidates there.
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