Palmeiras Vs Atletico Goianiense
Palmeiras Vs Atletico Goianiense Thursday, 16 June 2022 – 22:00 (BST)
Brazil Serie A
Pick: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 21/20
Bookmaker: Bet365
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 14 June 2022)
Preview: Leading the way in Brazil’s Serie A are Palmeiras. The Copa Libertadores holders have climbed to the summit on the back of six wins in eight league games and now renew acquaintances with opponents against whom they would inflict their biggest home win of last season, Atletico Goianiense.
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Table of Contents
Palmeiras – Periquito Verde Serie A’s form team?
A record extending 11th Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A championship, and first since 2018, will have been the collective goal in April when Palmeiras got their league campaign up and running with a home fixture versus Ceara. The team simply lost too many games last time around, resulting in them finishing a distant third. So perhaps it wasn’t so surprising that their first league outing of 2022 would be a misstep.
Palmeiras fell to a 3-2 defeat in that opener. Accruing a meager sum of two points from their first three Serie A assignments. Since then, though, the side of Abel Ferreira, who would guide the club to their third Copa Libertadores triumph the previous season, has barely looked back. Rising to the top of the standings after a run of six wins in eight (D2). Keeping a sixth consecutive clean sheet in the recent win in Coritiba.
Key Stat: Since a 3-2 home loss to Ceara in their opening Serie A fixture of the new season, Palmeiras would concede only once – in a 1-1 draw vs Fluminense – across five subsequent home league games.
Atletico GO – Dragons unlikely to fight fire with fire?
If anyone can relate to Palmeiras for needing a few games to find their feet, it is the side from Goiania, Atletico Goianiense. Failure to win any of the first six Serie A fixtures, picking up just three points, meant a prolonged spell in the relegation places for a side that had came home in a respectable ninth place last season. Back then they could bank on the league’s second meanest defence to ensure points ticked over.
That same defensive solidity hasn’t been in evidence for much of 2022, with clean sheets scarce – just two so far – and the rate of goals conceded creeping up, from 0.95 in 2021 to 1.18 in 2022. Those shutouts were both earned recently, though, coinciding with easily their most productive period of form. Producing a third win in five, and second in quick succession, last time out at Fluminense to climb up into 15th (of 20).
Key Stat: In 2021, 29% of Atletico Goianiense matches in Serie A went over 2.5 for goals. That figure has regressed further still in 2022, with just 18% of 11 league games in 2022 seeing three or more goals.
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Palmeiras Vs Atletico Goianiense
Having dropped only two points in their past eight Serie A games, it is entirely understandable Palmeiras should be such commanding favourites to ensure all three points stay in Sau Paulo. Abel Ferreira’s side are in imperious form. Perched atop the table, they have limited their last six opponents to no goals as they churned out five wins ‘to nil’. Another, against opponents beaten 4-0 here in 2021, is the selection.
Palmeiras Vs Atletico Goianiense – Key Facts:
- Across the previous eight league head-to-heads, Palmeiras would only fail to win one encounter – a 1-1 draw as hosts in February 2021. That was also the only instance of Palmeiras not winning this fixture to nil since 2012 (W3 D1).
- All six of Palmeiras’ Serie A victories in 2022 were ‘to nil. Meanwhile, there were fewer than three goals (under 2.5) in 9 of Atletico Goianinense’s 11 league games this season.
- Both Atletico Goianiense away defeats this season were without scoring. Their recent form is encouraging, however, having lost just once in their last five (W3 D1 L1).
While the home side are fully expected to make it eight wins in nine league meetings between the teams, there is less confidence in their ability to ensure the margin is as emphatic as last season’s 4-0 scoreline. Palmeiras would score 2+ on only three occasions this term (11 games), while Atletico GO – whose 11 Serie A games seen Under 2.5 return 19% of the time – were breached more than once on only two instances.
Best Betting Odds – Palmeiras Vs Atletico Goianiense
Palmeiras – 2/5 (Bet365)
Draw – 19/5 (888Sport)
Atletico Goianiense – 7/1 (Betway)
