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Brighton v Newcastle Betting Odds, Preview and Predictions

Seagulls with potential for another cup upset against Magpies

3rd January 2013 / Lee A Jackson
Shola Ameobi  (Newcastle)

Brighton v Newcastle Betting Preview
This fixture has the potential of a big cup upset, as the struggling Magpies continue to stutter with their form and slide closer to the relegation zone in the Premier League. With top scorer Demba Ba missing as he enters transfer talks with Chelsea, how will Newcastle cope with a long trip down to the south coast? Championship side Brighton, sitting in mid table in the division, could have enough in defence to keep the visitors at bay and strike another blow to Alan Pardew’s season.

Brighton v Newcastle Betting Odds at Online bookmaker William Hill
Newcastle 6/4, Brighton 17/10, Draw 12/5

Brighton v Newcastle Recommended Bet:
The Seagulls, managed by former Chelsea midfielder Gus Poyet will be fully aware of the miserable form of Newcastle at the moment and be fancying themselves. The Albion aren’t in bad shape at the moment, losing just one of their last five in the Championship. Looking back further they have lost just two of their last thirteen matches in the English second tier. So there is a good bit of resilience about them and at home this season in the Championship, they have conceded on average at a rate of under a goal per game. So a solid defensive performance against a Newcastle side without Demba Ba could get them far here. Top scorer and big threat up front for the Seagulls will be Craig Mackail-Smith who has netted eleven league goals for them this season. Looking at Brighton’s form this season, they have had a penchant for drawing matches, with 46% of all their  home matches ending up in a tie. So that wouldn’t be a bad result with extra cash from a replay, but there is a chance for them to get the job done here. Newcastle could well send out an under strength side. Interestingly in FA Cup history, the last three meetings between the two sides have resulted in wins for Albion, including in the Fourth Round of last season’s FA Cup. Brighton have won three of their last five FA Cup matches against higher tiered sides.

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Newcastle won’t be looking forward to this match, and will have memories of the upset they suffered against the Seagulls in last season’s FA Cup. They have slid to three defeats in a row in the Premier League, conceding thirteen goals in those matches. With the impending departure of Demba Pa, it will be time for Papiss Cisse to rediscover his incredible form from last season. But looking back beyond the last three matches, Newcastle have lost nine of the last eleven Premier League matches. In amongst all that, they did progress to the knockout stage of the Europa League, done so with largely under strength sides. That may be the way Pardew goes again here, resting players for all important Premier League duty. So that could make them more vulnerable as they are low on confidence. Just for some more problems for Newcastle, they have not won an away match in the FA cup since way back in 2006 when they beat Cheltenham Town. Going up against the Seagulls who have lost just one of their last twelve home FA Cup ties, this is thin ice for the Premier League side. The Magpies have scored seven goals in their last three matches, but will their defence fail them? Might just be worth a Draw No bet on Brighton at odds of Evens with online bookmaker William Hill


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Brighton LDDDLW, Newcastle LLWLLL

Stat Attack
Newcastle haven’t won an away game in the FA Cup since 2006
Brighton have lost just one of the last twelve home ties in the FA Cup
Brighton beat the Magpies in last season’s FA Cup 4th round
Newcastle have lost the last three FA Cup ties against the Seagulls

Online bookmaker Promotion
William Hill are offering some enhanced odds on this FA Cup match which has real potential for an upset. The bookie is offering odds of 5/1 on Craig Mackail-Smith to score and Brighton to win in 90 minutes, and the same odds of Papiss Cisse to score and Newcastle to win in 90 minutes. So worth jumping on and online bookmaker William Hill offer a great welcome bonus of up to a £25 free bet for new customers registering an account with them, matching the value of your first stake on a new account.

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