Juventus Vs Spezia Betting Tips & Predictions

Can plucky visitors keep Old Lady quiet?

Nicolo Rovella / Juventus ©IMAGO / Independent Photo Agency 27.08.2022

Italy Juventus Vs Spezia Italy

Wednesday, 31 August 2022 – 19:45 (BST)
Italian Serie A
Pick: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 27/20
Bookmaker: Unibet
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 29 August 2022)

Preview: Following back to back draws, Juventus find themselves playing catch up even at this early juncture. They next face a Spezia side who can be heartened with their exploits thus far, but who would lose all four prior Serie A meetings between the teams.

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Juventus – Discontent on the rise in Turin?

Another stodgy attacking display in Saturday’s 1-1 draw with Roma at Allianz Stadium provided further ammunition for an ever increasing faction in Turin who believe their team are drifting aimlessly under the current managerial regime. So far this season Juventus have scored four from 2.87xG (as per Infogol), so have actually overachieved, but a significant portion of that came in their opening 3-0 win over Sassuolo.

In the games which followed, the Old Lady scored once – Dusan Vhalovic’s stunning yet speculative free-kick over the weekend – from 0.99xG as they drawn back to back against Sampdoria and Roma. They were beaten both times in the Expected Goals battle, so are a touch fortunate to have as many as five points at this stage. Those results, meanwhile, means it is one league win in six (D3 L2) going back to last season.

Key Stat: Juventus have lost one home league game in 14 (W8 D5) since the start of last December, but would win only twice across their last six as a Serie A host (W2 D3 L1).


Juventus Win To Nil



Spezia – Ligurians off to solid start?

Expectations for the season ahead are more of less the same for the still little known outfit from Liguria, in the north-west of the country. Back for a third consecutive spell in Italy’s top tier, Spezia will want to better finishes of 15th and 16th in 2022-23 and have made positive in-roads in that respect. Their recent 2-2 draw at home to Sassuolo making it four points from the first three games (W1 D1 L1).

Already there is daylight, to the margin of three points, between themselves and the Serie A drop zone. That could change quickly though. Especially as it is Juventus up next for Luca Gotti and his players. Spezia have lost all four Serie A meetings by an aggregate of 11-3. Succumbing without scoring on both visits to Turin. Moreover, their solitary away assignment so far ended with them well beaten at Inter (3-0).

Key Stat: Last season, Spezia failed to score away to the teams who finished second, fourth, sixth and seventh, losing all of these games, but would spring a surprise by going to champions AC Milan and Napoli and leaving with three points.

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Juventus Vs Spezia Betting Advice

It remain early days but Juventus are posting a negative xG process after three rounds, which accurately reflects why they only have five points thus far. The Old Lady certainly haven’t found their groove (2.9 xGF and 3.1xGA, as per Infogol) but this is nothing compared to Spezia who struggled to a similar degree in the creative department but cannot stem the flow of chances being conceded (2.8xGF and 6.2xGA).


Juventus Vs Spezia – Key Facts:

  • Wednesday will mark only a fifth-ever Serie A meeting between the clubs. Juventus boast a 100% record thus far though, winning both times as the hosts ‘to nil’.
  • After opening their 2022-23 Serie A campaign with a rousing 3-0 home win over Sassuolo, Juventus have since drawn back to back games against Sampdoria (0-0 away) and Roma (1-1 home).
  • Three rounds in and Spezia have already sampled every result possible (W1 D1 L1). They were soundly beaten on their sole away outing so far though – a 3-0 reverse at San Siro versus Inter Milan.


The reason for highlighting those underlying numbers is to provide some sort of level-headed outlook on how both teams are performing. It doesn’t look good for Juventus. Spezia, as a side striving to survive at this level, will see their performances fluctuate throughout the season. Juventus, though, have been flat for too long. So, having successfully tipped Under 2.5 Goals in their latest outing, I see no reason to deviate.

Best Betting Odds – Juventus Vs Spezia

Juventus – 3/10 (Betway)
Draw – 5/1 (Betfair)
Spezia – 14/1 (BetVictor)