Wimbledon Betting 2017 Men’s Winner Odds & Predictions

Worth opposing the big four at SW19?

Tennis Betting

The summer treat that is Wimbledon all beings on July 3rd and it will bring two weeks of high quality tennis action to the table. Andy Murray will be back to defend his title but it is Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal who have shared the two previous Grand Slam titles this year, and with Novak Djokovic going through his tough phase when he is struggling or form, perhaps this year’s Wimbledon is going to be even more wide open than before.

The tournament this year turns through to July 16th and heading into the tournament at the All England Club, it is veteran Federer who is running at 9/4 favourite with bet365 to claim the title. After his Australian Open title this year, the Swiss superstar proved that he can still roll back the years and the beat the best. Federer will be eyeing up his eighth Wimbledon title as he heads to London this year.

Wimbledon Men 2017 Infographic

But Andy Murray, who has won two of the last four editions of the tournament will himself be looking to rediscover his best form. His grass court preparations haven’t gone all that well, to be honest but when the Grand Slams roll around, Murray can usually be counted on. He went much better and much deeper into the French Open this year than many thought he would do and as he is one of the more natural grass court players in the draw, he will pose a major threat if he can pull everything together.

It will be interesting to see how former world number one Novak Djokovic goes in this one because he has been struggling so badly by his standards this year and hasn’t won a tournament since January. That suggests that he’s not quite there are the moment but punters may see a bit of value on him coming good in an open field. Then there is Rafael Nadal who is a former champion at Wimbledon like the other big three and will be on a high after winning the French Open for a record 10th time.

Wimbledon 2017 Winner Odds

Tennis Player Betting Odds
Roger Federer 9/4
Andy Murray 10/3
Rafael Nadal 9/2
Novak Djokovic 6/1
Milos Raonic 14/1
Marin Cilic 14/1
Alexander Zverev 16/1
Nick Kyrgios 16/1
Grigor Dimitrov 20/1
Stan Wawrinka 25/1
Dominic Thiem 28/1
Juan Martin del Potro 28/1
bar 50/1

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Wimbledon 2017 Preview

So who will be crowned champion? You have the interesting scenario where, since 2003, no one outside of the big four (Federer, Djokovic, Murray and Nadal) have won the men’s singles, so that’s a pretty good place to start for your Wimbledon 2017 tennis betting. But we will take a look at those outside of the big four. The grass courts, of course, play a lot quicker than a lot of players can handle, that is because the bounce is generally flatter, so the ball carries more pace onto the racquet. That is in complete contrast to the higher bounces on the slower clay courts, so this is a tough transition between clay swing of the season onto the grass.

The seedings for this year’s Wimbledon, in order, are

1. Andy Murray
2. Novak Djokovic
3. Roger Federer
4. Rafael Nadal
5. Stan Wawrinka
6. Milos Raonic
7. Marin ?ili?
8. Dominic Thiem
9. Kei Nishikori
10. Alexander Zverev

Andy Murray

Murray got his second Wimbledon title here last year as he beat out Canada’s Milos Raonic in straight sets in the final. While it was another major coup for Murray, it didn’t get as much hype and attention as his first title at the tournament back in 2013. The British number one has had a difficult season because he has been battling through illness and injury for most of it, but he raised his game very well at the French Open, reaching the semifinals after having no form going into the tournament at all. Murray has made it to the final four in seven of his last eight Wimbledon campaigns, so he should get close to landing what would be his fourth Grand Slam title. He may have to dig in through the second week, especially having played just one game on grass, losing in the first round at Queen’s to an unranked Jordan Thompson. There’s just a little doubt about him lasting the distance this year as he is going in with a 21-9 record this season.

Novak Djokovic

What a strange season it has been from Djokovic. He opened early in the season with a win in Qatar but he hasn’t claimed a title since them. After a straight sets exit at the hands of Dominic Thiem at the French Open, his commitment to the game was called upon by John McEnroe who accused Djokovic of just giving up. But the Serbian took a late wildcard at Eastbourne to play his first grass-court pre-Wimbledon tournament for ten years. That shows some desire to get back to his best. He doesn’t look to be quite mentally there though, not as tough as he should be right now and you can imagine that as soon as he starts feeling under pressure at some point, the walls may come tumbling down. No reason why he can’t get a quarter final berth, but yes, he’s vulnerable at the moment. The only thing that appeals to punters will be seeing a nice 6/1 price at bet365 on him to come good.

Roger Federer

The Fed Express rolled back the years with a win at the Australian Open earlier this year and he has been managing his time on the court very well, selecting his tournaments wisely. On top of that Australian Open success he has also won the Indian Wells titles by beating Stan Wawrinka, the Miami Open by beating Rafael Nadal and in his grass warm up ahead of Wimbledon, he took the title in Halle, beating Alexander Zverev in the final. That’s vastly different opponents in terms of style that he has beaten at the business end of tournaments this season. He clearly still has it in him and that is why Federer is many people’s favourite at bet365 to go and land his eighth Wimbledon title this year. He is the form man of the big four.

Rafael Nadal

Like Federer, Nadal has enjoyed a very good season, but the difference is, that Nadal’s done most of his good work on clay. It is telling that of his fifteen Grand Slam career titles, ten of them have been at the French Open. Nadal’s track record since reaching the 2011 final where he lost out to Djokovic, is pretty poor with him not having been past the fourth round since then. In three of his last four appearances at the All England Club, Nadal has gone out before the third round. So his golden days of reaching five Wimbledon finals in five consecutive appearances is long behind him and while he is carrying form and looking back to his very best, how will he adapt to the grass, where he is more vulnerable than anywhere else?

Opposing the big four

It is hard to oppose the big four in Wimbledon 2017 betting, but it is certainly worth a look. With Djokovic and Murray having difficult seasons, Nadal not at his best on grass and without form at Wimbledon then the field could be a lot more open than usual. So who would be the most likely to come through and steal the show?

Well, Canada’s Milos Raonic reached last season’s final and is decent on the grass to compete in this one, but you worry about his mental approach in the latter stages of tournaments. Marin Cilic had a good warm up on grass and you have the likes of Stan Wawrinka and Dominic Thiem there as well. Rising star of the game Thiem may have appeal out at 28/1 with bet365 even though grass isn’t his favourite surface, while young German Alexander Zverev is hovering anywhere between 16/1 and 22/1 with the bookmaker unsure of what he could potentially deliver. He warmed up by reaching the final of Halle on grass though which increases his value.

Then there is the volatile Nick Kyrgios who has beaten Djokovic twice this season but has as much ability to win as he does to self-capitulate. But breaking that down, Wawrinka has no form at Wimbledon whatsoever in his career, while Cilic has never been past the quarter-finals, but has reached the final eight in each of his last three Wimbledon campaigns, so could be there or thereabouts again. Theim and Zverev are starting to find their feet in Slams and those younger, braver players are perhaps worth having an each way flutter on as opposed to the likes of Wawrinka and Cilic who won’t be going there with particularly high expectations.

Wimbledon 2017 Predictions

Of the big four, it is hard to look past Federer in this one. He has had an incredible season and of them all, he can hang out on grass better than the rest of them. So as a favourite he is worth a flutter in the field, but there is a temptation on backing Djokovic at such a big price because that doesn’t happen too often. There is though, because the top four collectively look weaker than they have done for a long time in a Grand Slam, temptation to look beyond the top four. Thiem has to be worth a flutter. He has beaten Djokovic, Murray and Nadal this season and as long as he finds his feet on grass quick enough (he did win a title on grass last season), at 28/1 with bet365, that’s an each way value. The same can be said of Zverev who seemed comfortable enough on the grass at Halle recently.