Atalanta vs Roma Betting Tip Over 3.5 goals – 15 February 2020

Goals galore in Serie A

Edin Dzeko /AS Roma ©imago images / Independent Photo Agency 15.02.2020

ItalyAtalanta vs RomaItaly
15th February 1945hrs
Football – Italy – Serie A
Pick Over 3.5 goals
Bookmaker Betvictor
Odds: 21/20 odds taken 2000 GMT, Friday 14 February

This is a massive game in the context of the top four in Serie A. Atalanta, in fourth, are three points clear of Roma with it likely one or the other competing in next season’s Champions League.

Bet at Betvictor


Atalanta Preview – Can Atalanta end their mini slump at home and increase their lead over Roma?

This game marks a massive week in the context of Atalanta’s season as they face the team they are in direct competition with for a top four finish in order to qualify for next season’s Champions League. It’s then followed by the first leg of their last-16 tie in this year’s Champions League at home to Valencia on Wednesday. These are the pressure games that the club want to be in, though, and they are very much hoping it’s the next stage of their progression.
One of the positives going into these games is that striker Duvan Zapata is returning to full fitness and scored the first of their two goals in the win over Atalanta last weekend. He scored 23 in Serie A last season but has missed months with injury this time around.
Our betting prediction:
Atalanta to score in both halves

Bet at William Hill


Despite not being able to call upon Zapata, Atalanta are still the league’s top scorers and their all-out attacking style makes them so enjoyable to watch. Their tally of 61 goals is a league high and eight more than anybody else.

It’s no surprise, then, that the average goals for games involving them is also the highest at four per game. There’s no doubt they are the entertainers of Serie A but it’s a style that is also very effective for them.

Roma Preview – Will Roma recovery from two straight defeats and go level on points with their opponents?

Just as you think Roma are taking control of the battle for fourth and hitting top form for the season they go and revert back to an inconsistent version of themselves which has held them back under Paulo Fonseca. Defeat away to Sassuolo and at home to Bologna in consecutive weeks have seen Roma drop out the top four and hand the initiative to Atalanta.

It means they have not won any of their last four in all competitions and just one of their last six in the league.

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Fonseca will not be too downbeat just yet, though, as his team’s attacking play has been very good and they are scoring plenty of goals. It’s at the other end where they are struggling at the moment and no clean sheet in their last eight Serie A games tells it’s own story. They have conceded 15 goals in that run of games which is just putting too much strain on their chances of winning games.

The coach also knows that a win on Saturday would put them back level with Atalanta in the race for fourth which, when you consider their recent troubles, is a big incentive.

Atalanta vs Roma Betting Advice

Nothing will be decided in terms of fourth spot regardless of what happens in this game but a six-point cushion would be huge for Atalanta entering a really busy period of the season. Roma’s struggles in the last month or so have left them playing catch-up but they are more than capable of taking all three points here and getting on level terms with their rivals.

Key Facts – Atalanta vs Roma Betting Tip

  • Atalanta are the top scorers in Serie A this season with 61 goals in 23 games
  • Roma come into this game on the back of two defeats, handing the advantage to Atalanta in the race for fourth
  • Atalanta were impressive winners when the teams met in the capital back in September


It was Atalanta who took the spoils in the first meeting between the two this season and they are unbeaten in their last four games against Roma with a couple of draws in recent times.

It’s an interesting match-up as Atalanta are strong on the road than at home and the visitors have lost just twice away. As such I’m inclined to leave the result alone and concentrate on goals. Over 3.5 goals is a speculative bet but with two of the last three meetings finishing 3-3 and four of Roma’s last six games having four or more goals in them it’s one worth backing.

The best betting odds for Atalanta vs Roma


Atalanta to win: 3/4 at Bet365
Draw: 16/5 at Bet365
Roma to win: 3/1 at Bet365