Plymouth vs Oxford
29th December 1945hrs
Football – England – League One
Pick Draw
Bookmaker 888sport
Odds: 13/5 odds taken 2056 GMT Monday, 28th December
Plymouth just appears to be turning the corner after having gone through a really rough patch of form.
They have avoided defeat in their last two on the path to recovery.
The Pilgrims play host to Oxford who are only a point behind them in the League One standings.
The U’s they arrive looking for their third straight league win.
Table of Contents
Plymouth Preview – Pilgrims steadying the ship
After a terrible six-match losing streak of form, Plymouth have steadied the ship a little bit in League One.
They have taken four points from their last two games, picking up a win in their last home fixture against Milton Keynes.
That moved them on to a W6 D2 L2 record this season on home turf in league action, which isn’t bad at all.
They have averaged 1.6 goals per home, not the worst of returns.
But half of their home wins this season have come against teams who are currently having some big troubles down in the bottom four.
For Tuesday night’s game Plymouth are rolling out as the 7/4 underdogs in the match outright* (odds recorded 2056 GMT Monday, 28th December).
Of the six home wins that the Pilgrims have recorded this season, four have been by a one-goal margin.
They have also been running with a big trend of leading at the halftime break. Plymouth have been in that position in 7 of their 10 home fixtures.
A Plymouth HT win is 11/5 to show up on Tuesday night in football betting* (odds recorded 2056 GMT Monday, 28th December).
The Pilgrims have scored 62% of their home goals this season in the first half of matches.
They have also scored the opening goal in 8 of their 10 home fixtures this season, it’s closing out games that have been their bigger issue.
Plymouth collected a 3-0 home win over Oxford the last time that they hosted them, which was in January last year.
They don’t have a great head to head record against the U’s, having won only two of their past against them in all competitions.
Still, as they had back into action, Ipswich are the only team in League One to boast a better home record than Plymouth this season.
Oxford Preview – Can the U’s extended unbeaten form?
Oxford are in pretty good shape at the moment having won their last two games.
Those were both victories to nil over AFC Wimbledon and Northampton.
One thing that jumps off the page immediately is that Oxford have conceded in just one of their last five league games.
They are heading south for Tuesday’s game as the 2/1 underdogs for the match win* (odds recorded 2056 GMT Monday, 28th December).
That’s because their away form has not been all that hot this season.
Oxford are currently at W2 D2 L5 on their travels this season.
That record has improved recently with a three-match undefeated streak of away form, drawing their last two.
But Oxford are averaging under a goal per away game this season with only the one clean sheet on the board.
So that’s the kind of thing that could prevent them from leaving with a midweek victory.
Interestingly, of the eight league defeats Oxford have been hit with in this campaign, all but one of them have been by at least a two-goal margin.
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Oxford have scored 7 of their 8 away goals this season in the second period of matches.
The half time draw option for this clash isn’t an unreasonable 13/10 punt to consider* (odds recorded 2056 GMT Monday, 28th December).
There are currently only four teams with a worse away record than that of Oxford in League One.
But will their recent unbeaten run of seven league games, home and away, help them to at least avoid defeat at Home Park?
This is an intriguing one with not much to choose between the two sides.
Plymouth vs Oxford Betting Advice
Which way do we go on this one?
This should be tight and we are immediately drawn to the 13/10 HT Draw option* (odds recorded 2056 GMT Monday, 28th December).
We think Oxford, given how resilient they have been recently, and how much improved their defence has been, can stay on an even keel at the half time break.
We think overall that the visiting U’s are good for a draw out of this one.
Key Facts – Plymouth vs Oxford Betting Tip
- Plymouth have lost six of their last eight league games
- Plymouth have won one of their last four league games at Home Park
- Oxford are undefeated in three away games
Plymouth have yet to really prove that they have turned the corner and with a lack of wins, we are heading to the outright draw.
That is a quote of 13/5 in the match outright as we just can’t see too much between them on the night* (odds recorded 2056 GMT Monday, 28th December).
Oxford have improved to back to back wins, but those have been at home.
The best betting odds for Plymouth vs Oxford
Plymouth to win: 7/4 at Bet365
Draw: 13/5 at Bet365
Oxford to win: 7/5 at Bet365
