Alcorcón vs Rayo Vallecano
29th June 1830hrs
Football – Spain – La Liga 2
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Bet365
Odds: 15/8 odds taken 03:14 GMT, Sunday 28th June
This is a massive game in the context of the race for a top six finish in the Spanish second tier.
It almost has the feel of being an eliminator really as whoever leaves this empty handed is going to have a tough time recovering.
Rayo Vallecano start his game two points outside of the top six in seventh place, with Alcorcon just a point back.
The pressure is on. Who will prevail?
Table of Contents
Alcorcon Preview – Can Alcorcon make the most of home advantage?
Alcorcon would jump above Rayo Vallecano with a win in this one. It would be a one point margin that they would hold over them.
Bit this is fragile ground, because a loss and they could pretty much say goodbye to any top six hopes.
It wouldn’t close the door totally, it would just make things tough.
So are Alcorcon showing the kind of form to win this?
Well, they have won three of their last six, but those have all been on the road.
This is almost looking like a disadvantage that they are playing this game at home
Alcorcon have only won one of their last nine league home games. Their overall record on home turf for the campaign is a poor W4 D4 L9.
In contrast, they are undefeated on their travels. Earlier this season they went to Rayo Vallecano, andpicked up a point in a 1-1 draw.
Alcorcon are averaging a goal per home game in this campaign and have only taken a clean sheet in 18% of home fixtures.
A quick look at the streaks shows that they have conceded in each of their last nine home games now.
They have tallied only two goals in total across their last four home games.
So it’s a really strange situation for them. Alcorcon just aren’t very good at home.
Three points out of this one however, would be massive for them, as it has been their away form keeping them in touch with the top six.
In twelve of their 17 home games, Alcorcon have either been 1-0 ahead or at 0-0 at the half time break (six times each).
That has to lead on to another statistic.
While they have been watertight in defence in the first half of matches, they have shipped 72% of all home league goals after the half time break this season.
It may well be worth having a look at the HT Draw at 20/21 for this one* (betting odds taken from Bet365 at 03:22 GMT on June 28th, 2020)
Rayo Vallecano Preview – Do Rayo have the away form?
Naturally with what little Alcorcon have produced at home this season, it’s worth looking at Rayo’s away form.
Do they have enough behind them to support them to go and get a win.
The answer to that would be no, not really. They have had a much better home campaign than on the road.
It is a W2 D12 L3 record that Rayo Vallecano have secured on their travels.
Overall home and away they are in a good bit of form, unbeaten in their five games played since return (W2 D3).
But there have been a lot of drawn games across their season and that has to have some big appeal in the match outright.
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A massive trend is that Rayo Vallecano have drawn their last seven road fixtures. The most recent of those was a 3-3 at Deportivo recently.
Rayo have also been level at halftime in 10 of their 17 away games this season.
Just 35% of their away games have made it over 2.5 goals this season, so everything just points to this being a tight clash.
In total it is an eight match unbeaten streak away from that Rayo Vallecano are on, but are winless in seven on their travels.
Alcorcon vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Advice
Everything just points to a share of the spoils in this one. Alcorcon have a horrid home form behind them for starters.
Rayo Vallecano can’t seem to do anything but draw fixtures on the road.
As they are the away team here, they would probably be the happier of the two if they were to get a point and may play towards that.
Key Facts – Alcorcon vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tip
- Alcorcon have won only 4 home games in this campaign
- Four of the last five meetings have produced a home win
- Rayo Vallecano have drawn their last seven away games
We see a conservative game coming up. So we are simply going to stick with the draw in the match outright.
It really is too close to call. Neither really look as if they have enough to win it.
The best betting odds for Alcorcon vs Rayo Vallecano
Alcorcon to win: 2/1 at Bet365
Draw: 15/8 at Bet365
Rayo Vallecano to win: 8/5 at Bet365
