AC Milan Vs Fiorentina
AC Milan Vs Fiorentina Sunday 1 May, 2022 – 14:00 (BST)
Italian Serie A
Pick: AC Milan to WIN
Odds: 4/6
Bookmaker: WilliamHill
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 28 April 2022)
Preview: Following up their seven goal classic in Florence earlier in the season won’t be easy but AC Milan and Fiorentina will undoubtedly try, as the latter aim to revive their season away to the Serie A leaders.
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Table of Contents
AC Milan – Scudetto number 19 now theirs to lose?
There would have been an air of anxiety among those of an AC Milan persuasion ahead of Wednesday’s rearranged fixture in Emilia-Romagna between Bologna and Inter Milan. The latter presented with an opportunity to assume the outright lead in this all-Milanese Scudetto tussle. In dramatic circumstances, though, Inter faltered, leaving their rivals four flawless rounds from clinching their first title since 2011.
Unfortunately for Stefano Piolo and his players, the run-in is far from straightforward. All four remaining opponents currently reside in the top-half. But they will have seen what Udinese did to Fiorentina in midweek and sense blood. Moreover, Milan are on a high following their recent win over Lazio, claiming a deserved victory that made it 12 Serie A games unbeaten (W7 D5) courtesy of Sandro Tonali’s stoppage-time winner.
Key Stat: Milan have alternated between drawing and winning across their previous six home outings in Serie A. The Rossoneri were 2-0 winners against Genoa last time out at the San Siro.
Fiorentina – Can Viola stop the rot in Milan?
A promising season is threatening to unravel at an alarming rate. Having fallen agonisingly short of making the cut for the final of the Coppa Italia, succumbing 2-0 on the night in Turin to lose 3-0 on aggregate to Juventus, Fiorentina would then lose twice in as many league games. As if losing 2-0 away to third-bottom Salernitana was bad enough, they then went and got smashed 4-0 at home by mid-table Udinese.
The latter marked Viola’s heaviest at home for six seasons. Although Infogol’s xG model implied they were unfortunate to be on the end of such an unflattering scoreline (FIO 2.80 – 3.01 UDI). Nevertheless, that result has got to leave a sting. Only out of the top-six on goal difference though, don’t rule out a strong response from a team boasting creditable outcomes recently away at Inter (1-1) and Napoli (won 3-2).
Key Stat: Fiorentina are looking to make it six consecutive Serie A away games scoring at least once, though they last registered a clean sheet on the road in a 1-0 victory over Uidinese in September.
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AC Milan Vs Fiorentina Betting Advice
Provided they pick up the full twelve points from the four games which remain, Milan will be crowned Serie A champions for the first time in more than a decade. Their run-in isn’t easy, though, beginning with a visit from Fiorentina who still harbour genuine aspirations of finishing in the top-six. With so much at stake for both parties, could we witness something akin to their seven-goal thriller in Florence last November?
AC Milan Vs Fiorentina – Key Facts:
- First place welcomes seventh as AC Milan go about reversing the 4-3 scoreline they found themselves on the wrong side of earlier in the season in Florence.
- Fiorentina were beaten 2-1 by Salernitana in their most recent away outing. However they would claim positive outcomes in each of their two previous away games, drawing 1-1 with second in the table Inter Milan and winning 3-2 at third-place Napoli.
- This Milan side might prove a tougher proposition however. The Rossoneri are unbeaten in Serie A since mid-January (W7 D5), conceding once across their last seven games.
Fiorentina won a seven-goal classic the last time the sides clashed, and boast wins on two of three prior visits to San Siro against AC Milan. The visitors cannot be underestimated therefore, despite a jarring period which has seen them lose three on the trot by a margin of 8-1. I’ll take Milan to win then. Although, don’t be surprised if the visitors make it a seventh consecutive away league game on the scoresheet.
Best Betting Odds – AC Milan Vs Fiorentina
AC Milan – 4/6 (WilliamHill)
Draw – 14/5 (PaddyPower)
Fiorentina – 9/2 (Bet365)
