Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev
19th November 1400hrs
Tennis – London – ATP World Tour Finals 2020
Pick Draw
Bookmaker 888sport
Odds: 4/5 odds taken 21:24 GMT Wednesday, 18th November
It has been two wins for two for Dominic Thiem at the ATP World Tour Finals. He won a terrific scrap with Rafal Nadal on Tuesday.
So the Austrian is on the brink of qualifying for the semi finals of the competition as he faces Andrey Rublev in his final round robin match.
Rublev has lost his two matches having lost in a final set tiebreaker against Stefanos Tsitsipas in his second fixture.
Table of Contents
Dominic Thiem Preview – Thiem in hot form in London
This year’s US Open champion Dominic Thiem kicked off his ATP World Tour Finals campaign with a victory over Stefanos Tsisipas.
That was a three-set fixture after the Austiran had let the second set slip through his hands.
But he got through the challenge and then kicked on to a higher gear on Tuesday for his second round robin fixture.
In that one, Thiem faced Rafael Nadal and it was a huge battle between the two players.
It was Thiem who prevailed in the fixture, having won both sets via a tie-breaker. So that’s a good nod towards how well he’s holding his nerve.
Three of the four sets that Thiem has won in this tournament have been via a tie-breaker.
So he is in great winning form at the moment.
It is a 4/5 quote on him in the match outright for tennis betting as he faces Rublev* (odds taken 21:24 GMT Wednesday, 18th November).
A win for Thiem guarantees him a place in the semi finals as group winner. A loss and it will be down to other factors.
The head to head between Thiem and Rublev is even at two wins each from their previous encounters.
There has been one meeting this year, which was, very interestingly, on an indoor hard court.
That was in Vienna and it was Rublev who collected a straight-sets victory in that fixture.
That was the second meeting between them indoors, with Thiem winning the first one in Vienna back in 2017.
The trend here though is that it has been back to back losses for Thiem against Rublev, which makes things interesting.
Andrey Rublev Preview – Rublev fighting hard
An opening match at the ATP Finals for Rublev against Rafael Nadal was never going to be an easy thing.
It wasn’t. Rublev lost in straight sets, barely making any inroads into the defence of the Spaniard.
In his second round robin match on Tuesday, the Russian put up a great challenge against Stefanos Tsitsipas.
That went to three sets after Rublev had been heavily outplayed in the opening set of that fixture.
Rublev fought back well and lost out in the end only a deciding set tie-breaker.
So his chances of qualification for the semi finals are out of the window, even if he wins this one.
Rublev is at even money in the match outright fo the contest* (odds taken 21:24 GMT Wednesday, 18th November).
Can the Russian bow out of the London event on a high?
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No player won more titles during the ATP season and no player won more matches than Andrey Rublev did.
It was a fantastic campaign from him and so he more than deserved his place in this tournament.
Given that he has no pressure on him now, that could make him a little more dangerous to Thiem.
Rublev can relax and just do his thing with no worries about the consequences of a defeat.
A Rublev +1.5 handicap is at 19/20 so the bookmakers are not expecting him to get rolled over easily* (odds taken 21:24 GMT Wednesday, 18th November).
Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev Betting Advice
There could be a train of thought that Thiem relaxes in this one because of having already qualified.
We don’t see that happening, as he will want to continue momentum and winning the group will likely mean that he avoids Djokovic in the semi’s.
So we are going to go with the win for Thiem and the 4/5 quote on him to do so represents a bit of value* (odds taken 21:24 GMT Wednesday, 18th November).
Key Facts – Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev Betting Tip
- Dominic Thiem has won his two round robin matches at the ATP Finals
- Dominic Thiem and Rublev are even in the head to head at two wins each
- Andrey Rublev has lost two his two matches at the tournament
The head to head between the two players is very interesting as it’s split evenly there.
Rublev has won the last two meetings, the latter of those happening on the indoor courts in Vienna.
But those losses in this tournament, especially the heartbreaking tie-breaker reverse against Tsitsipas on Tuesday has surely knocked a bit out of him.
A Thiem 2-0 does look a nice tennis betting option for a bit of extended value at 6/4* (odds taken 21:24 GMT Wednesday, 18th November).
The best betting odds for Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev
Dominic Thiem to win: 4/5 at Bet365
Andrey Rublev to win: Evens at Bet365
