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Football Betting

From Old Trafford to Spain. That is where ousted former Manchester United boss David Moyes has found himself. He steps back into management for the first time since his failed time in charge of the Red Devils, and he has signed an 18 month contract with Spain’s Real Sociedad who are struggling in the drop zone in the Primera Liga.

Online bookmaker Bet365 have priced up Moyes at a quote of 7/5 to produce a win in his first match in charge of the Spanish club, as they take on Deportivo La Coruna on November 22nd after the international break. Deportivo are also struggling in the relegation zone, sat on nine points like Sociedad are. So a battle of La Liga strugglers is on the cards from Moyes’ return to club management.

Strangely enough, Sociedad have won just the two league matches this season, but they came against the giants of Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid. So that is perhaps a hint that there is talent in the squad for Moyes to work with. Carlos Vela and Inigo Martinez are a couple of names of note, and despite their poor start to the season, Sociedad are out at 22/1 with Bet365 to be relegated to the Segunda Liga.

So can Moyes revive the Basques? There is probably enough in them to warrant having a shot at 11/10 on them to bank themselves a top half of the table finish this season. Sociedad finished in seventh place last season, missing out on a place in Europe. A Champions League spot is a 150/1 outside shot for them this season, while they are 2/7 to make it into Europe next season.

It’s unlikely that they are going to taste any domestic silverware in the Copa del Rey where they are 66/1 shots to go all the way. While they open against lower-league Oviedo, Barcelona, Real Madrid and Atletico are all in the same half of their draw. Not helping their cause there is that Copa del Rey rounds go over two legs until the final, handing further advantage to the big guns.

Bet365 quote Moyes at 25-1 to win any major silverware during the length of his contract which runs until the end of next season but he is a 1/2 shot to outlast his ten-month tenure at Old Trafford, and Moyes is 11/10 to stick out for the duration of his 18th month contract.


13th November 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: Football Betting

European Football Betting

Real Madrid v Barcelona Betting Preview

The much anticipated first El Clasico of the season. Which way will it swing? It was honours to Barcelona in the two La Liga meetings last season and the Catalans will be putting an unbreached defence on the line at the Bernabeu. Will the might of Cristiano Ronaldo and his immense goalscoring form, be able to take maximum points for Real against their rivals? Madrid go as 11/8 shots for the win, with Barcelona at 7/4 and the draw at 13/5.

Online betting site Betfred have this one marked for their Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven promotion. Back a winning first goalscorer selection in the match, and if they go on to score a second in the game, then Betfred will pay out at double odds. If your winning first goalscorer selection goes on to score a hattrick, then you will get treble your original first goalscorer odds!

Real Madrid v Barcelona Betting Tips

Carlo Ancelotti’s men had a slow start to the season, losing two of their first three league matches. But then Cristiano Ronaldo came back to full fitness and they have not looked back since. The former Manchester United man has hit a remarkable 15 goals in La Liga this season in the seven league matches that he has appeared in. Truly an astonishing and record breaking goal scoring start to the season. He has now actually scored in each of his last eleven games played in all competitions, including a stunner at Anfield against Liverpool in the Champions League during the week.

Ronaldo looks an obvious 4/1 choice in the first goalscorer market for the match. However, Real madrid have won just two of their last 12 league meetings with Barcelona, so the result is up for question here. Yes, Real Madrid are in stunning form at the moment, an eight match winning streak in all competitions, but do they have enough to beat Barcelona? They clearly have goals, averaging five per game over their last five league matches, but they haven’t gone up against anything like Barcelona’s defence.

Barcelona have recorded eight clean sheets on the bounce since the start of the season. They are one away from setting their longest run of clean sheets in their league history. Barcelona are unbeaten in 13 league games (W9 D4) and they are unbeaten in 11 league games against sides from Madrid. So they have a bit of history and form going for them, and of course that incredible defence this season. They also have Neymar producing this season, and between them Neymar (eight) and Lionel Messi 9seven) have matched Cristiano Ronaldo’s tally. Messi is 5/1 and Neymar 6/1 in the first goalscorer market.

You would be right to expect goals in this one. Both sides have scored in each of the last 16 Clasicos. Only one of the last fifteen have gone under 2.5 goals. The last fixture between them when both sides failed to score was in the 2011 Champions League semi finals, with Barcelona winning 2-0 at the Bernabeu. It has the makings of a classic. Real Madrid are Europe’s top scorers, Barcelona the only side in Europe not to have conceded a goal this season. A real heavyweight clash.

Real Madrid v Barcelona Betting Odds

Real Madrid 11/8, Barcelona 7/4, Draw 13/5

Real Madrid v Barcelona Predictions

Really tough game to call. Cristiano Ronaldo is at the heart of everything that Real do. That was proven when he wasn’t fit at the start of the season and they struggled. Barcelona have looked methodically brilliant this season under Luis Enrique. They aren’t going to be steamrolled in the match and it may just be worth edging towards a draw. Barcelona would be happy enough with that.

Find the latest results, League Table, Top Scorer and more on our football statistics on (just choose your country & your preferred topic)

24th October 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

European Football Betting

Real Madrid have been one of the explosive hot tickets of the season. Since Cristiano Ronaldo got his season up and running, Carlo Ancelotti’s men haven’t looked back. The former Manchester United man has been in astounding scoring form in La Liga, breaking the record for the most prolific goal scoring start to a new season in the Spanish top flight. Real Madrid have been the ones grabbing all the headlines and they are going as favourites for the weekend’s El Clasico, the first of the 2014/15 season.

But under new manager Luis Enrique, Barcelona have been going about their business in a very quiet, yet very efficient manner. It has been a remarkable start from them and punters have good reason to get behind the visitor to the Bernabeu on Sunday, because they have a formidable defence which has not conceded a single goal in eight league matches so far this season. That is eight clean sheets on the bounce, and is a huge improvement over last season’s efforts. With Barcelona winning both La Liga meetings last season, they do look some good value.

They haven’t been as prolific as Real Madrid in front of goal, who have scored 30 goals in eight games, but Barcelona have returned 22 though, which is a rate of 2.75 per game. The big difference between the two sides, and what has happened to Barcelona this season, is the step up in production of Neymar. He has been clicking far better with the team, has looked sharper than at any stage during his debut season, and now Barcelona have both he and Lionel Messi ticking along with goals.

Real Madrid largely rely on Cristiano Ronaldo for his heavy input, as he has scored half of Real Madrid’s league goals this season. That’s right, half. Barcelona have been upgraded in very subtle ways under Enrique and their defence could be the key factor in this. Real Madrid have conceded at over a goal per game this season, and that is where this one may be won or lost. If the Barcelona back line can stay intact, then they have Messi and Neymar to do the damage up front. The game could also see the return of Barcelona new boy Luis Suarez following his lengthy ban after his World Cup bite.

They aren’t going to care if it is a 1-0 win on the road at their biggest rivals. As long as they get maximum points, then that is all the Catalans will be concerned about. The value on them is not to be dismissed for the first El Clasico of the season, and of course it is probably worth going over 2.5 goals for the meeting and only one of the last fifteen meetings between them have done so. Barcelona have the defence. Can it withstand Cristiano Ronaldo? If they mark him out of the game, (and Real Madrid’s early season form without him, proved that he carries them) then Barcelona could be fantastic value to avoid defeat.

22nd October 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

James Rodriguez (Real Madrid)

The transfer of James Rodriguez to Real Madrid has been the big signing of the summer. The move from Monaco for the Colombia has cost the Spanish champions around £70 million, making Rodriguez the fourth most expensive player of all time.

Online betting site Boylesports have posted odds of 13/8 on Rodriguez to outscore Gareth Bale during the 2014/15 La Liga season. There is going to be a lot of expectation on the youngster, who won goal of the tournament and the Golden Boot at the 2014 FIFA World Cup.

Rodriguez is an 80/1 shot with online betting site Boylesports to actually finish the season at the league’s top scorer (having to compete with the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi) and the bookmaker has put the Colombian forward at 13/8 to score more goals in the league than former Spurs man Gareth Bale (4/9).

There is some top quality, intense action coming from the Copa America next year in Chile, and the Irish bookmaker are offering 33/1 double that it is Colombia, who were so impressive at Brazil 2014, who will win the tournament and Real Madrid will win the 2014/15 La Liga.

Liam Glynn, PR Executive at Boylesports said: “As expected Real Madrid have snatched up World Cup Top Goalscorer, James Rodriguez and no doubt he is set to be vital cog in a goal-scoring machine at Real Madrid this coming season.”

He added “Rodriguez is 13/8 to score more goals than his teammate Gareth Bale (4/9) in the 2014/15 La Liga season.”

24th July 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: Football Betting

European Football Betting

Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Betting Preview
Everything is cued up for a massively dramatic finale over in Spain. It isn’t going to get much more tense than this. The only two sides who can get their hands on the title go head to head on Saturday, and it is Atletico who just hold the upper hand because all they need is a draw at the Nou Camp to take a surprise title.

Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Betting Odds at online bookmaker Paddy Power
Barcelona 5/6, Draw 11/4, Atletico Madrid 3/1

Online bookmaker Promotion
Paddy Power have a good promotion running for your Barcelona v Atletico Madrid betting. If Lionel Messi scores the last goal of the game, then the bookmaker will refund lost bets on the First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast single markets. New customers registering an account with online betting site Paddy Power can get up to a free £50 bet as a welcome bonus.

Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Betting Tips:
Diego Simeone’s men could have wrapped up the title on the weekend. However, they could only manage a come from behind draw against Malaga. Will that missed opportunity come back to haunt them? It may, as they have lost on their last six league visits to the Nou Camp and have conceded at an average of 4.3 goals per game in that sequence. However, Atletico are strong in defence and Barcelona haven’t been as clinically ruthless as they have been known for, and themselves could only take a draw on the weekend, firing blanks in a 0-0 away at Elche. Also, Barcelona have faced Atletico five times this season and haven’t managed to win (D4 L1), the defeat coming in the UEFA Champions League. Barcelona have only managed back to back draws in La Liga too, they haven’t gone three in a row without a win since the 2008/09 season.

So they haven’t been at their best, but they have Lionel Messi and they therefore have a chance. Against no La Liga side has Messi scored more goals than he has managed against Atletico, seventeen in total. Messi is a 4/7 shot in the anytime goalscorer market and is running at 5/2 in the First Goalscorer market. It is Neymar though who has netted the two goals that Barcelona have managed against Atletico this term, and the Brazilian is 2/1 in the anytime scorer market. But with only those two goals scored in those five meetings this season, can Neymar or Messi produce when the club needs them too the most? Barca are in the hunt for their fifth title in six seasons. Will their experience in landing titles give them the edge?

So Atletico are unbeaten in five matches against the Catalans this season and the big trend is that all five have gone under 2.5 goals, and swinging under 2.5 for this one too is priced at 4/5 with Paddy Power. The scores have been kept down thanks to Atletico’s superb organisation and defence. They are tough to break down and considering that they only need to get out of the Nou Camp with a point, they probably aren’t going to overexert themselves unless necessary. Atletico have to be cautious, because they haven’t taken a league point at the Nou Camp since back in 2006. Even their main hitman Diego Costa hasn’t managed to score in seven La Liga matches against Barcelona. Still, he is 7/4 in the anytime goalscorer market.

Seven of Athletico’s last 10 goals in the league have been by headers, so look for big threats from corners. David Villa may be a good 3/1 shot in the anytime goalscorer market as he has scored four of his five La Liga goals against Barcelona at the Nou Camp. If Atletico get the title, it will all be down to their superb defence which has only conceded the 25 goals this season, but they have shown signs of the title pressure getting to them, with just a point from their last two matches. Can they hold out under the pressure that Barcelona will throw at them?

This should be a fantastic game, and Barcelona will have the majority of possession, but can they break through the tough Atletico defence? Don’t expect this one to be a high scoring match and so it is probably worth going under 2.5 goals for a price of 4/5 with Paddy Power.

Find the latest results, League Table, Top Scorer and more on our football statistics on (just choose your country & your preferred topic)

Form (all competitions)
Barcelona LLWWDD, Atletico Madrid WDWWLD

Stat Attack
Barcelona have won their last six league meetings with Atletico at the Nou Camp
Atletico are unbeaten in five matches with Barcelona this season
Atletico haven’t taken a league point at the Nou Camp since 2006
Diego Costa has failed to score in seven La Liga games against Barcelona
All five meetings have gone under 2.5 goals this season

15th May 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

European Football Betting

The league title race in Spain will go down the wire next weekend. The mouth watering Barcelona v Atletico betting decider kicks off on Saturday. Diego Simeone’s men hold a three point advantage over Barcelona after both could only manage a draw on the weekend. Atletico came from behind at home against Malaga for a 1-1 draw, while Barcelona missed a chance to close the gap as they were held to a 0-0 draw at Elche.

So now Atletico just need to roll into the Nou Camp on Saturday and hold out for a draw. A victory for Barcelona would give the Catalans the title back, because of their far superior goal difference to that of the Madrid side. This is going to be a fascinating showdown, because Atletico, as everyone is now very well aware of, is a very strong defensively organised side, and Barcelona have been lacking that ruthless cutting edge going forward.

Barcelona will be out for retribution of course, after Atletico knocked them out the Champions League this season. The game on saturday will be the sixth match between the two sides this season, four of them ending in a draw, and Atletico getting a 1-0 win at the Vicente Calderon in their Champions League meeting.

So that would suggest that Atletico hold firm favouritism here, with all five matches between them this season going under 2.5 goals, (two 1-1 draws, two 0-0 draws and an Atletico 1-0 win), then a low scoring game is most likely to happen here. That would suit the visitors. Under 2.5 goals for your Barcelona v Atletico Madrid betting is up at 9/10 while Atletico holding out for the title-winning draw is priced at 13/5.

Will Barcelona find a way to break Atletico at the crucial time? Real Madrid, who Atletico will meet in the final of the UEFA Champions League, failed to win for the third time in a row, a they were beaten 2-0 by Celta Vigo.


12th May 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

European Football Betting

Real Madrid v Barcelona Betting Preview
It doesn’t come much bigger than El Clasico betting and the second League meeting of the season will take place in Madrid on Sunday. It is Real Madrid who hold a four point lead over third placed Barcelona in the League standings, and there’s a big chance to pull clear of their rivals here.

Real Madrid v Barcelona Betting Odds at online bookmaker Paddy Power
Real Madrid 6/5, Barcelona 2/1, Draw 5/2

Online bookmaker Promotion
Paddy Power have fired up a great promotion for your Real Madrid v Barcelona betting. Lionel Messi bounced back to top from last time out, netting a hat trick in a 7-0 drubbing of Osasuna. If Messi scores at anytime against Real Madrid on Sunday, then the bookmaker will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Correct Score, Last GOalscorer and Correct Score singles on the match. New customers registering an account with the bookie can also get up to a free £50 bet as a welcome bonus too.

Real Madrid v Barcelona Betting Tips:
Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid are looking the real deal at the moment, looking supremely confident and full of goals. However they have had a hard time of things in recent Clasicos, winning just two of the last eleven League meetings with Barcelona. Both of the wins they got in that sequence were by a one goal margin. You can back them to take a one goal winning margin this time around at a price of 3/1 with Paddy Power. They are favourites here because they are humming along and Barcelona have been stuttering in the League a bit. Real did win this corresponding fixture last season, and have the chance to make it two in a row at home over Barcelona in the League for the first time since 2008.

Cristiano Ronaldo has scored in seven of his last 10 Clasicos (nine goals in total) and will naturally be backed in the goalscorer markets.  Ronaldo, who has netted 25 League goals this season is priced up at 8/11 in the anytime goalscorer market, although that having been said, he hasn’t scored in the last two League meetings with Barca. Real Madrid are currently on an eighteen match unbeaten streak in La Liga, ever since that defeat against Barcelona back in October of last year, and fifteen of those eighteen have been won. They are as strong at the back as they are up front, keeping eight clean sheets in their last eleven in the League.

Still, Barcelona have a good scoring streak at the Bernabeu and Both Teams To Score is an obvious market at 1/2 with Paddy Power. Real and Barca have both found the net in each of the last 14 Clasicos in all competitions (Real 24 goals, Barcelona 25). Real have won their last nine home games on the bounce in the League and with five of those coming with clean sheets, and it is going to be pretty hard to find a reason not to back them to win. Especially with Barcelona having gone and lost three of their last seven La Liga matches.

Barcelona did reinforce their credentials with a thumping 7-0 win over Osasuna last week, with Lionel Messi bagging himself a hat trick. With that coming after running circles round Man City in the Champions League, maybe they are getting back on track well enough. Messi is the top score in League Clasicos among current players with 11 and he is priced up at Even money in the anytime goalscorer market for this latest clash. Barca have found the back of the net in each of their last eleven trips to the Bernabeu in all competitions, so worth backing to get on the scoresheet. Alexis Sanchez could be worth a look too as he has netted three in his last five League meetings with Real Madrid.

This one is looking tougher than ever to call. Barcelona have their recent history on their side in Clasico meeting, but Real Madrid are looking the stronger of the two sides at the moment. A talent-laden spectacle on show and would edge things for a Real Madrid outright at 6/5 with Paddy Power. With Barca just being shaky on the road, the home side may just have the edge

Find the latest results, League Table, Top Scorer and more on our football statistics on (just choose your country & your preferred topic)

Form (all competitions)
Real Madrid WWDWWW, Barcelona WLWLWW

Stat Attack
Real Madrid have won two of their last eleven League meetings with Barcelona
Since the 2008/09 season, Barca have won five Clasicos to Real Madrid’s two
Both sides have scored in each of the last 14 meetings with each other
Barcelona have scored in each of their last 11 visits to the Bernabeu
Cristiano Ronaldo has scored in seven of his last ten Clasicos (nine goals)

20th March 2014 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

European Football Betting

Barcelona v Real Madrid Betting Preview
European clashes don’t come much bigger than Barcelona v Real Madrid. This isn’t a top two battle in La Liga, as the visitors are down in third. Barcelona are top of the pile though and will be keen to press home their advantage here to open up a potential six point lead over their rivals. Real Madrid haven’t been a prolific in front of goal this season, but will Cristiano Ronaldo be able to inspire his side to a win at the Camp Nou, or will Barcelona keep their strong title charge on track?

Barcelona v Real Madrid Betting Odds at online bookmaker Ladbrokes
barcelona 4/5, Draw 11/4, Real Madrid 10/3

Online bookmaker Promotion
There is live in play betting insurance to be taken at online betting site Ladbrokes with their Money Back Special. If there is a red card in the live televised match, then Ladbrokes will refund losing bets on the Correct Score and Next Goalscorer markets which have been placed in play from the kick off until the moment the red card is shown. So if you are looking at live in play betting then you grab yourself some great insurance. New customers registering an account with online betting site Ladbrokes can get up to £30 worth of free bets.

Barcelona v Real Madrid Betting Tips:
Only two points have been dropped by Barcelona this season in La Liga, and that came in their last match when they frustrated into a goalless draw against Osasuna. That was on the road and that has left them with a perfect home record so far from four matches. The goals have been flowing heavily for Barcelona at home this season, netting eighteen in their four matches. So they have been firing along very nicely this season and at the centre of it all has been Lionel Messi who has banged eight goals so far. There has been good support coming from Pedro and Alexis Sanchez, while Brazilian superstar Neymar has struggled to have the influence expected after his big move to the Spanish giants. They have conceded at a rate of a goal per game at home though which does open things for Real Madrid. Most punters will simply be looking to go Over 2.5 goals for a price of 1/2 at online betting site Ladbrokes.

Barcelona haven’t managed to get a win on the board against Real Madrid now in the last five meetings in all competitions (D2 L3) so they have ceded a bit of power to their rivals there. The last time they went six Clasicos without a win was ten seasons ago. Indeed at the Nou Camp itself, they have only managed to win one of the last five Clasicos as well. They also have not managed to stop Real Madrid scoring at the Nou Camp since back in 2010 (which was incidentally Jose Mourinho’s first Clasico as Real manager). Another straight forward looking bet is Both Teams To Score for odds of 1/2 as well with Ladbrokes. Lionel Messi is back from injury and trading at 4/7 in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He is one goal away from being the top scorer in the history Classicos.

So looking at the stats there should be some hope for Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid on the weekend in the top La Liga match. They are lined up to win three successive Classicos in all competitions for the first time since 1979. They have netted 13 goals in their last six trips to the Nou Camp which is an average of just over two goals per game, so again it points to there being plenty of goals again here. It is an average of a goal more than Barcelona have managed in those six games. Cristiano Ronaldo has been on fire on trips to the Nou Camp as he has netted on each of his last six visits there and makes great value at Even money in the Anytime Goalscorer market. They may need him to get on the scoresheet because here is an amazing stat for you. Real Madrid have never lost a league game when Cristiano Ronaldo has scored (84 wins, six draws). Influential.

Real Madrid were the last team to take any points off Barcelona at the Nou Camp, back in last October. Since then Barca have won 19 consecutive home games. So while they haven’t gotten a win for a while in the Clasico, would at least back them for a draw. But for a safe looking bet, Cristiano Ronaldo as an Anytime Scorer for Even money looks great.

Find the latest results, League Table, Top Scorer and more on our football statistics on (just choose your country & your preferred topic)

Form (all competitions)
Barcelona WWWWDD, Real Madrid WWLWWW

Stat Attack
Barcelona are without a win five games against Real Madrid
barcelona have only won one of their five Clasicos at the Nou Camp
Real Madrid have scored 13 goals in their last six trips to the Nou Camp
Barcelona have won 19 consecutive home games in La Liga
Real Madrid have never lost a league game when Cristiano Ronaldo has scored

24th October 2013 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

Cristiano Ronaldo (Real Madrid)

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Betting Preview
There is a huge derby match in Spain on the weekend, with the two Madrid giants going up against each other. Maybe this will be the home debut at the Bernabeu for Gareth Bale. It is his Real Madrid side which takes heavy favouritism into the match, but the perfect form from the start of the season from Diego Simeone’s Atletico should make this one very interesting.

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Betting Odds at online bookmaker Paddy Power
Real Madrid 4/7, Draw 14/5, Atletico Madrid 5/1

Online bookmaker Promotion
There is promotion to back up your betting on this La Liga clash, and not too surprisingly it comes from Paddy Power and even less surprising that it is focused on Gareth Bale. If Bale scores the last goal of the game against Atletico, then online betting site Paddy Power will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast bets placed on the match before kick off. New customers registering an account with the popular bookie can get up to a free £50 bet as a welcome bonus.

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Betting Tips:
Carlo Ancelotti is the one charged with getting Real Madrid back to the Spanish League title and bringing with it Champions League success. However, things at the top of La Liga don’t look to be quite as much of a one horse race as it has been, and that is thanks to their city rivals Atletico Madrid. They have too, played their own part in their own stumbles. Gareth Bale missed out on his home debut last weekend, picking up a thigh strain in the warm up. He has already gotten off the mark for his new club, a tap in against Villarreal in a 2-2 draw, in which Madrid were a bit guilty of going off the boil. But for all the threat of Cristiano Ronaldo and an in-form Bale, one of the stars of the show this season has been Isco, who has played a tremendous support role to the Ronaldo show.

But the main source of goals will continue to be the Portuguese star and he came to their rescue on Wednesday night in a league match against the newly promoted Elche. After opening the scoring, Madrid took their eye off the ball again, as they did against Villarreal, being pegged back level. A a spot kick from Ronaldo three minutes into stoppage time gave Ancelotti’s men the three points in a dramatic finish. Not the most convincing of displays. So they haven’t hit top stride yet, so are they at risk in this derby at the Bernabeu? They are generally pretty strong at home and don’t waver much, but suddenly this renewal perhaps looks as even as it has done for a while. They only dropped four points (in two drawn matches) at home last season in La Liga, not losing at the Bernabeu.

Unlike their big spending neighbours, Atletico have made a perfect start to the new season, running of six wins from six in the Spanish top flight. You would have thought that losing the huge goal input of Radamel Falcao would have affected them somehow, but they haven’t skipped a beat. Where are the goals coming from? Diego Costa (8/5 in the Anytime Goalscorer market)  in particular has been looking immense with 7 league goals in six matches, and backed up with input from Raul Garcia, David Villa and Tiago, there is great talent pushing forward for Atletico. They have scored at least two goals in each of their league matches this season, which simply points to perhaps this going over 3.5 goals for a price of 4/6 with Paddy Power. Last season their defence was brilliant, but they haven’t been quite as tight out of the blocks this season, keeping just two clean sheets in their opening six matches.

Atletico fought out a 2-1 in in the Copa Del Rey against Real Madrid last season and that has been their only victory in the last 26 derbies. So as well as they have been playing, they have a terrible record against Madrid. It’s not as if they have been taking draws either, before that win in the Copa Del Rey, Atletico had lost the previous eleven matches in a row against Real in all competitions. This corresponding league fixture last season ended up in a 2-0 win for Real, with Cristiano Ronaldo getting on the scoresheet and he will naturally make a First Goalscorer option at odds of 2/1 with Paddy Power.

Find the latest results, League Table, Top Scorer and more on our football statistics on (just choose your country & your preferred topic)

Real Madrid WWDWWW, Atletico Madrid WWWWWW

Stat Attack
Atletico have won one of the last 26 matches against Real
Atletico have lost eleven of the last twelve derby matches
The last two meetings have been settled by a 2-1 scoreline
Only one of the last six meetings have gone under 3 goals

25th September 2013 / Lee A Jackson - Category: European Football Betting

Cyril's Betting Advice

Recently I have been scouring the “net” to see what is “Flavour of the Month” etc. I came across a thread on a forum in which the writer gave sketchy details of his interpretation of BTTS. He hasn’t been “proofing” for long, three Saturdays, in fact. That’s not what interests me, however. What does come up is his strike rate. He covers Scottish Premiership, Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A and Ligue 1 as well as the five English leagues I’ve looked at in the recent past. He selects the best nine matches each match day from these leagues, according to his rating system. It’s not the selection method I’m interested in. It’s his success rate. Up to now, he has had 18 correct plus one void from twenty seven selections. A little above 66.6%, which is better than the best in the five English leagues. Even though he has a good success rate the odds are a problem. A mean average appears to be around 1.66. At this level it would be necessary to have SIX winning selections out of NINE. Again we’re at that 66.6% mark. However this level of winning bets would only give approximately ONE point profit. At a level single point win on each selection. The suggested bets are 4 match accumulators. This would necessitate a slightly better level of SEVEN winners from each nine selections to ensure a profit. Even though this is only ONE more successful match it would appear to be bucking the odds. Not something which is recommended.

So it will be necessary to find a different route to find a successful answer to the problem.
Our FIVE leagues seem to have settled at a fair level of BTTS. The holiday period has provided very little change in each league’s average. The most noticeable being the Premiership dipping below 60%.

Perhaps a voyage into the European leagues will pay some dividends. A quick check on each of the major European leagues gave the following figures.

Italy 96/180 53.3%

Spain 87/170 51.2%

Germany 85/153 55.5%

France 85/190 50.0%

Scot Prem 68/118 57.6%

Surprisingly the Jocks come out on top of this particular pile. It does appear though that foreign defences are a little stronger than those in the English leagues. One thing worth noting however is, BTTS matches tend to come in batches on the same day. For instance there were a couple of Saturdays when Scottish matches returned 5 out of six games. Some study of these streaks will pay dividends in the long run. In reality, any match is an even money bet to end with goals being scored by both sides. Also, and even money bet with only one, or neither side scoring. Working within such a restricted confine, finding “VALUE” can be a daunting task. It’s clear that some hard work needs to be applied to find a strategy/system for weeding out the chaff. There is an alternative which might well suit some punters. In a large majority of games, getting OVER even money is there for the taking IF you back against the flow. Bet that there will only be one team doing the scoring. Whilst stats tell us that there will be fewer winners with this bet, the “extra” on the odds will often make it well worthwhile.

Current form is a “must”, for taking in to account a teams scoring possibilities. Also. don’t forget head to heads. One aspect of form that does require close scrutiny, is a teams AWAY ability where scoring is concerned.

Teams from the middle half of the league table are quite likely to hit the net against better placed opponents than against the lesser able sides.

Something else to look at, is, teams seldom go more than two games without scoring.

Hope that 2013 is profitable for us all.

-> BTTS for Premier League
-> BTTS Betting Premiership
-> BTTS Betting League One
-> BTTS Betting League Two
-> BTTS Betting Conference League

(This article was written on the January 7th by our expert Cyril but our editor was very busy and did not manage to publish until now. Sorry for that!)

16th March 2013 / cyril - Category: Betting Advice

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