English League One

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Millwall V Charlton Athletic: Who will get the Lion-share of goals at The New Den?

English Football Betting

Millwall V Charlton Athletic

 

Saturday, 13th March – 15:00 GMT (English League One)

 

Matt’s Tip: Both teams to score – 1.83 SkyBet (LOST!)

 

Alternative: Over 2.5 Goals – 2.15 Bet365 (WON!)

Value Punt: Millwall to WIN 2-1 – 9.50 SkyBet

 

 

Two teams with high hopes of ending the season in the play-off’s go head-to-head on Saturday as a formidable Millwall (2.38 Ladbrokes) host a rejuvenated Charlton Athletic (3.40 Bet365) at The New Den with the home side expected to take home the spoils according to the bookies. Considering just how intimidating a side Millwall are at home (12-4-1), that’s probably a fair assessment, but there are a group of teams in the league that posses the players and have the talent within their ranks to beat a team of Millwall’s stature and some would argue Charlton do fall into that category, so is there a chance a shock could be on the cards or will Millwall’s run of eight home games without defeat extend to nine?

 

We definitely be more inclined to say the latter, an extension of Millwall’s unbeaten home run, as The Lions have been formidable at The New Den this season having lost just one game their all season. Put that into comparison with the three away defeats Charlton have suffered this season, and you can see why the bookies have shown Millwall so much respect. Nevertheless, Charlton are more than capable of making this a proper game and even if Millwall do run out worthy and expectant winners, Charlton should still get on the score sheet at some point as they’ve not failed to score in an away fixture since October 3rd, 2009 when they drew 0-0 at Leeds Utd, of all the places. They’re on a run of scoring in their last eleven away encounters, thus proving they have the credentials to push Millwall stunning home record to its limits.

 

Moreover, Charlton have a whole host of potential scorers ranging right through their squad; Deon Burton (13gls), Akpo Sodje (8gls), both of which are Charlton’s main men up front, while the midfield of Charlton boasts a potential goalscorer in every department, with Nick Bailey (11gls) and Jonjo Shelvey (4gls) banging in goals from the centre of midfield, whilst the pace of Llyod Sam has not only seen him fly past his full-back marker and deliver a cross worthy of a finish but he’s also put 4 away himself. There are a few more regular candidates for goalscoring action, but this is just to prove a point that Charlton are a side with goals in them, and they will need that heading up to Millwall, which you’ll find out why now…

 

The Lions are also a side full of goals having failed just twice to find the opposing goal in a home fixture at The New Den. However, something they do have which Charlton don’t is a more reliable defence, which is a big concern for us with Millwall’s experienced back line has kept eight clean sheets in seventeen home games this season, with the Lions keeping four of those in their last six home games. However, their sturdy defence has only really been efficient against the lesser teams in the division, whereas when real attacking quality arrives to The Den, Millwall generally falter at least once. Norwich, Southampton, Colchester United, Leeds United and Huddersfield; all teams of high calibre in this league, all of which were dispatched in the end but not without a scare along the way, with all five of the teams just mentioned scoring at The New Den this season, which just goes to show that Millwall aren’t as impenetrable as the statistics would like to make you think.

 

 

Both teams to score – What we have here is two adventurous teams, two sides desperate to gain promotion back to The Championship, the league which in effect becomes a Lotto as to who goes up into the glamours Premiership. The pair both have strong claims for promotion this season, but it’s gaining victories over sides in close proximity that not only builds gaps in positions but also significantly boosts the confidence of the players as should these two meet in the play-off’s, the side who won the very last encounter would have the mental edge in the knowledge that they’ve achieved victory over the same opponent before, and recently.

 

With all this winning mumbo-jumbo aside though, we’re expecting two courageous teams to take to the New Den pitch in a bid to notch up a vital win and aid their cause with three points. To do that they need goals and both look likely of breaching each others goals so we’re expecting plenty of action, fruitful as well we hope. The odds on this specific market aren’t great (1.83 SkyBet), but Millwall do have a knack for winning these sort of fixtures, against those in and around them, by a 2-1 scoreline (9.50 SkyBet) so perhaps a small wager on that could prove beneficial, while another bet on there being 3 or more goals (2.15 Bet365) could also bare fruit for us all.

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Southampton V Walsall: Saints to Saddle a Walsall assault…

English Football Betting

 

Southampton V Walsall

 

Saturday, 27th February – 15:00 GMT (English League One)

 

Matt’s Tip: Southampton to WIN – 1.67 Ladbrokes

 

Alternatives: Southampton to WIN by 1 Goal – 3.50 SkyBet

Under 2.5 Goals – 1.87 Expekt

 

 

A Southampton team desperate to finish in the play-off spots go head-to-head with a fellow play-off chasing side in Walsall this Saturday at St. Mary’s. The side situated most Southern of the two, Southampton, are the bookies favourites to win Saturday’s clash (1.67 Ladbrokes), while a Walsall victory (6.00 Bet365), one that would be a turn up for the books, isn’t being contemplated by the sly bookmakers. We would have to go along with their viewpoint and say Southampton should win this fixture but not as easily as the bookies are making out.

 

The Saints look a very good bet on paper when you consider they boast one of the stronger home records in League One. The likes of Leeds United & Millwall set the standard in terms of having a glistening record at home in the league, but Alan Pardew’s Southampton aren’t far behind and would actually be right up their if it wasn’t for those two home blips against Bristol Rovers & Brighton. However, since losing to Brighton 3-1 back in November, a little over three months ago, Southampton have gone five games without defeat at St. Mary’s, recording vital wins in four of them. In fact, Southampton are on a four match winning streak at St. Mary’s having beaten Wycombe, Tranmere, Exeter City & Stockport County. Of course, all four wins were against sides in the lower reaches of the table but Southampton have made light work of their easy opponents, with three of the four being to NIL, and so every area of the Southampton squad will be full of confidence under the ray of this winning home streak.

 

Their opponents, Walsall, have become partial to a bit of shock treatment of late and boldly boast impressive and audacious victories over Leeds United & Bristol Rover, of which both were in away fixtures. There were but only a few that would have done them to beat a usually strong Bristol Rovers at home, with The Saddler’s winning 1-0, while they shocked the country when winning 2-1 at Elland Road against the former leaders of the league Leeds United. I heard they were more than worthy winners in that contest, and so merit plenty of respect. However, they only briefly built upon that euphoric result as straight after they went on to beat Brentford 2-1 at home before making a brisk return to their inconsistent and unreliable selves by losing 1-0 at home to a modest Yeovil Town

 

Backing against Walsall on the road is a dangerous thing as they’ve been a side which can turn up and give any side a fright. Their six away wins from fifteen outings highlights this but they aren’t the most reliable of teams and have been known to falter away at the league’s big boys. Despite earning impressive victories over Bristol Rovers & Leeds United in recent weeks, Walsall have already fallen to defeats at Charlton Athletic, MK Dons & Colchester United, which just goes to show that while they can produce the goods on any given day, their day doesn’t always arrive.

 

Southampton, however, are very consistent, although this will be their toughest home assignment for quite some time. They are, though, very tidy at home having conceded just one goal in their last four home fixtures, and we’re banking on more of the same as Alan Pardew’s Saints go marching in on the play-ff spots. Well, making in-roads on them anyhow. However, we don’t think this will be a walk in the park for Southampton as we expect this to be a good, tight contest between two sides with very similar aspirations. We fancy Southampton, but feel this could be settled by the odd goal.

 

Tip Result: WON @ 1.67

 

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Charlton V Millwall: We’re addicted to the Addicks…

English Football Betting

 

Charlton Athletic V Millwall – Saturday 19th December, 15:00 GMT

 

Matt’s Tip: Charlton Athletic to beat Millwall – 1.83 Bet365

  

Two sides who were fancied to be contesting the promotion positions, or thereabouts, clash at the Valley this Saturday. It’s Charlton, though, who have the ascendency after a run of four successive wins in the league, and who also boast a six match unbeaten run. Millwall, meanwhile have been performing in patches and, after beating Walsall in their last outing, perhaps another below par display is too come from Kenny Jackett.

  

Charlton Athletic’s fall from grace has been staggering but they’ve quickly adjusted to life in League One and look to be one of the main contenders for a top two finish, what would be automatic promotion back into The Championship. The basis for their success has been their form at home, and The Addicks have yet to be defeated at The Valley all season, with an incredibly strong record of 8-2-0 at home this season. Huddersfield (5th) MK Dons (7th) and Bristol Rovers (6th) are just some of the more high profile names in the league that have not only failed to scupper Charlton’s unbeaten home run but have also succumbed to defeat against the second best team in the league, according to the league standings.

  

When playing at The Valley, Charlton tend to spend most of the game on the front foot and this soundly reflects in their impressive goalscoring form. In ten home fixtures thus far, Charlton have found the opposing net on twenty-two occasions, scoring over two goals a game on average, and only one team this season has kept Charlton at bay for the full 90 minutes and that was Oldham Athletic in a 0-0 draw, a surprise result on the day.

  

The reason behind their attacking success has been the quality they posses in the final third. Deon Burton (10 Goals) and Akpo Sodje (5 Goals) have led the line superbly for Charlton in the league, while their impressive forward partnership has been complimented by some free-scoring midfielders, with Nickey Bailey, the club captain, chipping in with six goals, and Lloyd Sam aiding the cause with four goals. So the Charlton manager, Phil Parkinson, has a wide array of attacking talent at his disposal. and he has certainly got the best out of them this season.

 

  

Millwall, on the other hand, are struggling for consistent runs of form. They may have notched up eight wins from twenty-one outings but only once have they gone on a winning run of two or more wins, a three match winning streak in October. However, they have since failed to strike up another hot streak and have won just twice since, with both of those successes coming at The New Den, home of Millwall.

  

At home, Millwall are a match for any side and they’ve proven this already by beating the likes of Colchester Utd (4th), Huddersfield (5th), MK Dons (7th) and even the league leaders, Leeds United. However, away from home has been a completely different story and although their impressive form at home may look outstandingly good (8-3-1), their away form is a stark contrast (1-5-4), with the Lions only away victory this season coming back in October, a 4-0 romp at Stockport County, a team who are not only struggling at the foot of the table (6 points off safety) but were also knocked out of the FA Cup in midweek by League Two side, Torquay United. So that win has done nothing to hide over their quite apparent away cracks.  

 

Millwall have been found wanting on just about every occasion on the road, and against far easier opponent than a ruthless Charlton. They’ve now gone three away matches without a win; two draws with Brentford (2-2) and Exeter City (1-1) who are hardly formidable sides, and a defeat at Hartlepool (3-0). Kenny Jacketts has struggled to find the right attacking formula when taking Millwall on their travels and their nine away goals scored thus far is pretty lousy, especially when you take into consideration that Millwall have failed to score in half of their away fixtures thus far, and did fail to find the net at Hartlepool in their previous away outing in the league.

  

Charlton are a handsome price to comply on Saturday against what is a tricky Millwall side, but only when at The New Den. The Addicks shouldn’t come across too many problems when dispatching Millwall on Saturday as they’ve been close to unstoppable at home since the start of the new season. Unbeaten in ten at The Valley and strikers bang in form, with even midfielders chipping in with their contribution. There are far too many positive for Charlton and too many niggling negative for Millwall to oppose the home side on Saturday and, with Leeds United facing a tricky home fixture with Southampton at the same time, a win for Charlton could lift them back to the summit of League One.

 

 

Alternatives:

 

Deon Burton FGS – 5/1 Ladbrokes

Nickey Bailey FGS – 8/1 Ladbrokes

 

Llyod Sam Anytime Goalscorer – 9/2 SkyBet

 

Over 2.5 Goals – 1.91 Boylesports

 

 

 

 

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Leeds United V Huddersfield Town: Beckford to lead by example…

English Football Betting

 

Leeds United V Huddersfield Town

 

Saturday 5th December – 15:00 GMT

 

English League One

 

 

I couldn’t believe my eyes when I seen the price of Leeds United on Saturday, despite them facing an inform Huddersfield Town, a team currently doing their utmost to cement their place in the top six (Play-Off positions). However, the bookies appear to have given Huddersfield far too much respect in this fixture and the 1.73 available with Bet365 will be snapped up by us and plenty of others, we are sure.

  

Leeds forward, Jermaine Beckford, scooped the Player of November award this week, completing a hat-trick of monthly player awards in the league for Leeds United after Beckford won it back in October and Robert Snodgrass claimed the prize in September. This just highlights the talent currently on show at the club and why they are so far ahead of the remaining teams in League One on the talent scale. In fact, like several seasons gone before, a handful of Leeds players are already being linked to moves to bigger clubs in January, Jermaine Beckford being one of them. Beckford, who has scored twelve goals this season, has been constantly linked with big money moves elsewhere but nothing concrete has ever come about, and Leeds manager, Simon Grayson, will be hoping that remains the case over the forthcoming months.

  

Leeds aren’t a one man show, though, with other talented individuals chipping in with noteworthy displays, performances and goals. We’ve already mentioned Robert Snodgrass, a player on the periphery of the Scotland first team, whilst some of their younger crop are starting to shine through when given the opportunity to do so by Grayson. Max Gradel, Badley Johnson, Jonny Howson and Sam vokes, have all played a key part in what has been a successful season for Leeds thus far, and we expect the success wagon to roll on this Saturday, despite Huddersfield’s best efforts to halt it.

  

At Elland Road, a former fortress for Leeds United back in their Premiership heyday, Leeds have yet to lose, with a record of 7-2-0. The two draws: Carlisle United 1-1, 0-0 Charlton Athletic, both decent teams in League One, although, Simon Grayson would have ideally preferred all three points in both encounters. Nevertheless, Elland Road has been the basis of a very successful campaign thus far, with Leeds notching up 21 points from a possible 27 at home this season. Their victory last weekend at home to Leyton Orient, a match they had to work their socks off to get the win they craved, meant that Leeds had won three games on the spin at Elland Road, with that success over Orient preceded with victories over Yeovil Town (4-0), and Norwich City (2-1), although the latter result came in slightly fortuitous circumstances.

  

Jermaine Beckford is the main man at the club and, although he has scored 12 of the 35 Leeds have managed this season, he could do with another more regular goal-pitcher. Bradley Johnson has lent a helping hand with a very creditable seven for the season, but the return of Lucciano Bechhio should lift some of the expected goalscoring pressure form Beckford‘s shoulders. Becchio scored in Tuesday’s 2-0 win at Oldham, a team they previously beat 2-0 in the FA Cup a few weeks back.

 

  

Huddersfield will be a tough proposition for Leeds as they have been a team that can score plenty of goals, with their attacking prowess resulting in them finding the goal on six more occasions than Leeds thus far, which is an incredible feat. However, 31 of those goals have all come at The Galphram stadium, home of Huddersfield, whereas just 10 have come on their travels. That statistic leaves them extremely vulnerable and exposed heading into such a happy hunting ground for their opponents and league leaders, Leeds United.

  

Huddersfield‘s away record is a shambles compared to their home form. Home Record: 7-3-0 (Unbeaten in the league this season), Away Record: 2-1-6 (a 67% losing ratio in away outings). It’s clear that the support of a large home crowd does them the world of good and when they don’t have home advantage, they evidentially struggle. Their usually potent attack force has only managed a mere 10 away goals in nine away outings, barely over a goal a game on the road, whilst they have shipped 15 in return. Not a dreadful defensive record but it’s a big flaw considering who they’re facing.

  

If this was at The Galpharm, then perhaps Huddersfield could provide Leeds with a big test, but, unfortunately, it’s not. Elland Road, just like the Galpharm has been for Town, has been a happy hunting ground and a winning resort for Leeds this season and we expect them to claim another big scalp in front of their home fans on Saturday.

 

 

 

Matt’s Proposed Bets

 

Leeds United to WIN – 1.75 Bet365

 

Jermaine Beckford Anytime Goalscorer – 1.83 (PaddyPower, SkyBet)

 

 

Possible Alternatives:

 

Leeds United/Leeds United (HT/FT Betting) – 2.80 BlueSquare

Over 2.5 Goals – 1.80 (Boylesports, SportingBet, PaddyPower)

Leeds United to Score 3 or More Goals – 3.40 PaddyPower

 

 

 

Match Odds:

 

Leeds United – 1.75 Bet365

Draw -3.60 (PaddyPower, SkyBet)

Huddersfield Town -5.50 SkyBet

 

Odds provided from Oddschecker. Last Updated: 11:45 (4/12)

 

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Matt’s Lower League Tips

English Football Betting

 

Dagenham & Redbridge V Morecambe

 

Saturday 26th September – 15:00 GMT

 

 

Dagenham are currently the most prolific goalscoring side in the league right now, scoring nineteen goals in their eight games so far. However, the free scoring Dagenham only comes out to play on home soil and they have been blessed with a return back to Victoria Road as a game with Morecambe awaits them. 15 of their nineteen goals thus far have all come at home, with Dag & Red averaging nearly four goals a game on home soil.

 

Dag & Red have also been very tidy at the back, with the exception of the 5-3 win over Torquay. Dagenham have conceded just four goals at home, three of those coming against Torquay. They’ve kept two clean sheets against Lincoln City and Shrewsbury and, although it’s still early days, Dagenham look to have solid claims for promotion this season and they do find themselves in a handy position in second place.

 

Their opponents, however, cannot boast such fantastic statistics as they find themselves hovering above the relegation zone with eight points. However, they will be buoyed by their most recent and maiden win of the season when they beat Notts County 2-1 last weekend. That did, however, come at home and their away form has been pretty dire. They may be unbeaten on the road in two games but they previously lost their two opening away outings against Burton Albion & Barnet, both by comfortable margins.

 

Morecambe have big problems with scoring goals, mainly on the road it has to be said. So far, Morecambe have managed to score just three times on their travels, with two of those coming in a 5-3 defeat away at Burton. They failed to score against Rotherham in their previous away encounter but, with them conceding just the one goal in their last two away games, it’s pretty clear that Morecambe manager; Sammy McLLroy, tends to set his side up to defend whilst on their travels and he will need to mastermind something extra special for his side to keep an high flying Dagenham & Redbridge at bay for the full 90 minutes.

 

 

Matt’s Tip: Dagenham & Redbridge to WIN

 

Dagenham have been a class apart at home and they should comply without any qualms in this game. Morecambe will be tough to break down and the longer the game goes without a goal the more concerned we might be. However, an early goal for the home side could and should be curtains for Morecambe as the floodgates really could open.

 

ODDS: 8/13 or 1.62 – SkyBet

 

 

Side Bet: Under 2.5 Goals

 

This is potential a risky punt as Dag could score any number of goals against any team in the league but Morecambe’s defensive mindset, whilst on their travels, leaves us with no alternative but to have a small cheeky bet on this being a game decided by the odd goal, hopefully in the favour of the home side, to land double the spoils.

 

ODDS: 21/20 or 2.05 – Bet365

 

 

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Swindon Town V Wycombe Wanderers

 

 

Saturday 26th September – 15:00 GMT

 

For some reason Wycombe tend to be a favourable side with the backers but, after a dreadful start to the campaign, they are now a bookies best friend. Swindon, on the other hand, have been a tough nut to crack and are unbeaten in the league in seven games. For once the bookies have made Wycombe the clear outsiders and it would be typical for them to now being their recovery but we don’t see it happening, not against a tricky Swindon side.

 

Swindon aren’t the most reliable of teams to follow, with a record in the league of 3-4-1, but they are still a very tough side to get the better of on their day. They have surpassed many people’s expectations but climbing up the table into 9th but they fully deserve to be in such a comfortable position.

 

The same can’t be said about the visitors, with Wycombe’s record in League One currently standing at 1-2-5. Their only win of the season thus far coming at home, with three of their five defeats coming on their travels. They did pick up a point in their most recent away encounter but they failed o build upon a fairly decent result by losing their corresponding fixture 1-0 at home to MK Dons.

 

Swindon are far from being the most prolific team on home soil but they appear to have a knack for doing just enough. Their two victories at home have both come by the slimmest of margins, beating Southampton 1-0 and Southend 2-1. Both MK Dons & Colchester United have held Swindon to low scoring draws at The County Ground but those two sides are fourth and fifth respectively.

 

 

Matt’s Tip: Swindon Town to WIN

 

Wycombe have scored just once in their last two away outings, and when you take into consideration that their opposition were Hartlepool & Brighton, two teams expected to struggle this season and the pair already find themselves near the the bottom four, then you can see why Wycombe look a terrible proposition despite their glorious price tag.

 

I’m not quite sure if Swindon are worth the odds on tag but if this goes the way of the form book then they should grind out another narrow but well earned home victory. Even a draw for them would extend their unbeaten run to eight games but we’re banking on them taking all three points.

 

ODDS: 4/5 or 1.8 – Coral

 

 

Side Bet: Under 2.5 Goals

 

Neither side has been finding the net all that often but the pair have also kept it pretty tight at the back. Early indications state that this will be a very tight affair with goals at a premium and, although the form book cannot be completely relied upon, the odds on Under 2.5 Goals looks big enough to tempt us into a small wager.

 

ODDS: 4/5 or 1.8 – SkyBet

 

 

 

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MK Dons V Leeds United

 

Saturday 26th September – 15:00 GMT

 

 

A high flying Leeds United could find their match this weekend in the form of Paul Ince’s MK Dons. The latter find themselves in fifth position, five points adrift of Leeds of occupy top spot in League One. However, both are in superb form and although Leeds do possess more quality within their ranks, the fact that MK are playing at home could even this duel out a tad.

 

MK Dons have high hopes of at least reaching the play-off’s this season but they have to beat those around them if they are to do so. Leeds United are arguably playing in the wrong league as far as quality goes and they will be eager to notch up as many points as possible as they aim to secure promotion automatically this season and avoid the potential heartbreak of another play-off upset.

 

Were it not for a recent slip up at home to Huddersfield, losing 3-2, MK Don’s could boast very impressive home form after two wins and a draw from their opening four home fixtures. However, that defeat against Huddersfield, currently sat in sixth, just reiterated how hard MK will find life in League One this year in terms of completing their seasonal objective. Consistency is key and MK have shown already that they can drop off and fall to some silly and avoidable results.

 

Leeds are Mr. Consistent right now, with their 0-0 draw with Southend their only game thus far that they have dropped any points in. They have picked up 22 points from a maximum of 25 and sent out a message to all of League One that they certainly mean business this time around. Leeds quite literally are setting the standard and they are the unsurprising favourites here although they will have to work harder than they have done in recent weeks to secure all three points.

 

MK Don’s do boast two wins against Norwich & Wycombe, with the victory over Norwich their most recent success on home soil. They have a home record of 2-1-1 but on the hole they have been pretty decent at stadium MK. Their defence does look a slight concerning as their only home clean sheet thus far came on the opening day of the season in a disappointing 0-0 draw with Hartlepool. Since then, Colcehster, Huddersfield & Norwich have all found the MK goal on MK soil.

 

Leeds haven’t been phased wherever they play but they’ve yet to face one of the more talented sides in the division as of yet. However, that will change this weekend when they to Wimbledon. Leeds have an away record of 3-1-0 and have yet to suffer a defeat this season. They have managed to score five in four on the road, conceding just two goals in return.

 

 

Matt’s Tip: Both teams to score

 

This will be a tight affair, although Leeds should just knick it. However, we aren’t confident enough to pick an away win as MK, on their day, can be a right handful. We can’t see Leeds United not scoring while MK should do the same. An early goal for either side would spark this match into action as neither team can afford to lose but were Leeds to open the scoring they look the more capable of the two of holding out and possibly keeping MK at bay. An early MK goal would be lovely but we don’t always get what we want in betting, actually, hardly ever!

 

ODDS: 4/5 or 1.8 – Bet365

 

 

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