Cagliari vs Napoli Betting Tip Draw – 16th February 2020

Cagliari can avoid defeat against Napoli

Jose Callejon /Napoli ©imago images / Pacific Press Agency 16.02.2020

ItalyCagliari vs NapoliItaly
16th February 1700hrs
Football – Italy = Serie A
Pick Draw
Bookmaker Bet365
Odds: 14/5 odds taken 21:50 GMT, Friday 14th February

Part of Sunday’s action from Serie A is this very interesting contest between Cagliari and Napoli. While it is the visitors who are kicking off as favourites for the match, Napoli haven’t been in terrific form. This doesn’t have the look of being an easy fixture for them against a team sat above them in the table. Can Cagliari take their chance at home?

Bet at Bet365


Cagliari struggling to rediscover form

The first part of the season went pretty well for Cagliari. They lost their opening two games of the campaign, but then went unbeaten from the middle of September all the way through to the middle of December. However, they are currently slumping on a winless run of nine league games (D4 L5).

Their home record for the season is W5 D2 L4 and are winless in three on home soil (D1 L2). Two of their home losses this season have happened against teams starting in the top-three, so Cagliari haven’t done too bad. But on the flip side of that, they have only won one of their six home games against teams inside the current top ten.

Cagliari have averaged exactly two goals per home game, but they haven’t managed to back that up with a good defensive output. They have only managed to pick up one home clean in Serie A this season, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per home game. They have actually conceded at least 2 goals in each of their last six league home games.

Our betting prediction:
HT Draw

Bet at Boylesports

(odds taken 21:50 GMT, Friday 14th February)

But the current stats don’t look good for them. Certainly not enough to jump all over them to back them for a win. But there are trends to consider like five of their last six home games making it above the 2.5 goal line.

There has been a total of 29 goals scored this season in the second half of Cagliari’s home games. In contrast, there have been just 11 first-half goals. Home and away, Cagliari are without a clean sheet in 12.


Can Napoli handle the away trip after midweek?

Napoli did have an extra workload in midweek as they played the first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final away at Inter (which they won). The domestic league season has not been great for Napoli who start the weekend down in the bottom half of the table. They have suffered five losses in their last eight league starts (W3).

Away from home Napoli are W4 D4 L3 this season. They did get a win in their last road game, a 4-2 success at Sampdoria, but last weekend in league action, Napoli lost at home against the relegation-throated Lecce.

Home and away, Napoli have just three wins in their last fifteen games. Napoli have averaged 1.9 goals per away game this season. Breaking down their away record makes for even more interesting reading.

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Napoli have played out a D1 L3 record in their four away games this season against teams starting the weekend in the top 10. They also lost 1-0 at home against Cagliari earlier this season. Napoli have secured just the one away clean sheet during this campaign.

They have, however, taken a clean sheet in 7 of their last 8 away games against Cagliari in all competitions, riding a four-match winning streak on the road against them.


Cagliari vs Napoli Betting Advice

Napoli have the head to head form going without a question. But they are vulnerable at the back and this season have not beaten anyone of note away from home. So while they have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last three Serie A games, the draw may have the most appeal in this weekend’s fixture.


Key Facts – Cagliari vs Napoli Betting Tip

  • Cagliari took an away win over Napoli earlier this season
  • Cagliari are winless in nine league games
  • Napoli have won their last four visits to Cagliari


Napoli did have that extra game in midweek, a tense cup semi-final and that could play to Cagliari’s favour. The home side are not in any kind of form themselves at the moment, but because they do average two goals per home game, they may have enough to avoid defeat. Draw.


The best betting odds for Cagliari vs Napoli

Cagliari to win: 11/4 at Bet365
Draw: 14/5 at Bet365
Napoli: 10/11 at Bet365