Peru Vs Brazil
Peru Vs Brazil Wednesday 14th October 2020 – 01:00 (GMT)
South America (CONMEBOL) World Cup Qualifying
Pick: Brazil & Under 3.5 Goals
Odds: 13/10
Bookmaker: Betfair
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 11th October 2020)
Preview: A first competitive meeting between two countries who contested last summer’s Copa America final, which Brazil ultimately won on home soil. Can Peru claim their revenge inside the Estadio Nacional, situated in the Peruvian capital of Lima, on Wednesday?
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Table of Contents
Peru Preview – Penchant for dull affairs to be in evidence?
Not many would have seen a 2-2 draw with Paraguay coming. That was precisely how Peru got their 2022 World Cup qualifying campaign up-and-running, however, securing a potentially priceless point away in Asunción. The result itself was thanks in large part to the exploits of Andre Carrillo; the Al-Hilal attacker grabbing both goals, the latter of those an 85th-minute leveller, to ensure his team-mates didn’t depart empty handed.
The reason Thursday’s outcome came as such a surprise was that goals had been in short supply for Peru, whose five prior matches, all in friendlies, produced a combined six goals. All but one went Under 1.5. It was also the first time they had scored more than once in any match-up (seven games) since turning over Chile at last year’s Copa America, when winning 3-0 on what was essentially neutral soil in Brazil.
The following game they were beaten 3-1 by the hosts, whom they meet for the second time since a 3-1 loss in Rio de Janeiro in the final of the Copa America. Peru would actually claim a surprise 1-0 victory when these teams contested a friendly in November of last year, with La Blanquirroja (The White and Red) once again leaving it until five minutes from the end to strike a decisive blow in Los Angeles, USA.
Brazil Preview – Selecao primed for sterner examination in Lima?
For Brazil, who made qualifying for the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia look an absolute breeze when winning 12 and losing only one of 18 qualifiers (W12 D5 L1) to comfortably finish ahead of everybody else, the pressure is on. Not only are they expected to perform to a similar standard this time around but, as Copa America holders, they are once again the prized scalp on the South American continent.
In qualifying for the last World Cup, Brazil would actually fall to defeat first time out, losing 2-0 in Chile. However, they wouldn’t lose another qualifier after that. Therefore it was perhaps ominous, even if the win was nothing less than was to be expected, that there were no first game jitters on this occasion, thrashing Bolivia 5-0 at home for the second successive qualifying campaign.
More strenuous and challenging assignments await, of course, but the Selecao can be difficult to rein in once in their groove, as was the case in Sau Paulo on Saturday. Even the out-of-form Roberto Firmino bagged himself a couple of goals, as Marquinhos and Coutinho also made telling contributions. That a second win on the spin (3-0 vs South Korea) having failed to win in any of their five prior friendly encounters (D3 L2).
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Peru Vs Brazil Betting Advice
Although Peru did come out on top in these sides most recent encounter – a 1-0 win for a friendly in the United States – it came at a time when Brazil were seemingly suffering from the effects of winning the recent Copa America and was among five friendly encounters the Selecao failed to win. In competitive meetings, however, Brazil can boast six wins from the last seven (W6 L1). That includes the 2019 Copa America final (3-1).
Peru Vs Brazil – Key Facts
- Five of the last six matches involving Peru produced Under 2.5 Goals. Thursday’s 2-2 draw in Paraguay, in which all four goals were second in the second half, the anomaly.
- One goal conceded in the eight previous matches played either away from home or on neutral ground for Brazil, who during that time registered six victories to nil.
- Peru may have prevailed in the pair’s most recent encounter – winning 1-0 in a friendly late last year – but have one win from the last seven competitive meetings (W1 L6).
As already highlighted in the Peru segment, goals are typically few and far between for the hosts. Prior to Thursday’s 2-2 draw in Paraguay, Peru’s five previous matches had produced a combined six goals. Four, meanwhile, ended with a single goal scored. The firepower within the Brazilian ranks clearly merits attention, however, as does the fact their past eight games outside of Brazil seen them concede just one goal, winning six to nil.
Best Betting Odds – Peru Vs Brazil
Peru – 9/2
Draw – 17/5
Brazil – 1/2
All of the above odds provided by Betfair.
