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La Liga


On this page you find articles on La Liga and sports betting in general.



European Football Betting

Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Betting Preview
Everything is cued up for a massively dramatic finale over in Spain. It isn’t going to get much more tense than this. The only two sides who can get their hands on the title go head to head on Saturday, and it is Atletico who just hold the upper hand because all they need is a draw at the Nou Camp to take a surprise title.

Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Betting Odds at online bookmaker Paddy Power
Barcelona 5/6, Draw 11/4, Atletico Madrid 3/1

Online bookmaker Promotion
Paddy Power have a good promotion running for your Barcelona v Atletico Madrid betting. If Lionel Messi scores the last goal of the game, then the bookmaker will refund lost bets on the First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast single markets. New customers registering an account with online betting site Paddy Power can get up to a free £50 bet as a welcome bonus.

Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Betting Tips:
Diego Simeone’s men could have wrapped up the title on the weekend. However, they could only manage a come from behind draw against Malaga. Will that missed opportunity come back to haunt them? It may, as they have lost on their last six league visits to the Nou Camp and have conceded at an average of 4.3 goals per game in that sequence. However, Atletico are strong in defence and Barcelona haven’t been as clinically ruthless as they have been known for, and themselves could only take a draw on the weekend, firing blanks in a 0-0 away at Elche. Also, Barcelona have faced Atletico five times this season and haven’t managed to win (D4 L1), the defeat coming in the UEFA Champions League. Barcelona have only managed back to back draws in La Liga too, they haven’t gone three in a row without a win since the 2008/09 season.

So they haven’t been at their best, but they have Lionel Messi and they therefore have a chance. Against no La Liga side has Messi scored more goals than he has managed against Atletico, seventeen in total. Messi is a 4/7 shot in the anytime goalscorer market and is running at 5/2 in the First Goalscorer market. It is Neymar though who has netted the two goals that Barcelona have managed against Atletico this term, and the Brazilian is 2/1 in the anytime scorer market. But with only those two goals scored in those five meetings this season, can Neymar or Messi produce when the club needs them too the most? Barca are in the hunt for their fifth title in six seasons. Will their experience in landing titles give them the edge?

So Atletico are unbeaten in five matches against the Catalans this season and the big trend is that all five have gone under 2.5 goals, and swinging under 2.5 for this one too is priced at 4/5 with Paddy Power. The scores have been kept down thanks to Atletico’s superb organisation and defence. They are tough to break down and considering that they only need to get out of the Nou Camp with a point, they probably aren’t going to overexert themselves unless necessary. Atletico have to be cautious, because they haven’t taken a league point at the Nou Camp since back in 2006. Even their main hitman Diego Costa hasn’t managed to score in seven La Liga matches against Barcelona. Still, he is 7/4 in the anytime goalscorer market.

Seven of Athletico’s last 10 goals in the league have been by headers, so look for big threats from corners. David Villa may be a good 3/1 shot in the anytime goalscorer market as he has scored four of his five La Liga goals against Barcelona at the Nou Camp. If Atletico get the title, it will all be down to their superb defence which has only conceded the 25 goals this season, but they have shown signs of the title pressure getting to them, with just a point from their last two matches. Can they hold out under the pressure that Barcelona will throw at them?

Prediction
This should be a fantastic game, and Barcelona will have the majority of possession, but can they break through the tough Atletico defence? Don’t expect this one to be a high scoring match and so it is probably worth going under 2.5 goals for a price of 4/5 with Paddy Power.

Find the latest results, League Table, Top Scorer and more on our football statistics on online-betting.me.uk (just choose your country & your preferred topic)

Form (all competitions)
Barcelona LLWWDD, Atletico Madrid WDWWLD

Stat Attack
Barcelona have won their last six league meetings with Atletico at the Nou Camp
Atletico are unbeaten in five matches with Barcelona this season
Atletico haven’t taken a league point at the Nou Camp since 2006
Diego Costa has failed to score in seven La Liga games against Barcelona
All five meetings have gone under 2.5 goals this season


15th May 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

European Football Betting

The league title race in Spain will go down the wire next weekend. The mouth watering Barcelona v Atletico betting decider kicks off on Saturday. Diego Simeone’s men hold a three point advantage over Barcelona after both could only manage a draw on the weekend. Atletico came from behind at home against Malaga for a 1-1 draw, while Barcelona missed a chance to close the gap as they were held to a 0-0 draw at Elche.

So now Atletico just need to roll into the Nou Camp on Saturday and hold out for a draw. A victory for Barcelona would give the Catalans the title back, because of their far superior goal difference to that of the Madrid side. This is going to be a fascinating showdown, because Atletico, as everyone is now very well aware of, is a very strong defensively organised side, and Barcelona have been lacking that ruthless cutting edge going forward.

Barcelona will be out for retribution of course, after Atletico knocked them out the Champions League this season. The game on saturday will be the sixth match between the two sides this season, four of them ending in a draw, and Atletico getting a 1-0 win at the Vicente Calderon in their Champions League meeting.

So that would suggest that Atletico hold firm favouritism here, with all five matches between them this season going under 2.5 goals, (two 1-1 draws, two 0-0 draws and an Atletico 1-0 win), then a low scoring game is most likely to happen here. That would suit the visitors. Under 2.5 goals for your Barcelona v Atletico Madrid betting is up at 9/10 while Atletico holding out for the title-winning draw is priced at 13/5.

Will Barcelona find a way to break Atletico at the crucial time? Real Madrid, who Atletico will meet in the final of the UEFA Champions League, failed to win for the third time in a row, a they were beaten 2-0 by Celta Vigo.

 


12th May 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

European Football Betting

Real Madrid v Barcelona Betting Preview
It doesn’t come much bigger than El Clasico betting and the second League meeting of the season will take place in Madrid on Sunday. It is Real Madrid who hold a four point lead over third placed Barcelona in the League standings, and there’s a big chance to pull clear of their rivals here.

Real Madrid v Barcelona Betting Odds at online bookmaker Paddy Power
Real Madrid 6/5, Barcelona 2/1, Draw 5/2

Online bookmaker Promotion
Paddy Power have fired up a great promotion for your Real Madrid v Barcelona betting. Lionel Messi bounced back to top from last time out, netting a hat trick in a 7-0 drubbing of Osasuna. If Messi scores at anytime against Real Madrid on Sunday, then the bookmaker will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Correct Score, Last GOalscorer and Correct Score singles on the match. New customers registering an account with the bookie can also get up to a free £50 bet as a welcome bonus too.

Real Madrid v Barcelona Betting Tips:
Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid are looking the real deal at the moment, looking supremely confident and full of goals. However they have had a hard time of things in recent Clasicos, winning just two of the last eleven League meetings with Barcelona. Both of the wins they got in that sequence were by a one goal margin. You can back them to take a one goal winning margin this time around at a price of 3/1 with Paddy Power. They are favourites here because they are humming along and Barcelona have been stuttering in the League a bit. Real did win this corresponding fixture last season, and have the chance to make it two in a row at home over Barcelona in the League for the first time since 2008.

Cristiano Ronaldo has scored in seven of his last 10 Clasicos (nine goals in total) and will naturally be backed in the goalscorer markets.  Ronaldo, who has netted 25 League goals this season is priced up at 8/11 in the anytime goalscorer market, although that having been said, he hasn’t scored in the last two League meetings with Barca. Real Madrid are currently on an eighteen match unbeaten streak in La Liga, ever since that defeat against Barcelona back in October of last year, and fifteen of those eighteen have been won. They are as strong at the back as they are up front, keeping eight clean sheets in their last eleven in the League.

Still, Barcelona have a good scoring streak at the Bernabeu and Both Teams To Score is an obvious market at 1/2 with Paddy Power. Real and Barca have both found the net in each of the last 14 Clasicos in all competitions (Real 24 goals, Barcelona 25). Real have won their last nine home games on the bounce in the League and with five of those coming with clean sheets, and it is going to be pretty hard to find a reason not to back them to win. Especially with Barcelona having gone and lost three of their last seven La Liga matches.

Barcelona did reinforce their credentials with a thumping 7-0 win over Osasuna last week, with Lionel Messi bagging himself a hat trick. With that coming after running circles round Man City in the Champions League, maybe they are getting back on track well enough. Messi is the top score in League Clasicos among current players with 11 and he is priced up at Even money in the anytime goalscorer market for this latest clash. Barca have found the back of the net in each of their last eleven trips to the Bernabeu in all competitions, so worth backing to get on the scoresheet. Alexis Sanchez could be worth a look too as he has netted three in his last five League meetings with Real Madrid.

Prediction
This one is looking tougher than ever to call. Barcelona have their recent history on their side in Clasico meeting, but Real Madrid are looking the stronger of the two sides at the moment. A talent-laden spectacle on show and would edge things for a Real Madrid outright at 6/5 with Paddy Power. With Barca just being shaky on the road, the home side may just have the edge

Find the latest results, League Table, Top Scorer and more on our football statistics on online-betting.me.uk (just choose your country & your preferred topic)

Form (all competitions)
Real Madrid WWDWWW, Barcelona WLWLWW

Stat Attack
Real Madrid have won two of their last eleven League meetings with Barcelona
Since the 2008/09 season, Barca have won five Clasicos to Real Madrid’s two
Both sides have scored in each of the last 14 meetings with each other
Barcelona have scored in each of their last 11 visits to the Bernabeu
Cristiano Ronaldo has scored in seven of his last ten Clasicos (nine goals)


20th March 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

European Football Betting

Barcelona v Real Madrid Betting Preview
European clashes don’t come much bigger than Barcelona v Real Madrid. This isn’t a top two battle in La Liga, as the visitors are down in third. Barcelona are top of the pile though and will be keen to press home their advantage here to open up a potential six point lead over their rivals. Real Madrid haven’t been a prolific in front of goal this season, but will Cristiano Ronaldo be able to inspire his side to a win at the Camp Nou, or will Barcelona keep their strong title charge on track?

Barcelona v Real Madrid Betting Odds at online bookmaker Ladbrokes
barcelona 4/5, Draw 11/4, Real Madrid 10/3

Online bookmaker Promotion
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Barcelona v Real Madrid Betting Tips:
Only two points have been dropped by Barcelona this season in La Liga, and that came in their last match when they frustrated into a goalless draw against Osasuna. That was on the road and that has left them with a perfect home record so far from four matches. The goals have been flowing heavily for Barcelona at home this season, netting eighteen in their four matches. So they have been firing along very nicely this season and at the centre of it all has been Lionel Messi who has banged eight goals so far. There has been good support coming from Pedro and Alexis Sanchez, while Brazilian superstar Neymar has struggled to have the influence expected after his big move to the Spanish giants. They have conceded at a rate of a goal per game at home though which does open things for Real Madrid. Most punters will simply be looking to go Over 2.5 goals for a price of 1/2 at online betting site Ladbrokes.

Barcelona haven’t managed to get a win on the board against Real Madrid now in the last five meetings in all competitions (D2 L3) so they have ceded a bit of power to their rivals there. The last time they went six Clasicos without a win was ten seasons ago. Indeed at the Nou Camp itself, they have only managed to win one of the last five Clasicos as well. They also have not managed to stop Real Madrid scoring at the Nou Camp since back in 2010 (which was incidentally Jose Mourinho’s first Clasico as Real manager). Another straight forward looking bet is Both Teams To Score for odds of 1/2 as well with Ladbrokes. Lionel Messi is back from injury and trading at 4/7 in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He is one goal away from being the top scorer in the history Classicos.

So looking at the stats there should be some hope for Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid on the weekend in the top La Liga match. They are lined up to win three successive Classicos in all competitions for the first time since 1979. They have netted 13 goals in their last six trips to the Nou Camp which is an average of just over two goals per game, so again it points to there being plenty of goals again here. It is an average of a goal more than Barcelona have managed in those six games. Cristiano Ronaldo has been on fire on trips to the Nou Camp as he has netted on each of his last six visits there and makes great value at Even money in the Anytime Goalscorer market. They may need him to get on the scoresheet because here is an amazing stat for you. Real Madrid have never lost a league game when Cristiano Ronaldo has scored (84 wins, six draws). Influential.

Prediction
Real Madrid were the last team to take any points off Barcelona at the Nou Camp, back in last October. Since then Barca have won 19 consecutive home games. So while they haven’t gotten a win for a while in the Clasico, would at least back them for a draw. But for a safe looking bet, Cristiano Ronaldo as an Anytime Scorer for Even money looks great.

Find the latest results, League Table, Top Scorer and more on our football statistics on online-betting.me.uk (just choose your country & your preferred topic)

Form (all competitions)
Barcelona WWWWDD, Real Madrid WWLWWW

Stat Attack
Barcelona are without a win five games against Real Madrid
barcelona have only won one of their five Clasicos at the Nou Camp
Real Madrid have scored 13 goals in their last six trips to the Nou Camp
Barcelona have won 19 consecutive home games in La Liga
Real Madrid have never lost a league game when Cristiano Ronaldo has scored


24th October 2013 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

Cristiano Ronaldo (Real Madrid)

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Betting Preview
There is a huge derby match in Spain on the weekend, with the two Madrid giants going up against each other. Maybe this will be the home debut at the Bernabeu for Gareth Bale. It is his Real Madrid side which takes heavy favouritism into the match, but the perfect form from the start of the season from Diego Simeone’s Atletico should make this one very interesting.

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Betting Odds at online bookmaker Paddy Power
Real Madrid 4/7, Draw 14/5, Atletico Madrid 5/1

Online bookmaker Promotion
There is promotion to back up your betting on this La Liga clash, and not too surprisingly it comes from Paddy Power and even less surprising that it is focused on Gareth Bale. If Bale scores the last goal of the game against Atletico, then online betting site Paddy Power will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast bets placed on the match before kick off. New customers registering an account with the popular bookie can get up to a free £50 bet as a welcome bonus.

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Betting Tips:
Carlo Ancelotti is the one charged with getting Real Madrid back to the Spanish League title and bringing with it Champions League success. However, things at the top of La Liga don’t look to be quite as much of a one horse race as it has been, and that is thanks to their city rivals Atletico Madrid. They have too, played their own part in their own stumbles. Gareth Bale missed out on his home debut last weekend, picking up a thigh strain in the warm up. He has already gotten off the mark for his new club, a tap in against Villarreal in a 2-2 draw, in which Madrid were a bit guilty of going off the boil. But for all the threat of Cristiano Ronaldo and an in-form Bale, one of the stars of the show this season has been Isco, who has played a tremendous support role to the Ronaldo show.

But the main source of goals will continue to be the Portuguese star and he came to their rescue on Wednesday night in a league match against the newly promoted Elche. After opening the scoring, Madrid took their eye off the ball again, as they did against Villarreal, being pegged back level. A a spot kick from Ronaldo three minutes into stoppage time gave Ancelotti’s men the three points in a dramatic finish. Not the most convincing of displays. So they haven’t hit top stride yet, so are they at risk in this derby at the Bernabeu? They are generally pretty strong at home and don’t waver much, but suddenly this renewal perhaps looks as even as it has done for a while. They only dropped four points (in two drawn matches) at home last season in La Liga, not losing at the Bernabeu.

Unlike their big spending neighbours, Atletico have made a perfect start to the new season, running of six wins from six in the Spanish top flight. You would have thought that losing the huge goal input of Radamel Falcao would have affected them somehow, but they haven’t skipped a beat. Where are the goals coming from? Diego Costa (8/5 in the Anytime Goalscorer market)  in particular has been looking immense with 7 league goals in six matches, and backed up with input from Raul Garcia, David Villa and Tiago, there is great talent pushing forward for Atletico. They have scored at least two goals in each of their league matches this season, which simply points to perhaps this going over 3.5 goals for a price of 4/6 with Paddy Power. Last season their defence was brilliant, but they haven’t been quite as tight out of the blocks this season, keeping just two clean sheets in their opening six matches.

Atletico fought out a 2-1 in in the Copa Del Rey against Real Madrid last season and that has been their only victory in the last 26 derbies. So as well as they have been playing, they have a terrible record against Madrid. It’s not as if they have been taking draws either, before that win in the Copa Del Rey, Atletico had lost the previous eleven matches in a row against Real in all competitions. This corresponding league fixture last season ended up in a 2-0 win for Real, with Cristiano Ronaldo getting on the scoresheet and he will naturally make a First Goalscorer option at odds of 2/1 with Paddy Power.

Find the latest results, League Table, Top Scorer and more on our football statistics on online-betting.me.uk (just choose your country & your preferred topic)

Form
Real Madrid WWDWWW, Atletico Madrid WWWWWW

Stat Attack
Atletico have won one of the last 26 matches against Real
Atletico have lost eleven of the last twelve derby matches
The last two meetings have been settled by a 2-1 scoreline
Only one of the last six meetings have gone under 3 goals


25th September 2013 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

Cyril's Betting Advice

Recently I have been scouring the “net” to see what is “Flavour of the Month” etc. I came across a thread on a forum in which the writer gave sketchy details of his interpretation of BTTS. He hasn’t been “proofing” for long, three Saturdays, in fact. That’s not what interests me, however. What does come up is his strike rate. He covers Scottish Premiership, Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A and Ligue 1 as well as the five English leagues I’ve looked at in the recent past. He selects the best nine matches each match day from these leagues, according to his rating system. It’s not the selection method I’m interested in. It’s his success rate. Up to now, he has had 18 correct plus one void from twenty seven selections. A little above 66.6%, which is better than the best in the five English leagues. Even though he has a good success rate the odds are a problem. A mean average appears to be around 1.66. At this level it would be necessary to have SIX winning selections out of NINE. Again we’re at that 66.6% mark. However this level of winning bets would only give approximately ONE point profit. At a level single point win on each selection. The suggested bets are 4 match accumulators. This would necessitate a slightly better level of SEVEN winners from each nine selections to ensure a profit. Even though this is only ONE more successful match it would appear to be bucking the odds. Not something which is recommended.

So it will be necessary to find a different route to find a successful answer to the problem.
Our FIVE leagues seem to have settled at a fair level of BTTS. The holiday period has provided very little change in each league’s average. The most noticeable being the Premiership dipping below 60%.

Perhaps a voyage into the European leagues will pay some dividends. A quick check on each of the major European leagues gave the following figures.

Italy 96/180 53.3%

Spain 87/170 51.2%

Germany 85/153 55.5%

France 85/190 50.0%

Scot Prem 68/118 57.6%

Surprisingly the Jocks come out on top of this particular pile. It does appear though that foreign defences are a little stronger than those in the English leagues. One thing worth noting however is, BTTS matches tend to come in batches on the same day. For instance there were a couple of Saturdays when Scottish matches returned 5 out of six games. Some study of these streaks will pay dividends in the long run. In reality, any match is an even money bet to end with goals being scored by both sides. Also, and even money bet with only one, or neither side scoring. Working within such a restricted confine, finding “VALUE” can be a daunting task. It’s clear that some hard work needs to be applied to find a strategy/system for weeding out the chaff. There is an alternative which might well suit some punters. In a large majority of games, getting OVER even money is there for the taking IF you back against the flow. Bet that there will only be one team doing the scoring. Whilst stats tell us that there will be fewer winners with this bet, the “extra” on the odds will often make it well worthwhile.

Current form is a “must”, for taking in to account a teams scoring possibilities. Also. don’t forget head to heads. One aspect of form that does require close scrutiny, is a teams AWAY ability where scoring is concerned.

Teams from the middle half of the league table are quite likely to hit the net against better placed opponents than against the lesser able sides.

Something else to look at, is, teams seldom go more than two games without scoring.

Hope that 2013 is profitable for us all.

-> BTTS for Premier League
-> BTTS Betting Premiership
-> BTTS Betting League One
-> BTTS Betting League Two
-> BTTS Betting Conference League

 
(This article was written on the January 7th by our expert Cyril but our editor was very busy and did not manage to publish until now. Sorry for that!)


16th March 2013 / cyril - Category: Betting Advice

Unibet

Want live streams and a risk free bet for your El Clasico betting this week, then head to online betting site Unibet who are providing both. Tuesday night will bring the two Spanish giants back together again to finish the business in the Copa del Rey that they started at the end of January. Barcelona snatched a 1-1 away draw at the Bernabeu and will have that precious away goal to take back to the Nou Camp. However, the mighty Catalans haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last eleven games in all competitions, so Madrid’s Cristiano Ronaldo will probably be ready to pounce on any backline weaknesses.

Following the Tuesday night cup clash, the two rivals will go toe to toe again on the weekend, as they face each other in the La Liga, this time at the Bernabeu. The two sides drew in their previous league clash this season and out of the four times that they have met already this season, both have produced a win and two draws. So there is little ground to be given and if you want to watch both El Clasico matches this week, then head to Unibet, as they are providing live streams for both matches. On top of that, get a risk free bet as well with their great El Clasico mobile promotion.

Bet a minimum of £30 through your mobile on Barcelona v R. Madrid on Tuesday 26th February, and online betting site Unibet will give you a £10 Live Risk Free Bet on R. Madrid v Barcelona in the Spanish League on Saturday 2nd March!

A great opportunity to enjoy the dramatic live action from both of the important games as the two jostle for supremacy again. Barcelona have a sixteen point lead over third placed Real Madrid in La Liga, while the Catalans knocked out Real Madrid from last season’s Copa del Rey. Will it be more of the same with Barcelona just having the edge over their rivals, or will Jose Mourinho’s men be able to strike a blow? Who will win the big individual duel between Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo? Messi has 17 goals in 23 games against Real Madrid, while Ronaldo has seven goals in his last seven El Clasicos.

The great Unibet offer is open to new customers as well as existing ones at Unibet. The popular betting site offer a great welcome bonus of a risk free £20 bet for new customers through their internet site and there is a £10 risk free mobile bet when you get started with your mobile betting.


25th February 2013 / Lee A Jackson - Category: Free Bets & Promotions

Cyril's Betting Advice

Having looked at the correct score scene in the Premiership, I thought it might be opportune to check through the foreign leagues and the Championship, as well. The comparisons will vary somewhat as not all leagues play the same number of matches. To help overcome these differences I’m basing all figures on a league playing 380 games. So alongside actual returned figures, where appropriate, I’ll show in brackets the comparative figures for 380 games.

First of all I’ll look at the Championship.

The Championship consists of twenty four teams, so the total of games played is FIVE HUNDRED and FIFTY TWO. By far the largest sample to be looked at.

The final columns are,(1) the total of both the “draw” columns.(2) Percentage of games covered by the SIX scores.

Correct scores on foreign soils

  1 - 0 2 - 0 2 - 1 3 - 1 0 - 0 1 - 1 (1) (2) %
Championship 58 (40) 44 (30) 44 (30) 22 (15) 41 (28) 73 (50) 114 (78) 51.08
La Liga 43        18        35        17        33        41        74        49.21
Serie A 33        41        30        16        44        31        75        51.31
Bundesliga 1 24 (30) 22 (27) 19 (24) 15 (18) 22 (27) 36 (44) 58 (71) 45.09
France Div 1 46        40        36        16        27        60        87        59.21
Portugal Liga 29 (54) 18 (33) 26 (48) 14 (26) 24 (45) 18 (33) 42 (78) 58.93
Eredivision 23 (29) 24 (30) 19 (24) 19 (24) 10 (12) 24 (30) 34 (42) 39.88
Belgium Jupiler 21 (33) 26 (41) 25 (40) 29 (46) 25 (20) 34 (54) 59 (74) 66.66

The Championship doesn’t have any outstanding figures when using the ADJUSTED stats. They do have a “draws” total well in line with the majority of the others in the sample.

SPAIN, La Liga. The total for 2 – 0 is surprisingly low, especially as 2 – 1 is almost double that figure. Do the defences relax when getting a two goal cushion?

ITALY, Serie A. Renown for their tight defensive games, it’s surprising to see them co-leading the 2 – 0 column. Their 0 – 0 total is quite in keeping with the accepted knowledge of the Italian game.

GERMANY, Bundesliga 1. Here the most prolific score is 1 – 1. However closely following on is a score not usually favoured, 1 – 2. This does go against the general trend of the other leagues. There is their liking for a 1 – 1 rather than a scoreless draw.

FRANCE, Division 1. With the reputation for tight games, it is surprising to see so few 0 – 0 games compared to more than double that amount for 1 – 1 results. The overall total of drawn games is well beyond other leagues.
Low scoring games do seem to be the order of the day, however. with a dramatic drop between 2 – 1 and 3 – 1.

PORTUGAL, Liga. The smallest league of the eight we’re looking at. Playing just 204 games in their season. Doesn’t really give a team much scope to redeem themselves if they have a bad start to their season. 1 – 0 and 2 – 1 are the stand-out scores, closely followed by 0 – 0. However, 1 – 0 is by far the best “adjusted” figure for that score amongst our eight leagues.

Netherlands, Eridivision. The “adjusted” figures give a better view of these figures than the bare stats. Whilst the total of the two draw columns are pretty well in line with most of the others, once we reach 3 – 1 the figures become more erratic. Not really a league to employ when trying to forecast match scores. In total, 66 matches had a score in which at least one of the sides scored FOUR or more goals.

BELGIUM, Jupiler. At first the figures don’t appear to be anything special, but take a closer look. They are the most compact of the whole set-up. Their draw figures fit in well with the others, 2 – 0, 2 – 1 and 3 – 1 are a batch well worth considering for any correct score perm. Their overall performance for the six scores is 66.66% of all matches. By far the best performer
here.

I would think that any league with a percentage figure over 51% should be worth consideration when looking for those elusive correct scores. The Portugal Liga, France Division 1 and Belgium’s Jupiler Leagues will be amongst those I’ll be using in the coming season.

The beauty of using more than one league will give the chance to do a little trading as they mostly play on different days.
A chance not to miss.

The real test is, how to use these and earlier stats to our advantage?
A lot depends on the choice of odds you wish to cover. Any home side offered at less than 1.58 (4/7) should be considered very likely to win without conceding. As the odds offered about the favourite lengthens so does the likelihood of them conceding.
Closely matched sides are where the biggest odds are going to be offered over the scoring outcome.
Two recent games had (1) an even money favourite and (2) an odds on favourite. The correct score betting went like this.

Even money favourite. 1 – 0 6/1 Odds-On. (8/11) 1 – 0 5/1
2 – 0 8/1 2 – 0 13/2
2 – 1 15/2 2 – 1 15/2
3 – 0 16/1 3 – 0 12/1
3 – 1 14/1 3 – 1 14/1
0 – 0 9/1 0 – 0 9/1
1 – 1 5/1 1 – 1 6/1
2 – 2 12/1 2 – 2 18/1

These odds show the subtle differences when a side are being offered at odds-on. It is strange that 0 – 0 is quoted at 9/1 for both games. In fact this is very much the “normal” price for this score in the large majority of matches. I do think that the layers are being pretty mean when offering what is virtually a “one size fits all” for a scoreless game. Unless a game looked extremely close to call I’d always be tempted to give 0 – 0 a miss.

Maybe I’ll be able to look at using these stats in a few more ways, in the future.

Remember, bet with caution.


20th August 2012 / cyril - Category: Betting Advice

Andres Iniesta (Barcelona)

Well, Barcelona’s incredible second half performance at the Bernabeu on Saturday night to beat Real Madrid 3-1, has led to a market influx of bets on them to win La Liga again. That was a huge win for the defending Champions, as they were three points behind Jose Mourinho’s Madrid going into the match, and were a game ahead as well. So that triumph of style over tactics was a huge boost for Pep Guardiola and his side, and showed their rivals that they are still the force to be reckoned with. That win for Barcelona put them back on level points with Real Madrid, although Mourinho’s men still have a game in hand to look forward to.

The win has naturally led to a spark of wanting to get a wager down on Barcelona, who were starting to look second best to Real Madrid this season, on winning La Liga again. They are now at a best market price of 5/6 with BetFred to win the league title, this season, with Real Madrid close behind at Evens with SkyBet. Naturally only of these two are going to win La Liga, the might and the power which they are able to field (both teams have now scored 50 goals already this season) is just too much over a long season for anyone else to deal with.

Third placed Valencia’s defeat on Saturday didn’t do anything to change this, because they could have been within four points of the leaders had they beaten Real Betis. The crunch match could all come down to the rematch at the Nou Camp later in the season. But for now, Barcelona have gained a huge psychological boost, yes, they were lucky at times against Madrid on Saturday, but when you get a lucky break then you have to capitalize. That is just what Barcelona did. Will they retain their title in La Liga betting?

Remember that you can watch live La Liga streams with online betting exchange BetFair. The highly popular exchange offers free live streams from the Spanish league, giving superb coverage which is the natural partner for some live in play betting action. Just head to BetFair and sign up to become a member and enjoy their wealth of live streams which they provide. New customers to BetFair can get a free £20 bet and up to £1000 in cash back for their first 30 days of betting on the exchange!


11th December 2011 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

Betfair Betting

It has been a great season so far in Spain’s La Liga Primera, and if you have been missing out on the action, then you may want to head to online betting exchange BetFair, where you can watch free live streams! Real Madrid have sneaked their way into top spot, just one point ahead of their great rivals Barcelona. Jose Mourinho’s Madrid haven’t had a perfect season, losing one match, but they have managed to pick up more wins that last year’s La Liga winners, Barca. Madrid have now won their last six straight, and not only have Real and Barcelona both hit 32 each in their respective 10 matches, the defenses have been remarkable. Real Madrid have only conceded 6 goals so far this season, two more than Barca. But it was surprise package Levante who had been leading the way up until last week, when they suffered their first loss of the season. It had been a remarkable run of seven straight wins for Levante, including a 1-0 win over Real Madrid along the way. They have been one of the success stories in La Liga this season, but they lost their unbeaten record last weekend against Osasuna. So it will be interesting to see just how they bounce back from that deficit. If you want to get yourself closer to this weekend’s action, before they take the international break next week, then BetFair stream some great live coverage from La Liga for their customers. The Spanish league is one full of flair and attacking sensibilities, and makes for some great entertainment. So, by getting right into the live action with BetFair live streams, it opens up the doors of possibilities when it comes to live in play betting. Being able to get a real feel for the match, through BetFair Live Video can make Live in play betting so much easier, as you can get a feel for just how the game is going. The BetFair live video streams really are a superb service from the highly popular betting exchange, and is a great feature in delivery top quality content to their customers.

New customers wanting to get in on the Live La Liga streams, have the added bonus of being able to take advantage of BetFair’s sign up bonus. New customers can either get a No Risk £20 bet on their first stake, which means that if your first bet on a new BetFair account loses, you will get your lost stake back up to the value of £20, or you opt for the £10 to £1000 Cashback sign up bonus. In this offer, the more you bet within your first 30 days on a new account, then the bigger  your Cashback bonus will be! Great offers, whichever way you want to go, and the highly rated, highly successful Betting Exchange, which is a superb alternative to regular online bookmakers, have all of your Live La Liga matches covered as well. Tune in this weekend to see the likes of Seville, Villareal and Espanyol in action!


5th November 2011 / Lee A Jackson - Category: Betfair Betting










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