Lecce vs Sampdoria
1st July 2045hrs
Football – Italy – Serie A
Pick Sampdoria To Win
Bookmaker Unibet
Odds: 11/10 odds taken 03:10 GMT Tuesday 30th June
This is a game of high importance for survival in Serie A. With both teams out of form at the moment, there are a massive three points on offer here.
Lecce are third from bottom, sitting in the relegation zone and they will be hoping to make the most of home advantage to get a win that would take them two points clear of Sampdoria.
So on the other side of the coin, Sampdoria could be looking at a four point cushion between themselves and the drop zone if they collect the win in this basement battle.
Table of Contents
Lecce Preview – Can Lecce make their survival move?
If Lecce are going to get themselves safe this season, three points out of this game could go a long way towards that.
They are third from bottom, but just a point back of Sampdoria and Genoa immediately above them. So there is hope.
However, they are on a poor run of form. It has been four straight losses for Lecce in this current campaign.
The home that they have produced stands at just W2 D4 L7 only and across their home fixtures they have conceded fairly heavily.
Lecce are averaging over two goals against them per home fixture. They have managed just the one home clean sheet.
So it’s fair to say that a win doesn’t look totally plausible for them in this one.
Lecce have scored in each of their last five home games however, with two of their goals happening in the second half of fixtures.
Over 2.5 goals have happened in each of Lecce’s last four home games against Sampdoria.
64% of Lecce’s home games in this campaign have made it above the goal line, not surprising given their average goals against in the season.
In their last game they did hold out to a 0-0 half time score away at Juventus. But then they let the errors creep in and were hammered 4-0.
Sampdoria Preview – Can Sampdoria find the away form?
It has been a poor run of recent form from Sampdoria as well. They are on a three match losing streak in league action.
With that sequence they do face two of the current top five in Inter and Roma.
It hasn’t been much of an away campaign that Sampdoria have put together at all. They are W3 D1 L9 on their travels.
They have lost their last two away games, both by a 2-1 scoreline, but that was against much stronger opposition than Lecce should be.
In total, Sampdoria have shipped a goal in each of their last four games out on the road in Serie A.
It has been an average of a goal per away game that they have taken on their travels, but defensively have come up a long way short.
Sampdoria have conceded at an average of exactly two goals per away game. They have shipped at least 2 goals in each of their last three league fixtures (home and away).
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Over 2.5 goals have happened in each of Sampdoria’s last 7 games, but the question would be how likely is that in this one?
Yes, there are two poor defences here, but the pressure situation is enormous here and that could dampen excitement.
Samdoria have hit the back of the net at least three times in each of their last four away games at Lecce.
They have also been leading at both half time and full time in each of their last four.
It is a four match winning streak that they are on at Lecce and a timely win here would see them take a sizable step towards safety.
Lecce vs Sampdoria Betting Advice
The tension is going to be high here as it’s a game that neither can really afford to lose. Certainly not Lecce.
However, their home record in recent matches against Sampdoria is pretty miserable and we have to side with the visitors coming up with the success.
In their last four league games Lecce have conceded at least four goals in each. That’s problematic to say the least.
Key Facts – Lecce vs Sampdoria Betting Tip
- Lecce are on a four match losing streak
- Lecce have conceded at least 3 goals in each of their last four games
- Sampdoria have won their last four at Lecce
Sampdoria doesn’t care how they win this, as long as they do. They have been up against some tough opposition lately which may be clouding their form.
So we are going to stick with the away win in this one and backing Sampdoria to find a way past the league’s worst defence.
The best betting odds for Lecce vs Sampdoria
Lecce to win: 5/2 at Bet365
Draw: 5/2 at Bet365
Sampdoria to win: 11/10 at Bet365
