Stevenage vs Cheltenham
20th April 1900hrs
Football – England – League Two
Pick Cheltenham to win
Bookmaker William Hill
Odds: 11/10 odds taken 18:49 GMT April 18th
Cheltenham head into action on Tuesday night, second in the table behind Cambridge. A win could put the Robins back to the top on the night.
Cheltenham had an upset on the weekend so they need to bounce back to keep up their push for automatic promotion.
They face a Stevenage side who have just fallen out of form, with no win collected in their last three games. Can Cheltenham make the most of this opportunity?
Table of Contents
Stevenage Preview – Can Stevenage deny Cheltenham?
It has been back to back league defeats for Stevenage who went down 1-0 at home against Mansfield on the weekend.
That leaves them with a W8 D7 L6 home record for this campaign.
They are down in the bottom half of the table, well clear of any relegation issues and too far from the play offs.
So there’s really nothing at stake for them in this contest.
In the match outright for League Two football betting, the home win is a 14/5 option* (odds recorded 18:49 GMT April 18th).
Before that loss at home on the weekend, Stevenage had gone undefeated in seven on home turf and had won four of their last six there.
But their record against the current top four this season hasn’t been great.
They hold a W1 D3 L2 record home and away games the teams in the automatic promotion spots.
Defensively they have looked pretty sound.
Stevenage have conceded an average of just 0.76 goals per home game in this campaign.
Only 38% of their home games for the season have made it over 2.5 goals.
Stevenage have conceded 69% of their home goals against them in the first half of matches.
We don’t see this being a particularly high-scoring game.
So the under 2.5 goals option is at 4/7 odds* (odds recorded 18:49 GMT April 18th).
To back that up, Stevenage have the third-best defensive record in League Two.
They have, however, conceded in each of their last four home fixtures.
They just haven’t been particularly prolific going the other way as they are the third-lowest scorers.
Can Stevenage do enough to record themselves a good home win?
Cheltenham Preview – Robins need a victory
Cheltenham lost 1-0 at Crawley on the weekend, but they are still in a good place in the league.
They are second in the table, two points behind leaders Cambridge with a game in hand over the U’s as well.
But they will want to get themselves up and running to get to the finish line of earning automatic promotion.
Cheltenham’s away form in the league hasn’t been too hot recently.
The Robins have taken one point from their last three away games.
That has left them with a W10 D5 L6 road record this season.
It has been one victory in their last five on the road (D1 L3).
So there have been some wobbles and most of their away defeats this season have happened against teams in the bottom half of the table.
Look at the defensive output of Cheltenham, that has been good.
They have conceded under a goal per away game on average in this campaign.
So that just backs up the probability of a low scoring fixture playing out on Tuesday night.
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Only 38% of Cheltenham’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals and each of their last four road games have been under.
They have been a fairly strong first-half team away from home. Cheltenham have scored 70% of their away goals this season in the first half of matches.
Putting things together, perhaps considering a narrow Cheltenham win in a low scoring game, the Cheltenham 1-0 correct score option is there at 5/1* (odds recorded 18:49 GMT April 18th).
At this stage of the season, Cheltenham aren’t going to care in what manner an away win is taken.
As long as they get it.
Stevenage vs Cheltenham Betting Advice
Cheltenham have the second-best away record in the division and we fancy them to take the three points at 11/10* (odds recorded 18:49 GMT April 18th).
Their away form hasn’t been terrific lately, but the finish line is in sight and that surely has to motivate them.
Cheltenham’s defeat on the weekend should have given them a wake-up call as well that the job’s not done.
Key Facts – Stevenage vs Cheltenham Betting Tip
- Stevenage are the third-lowest scorers in the division
- Stevenage have the third-best defensive record in the league
- Cheltenham have the second-best away record in League Two
Cheltenham are better than their recent road record so we think that they can just sneak this.
The Cheltenham to win by a 1 goal margin is at 13/5* (odds recorded 18:49 GMT April 18th).
Stevenage haven’t been in bad shape at home recently, but we see them missing out on the win.
The best betting odds for Stevenage vs Cheltenham
Stevenage to win: 14/5 at Bet365
Draw: 11/5 at Bet365
Cheltenham to win: 11/10 at Bet365
