AZ Alkmaar Vs Dundee Utd Betting Tip: Away +1.5AH – 11 August 2022

Tangerines capable of bright showing in Netherlands?

Hakon Evjen / AZ Alkmaar ©IMAGO / ANP 04.08.2022

Netherlands AZ Alkmaar Vs Dundee United Scotland

Thursday, 11 August 2022 – 20:00 (BST)
UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification
Pick: Dundee United +1.5 Asian Handicap
Odds: Evens
Bookmaker: Bet365
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 8 August 2022)

Preview: After selling out their ticket allocation for this game, Dundee United will be well supported in the Netherlands as they go about protecting a slender 1-0 advantage from the first-leg. The expectation, however, is that AZ Alkmaar will turn the tie around at their AFAS Stadion – but could a further shock be in store?

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AZ Alkmaar – Rumbled but not out of this tie?

The Dutch outfit were the more productive in Scotland. However that counts for nothing if you don’t put your chances away. As was the case at Tannadice where, despite carving out twice as many efforts on goal – 13 to the six of their hosts, they came away empty handed. Without so much as a goal to show for those endeavours. Back in the Netherlands, can they now find the cutting edge to their play that was missing?

AZ progressed to the Round of 16 in this competition last time round, and so have the experience and quality to turn this around. However, with four of their five victories at home in Europe from the 2020-21 season onwards coming by way of a single goal (all through 1-0 scorelines), extra-time and possibly even penalties may be needed to get it done for the team that placed a disappointing fifth in last term’s Eredivisie.

Key Stat: Six of the 10 previous European home games of AZ Alkmaar witnessed Under 2.5 Goals, while only four of these encounters produced both teams scoring.

 

Under 2.5 Goals
6/5

Betfair

 

Dundee Utd – Ross tenure off to a mixed start?

On an electric night inside a sold-out Tannadice, Dundee United delivered when it mattered. Providing those in attendance a night they won’t forget in a hurry. That was how big last week’s win felt. The players going some way to atoning on behalf of the club for its 10-year absence from European involvement by defeating a “top European side”, in the words of manager Jack Ross. The job is only halfway to be completed though.

Victory last week belied what has been a sluggish start to the new season for United, who are winless two rounds into the 2022-23 SPFL season. Denied an opening day victory away at Kilmarnock, who found an equaliser in the dying moments, The Tangerines were then swiftly brought back down to earth, losing 1-0 at home to Livingston only days after the highs of beating AZ Alkmaar.

Key Stat: Six of the last seven Dundee United matches have seen fewer than three goals. This includes all three of their competitive games so far this season (W1 D1 L1).

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AZ Alkmaar Vs Dundee United Betting Advice

There is an assumption the class and nous of this AZ Alkmaar side, who are something of a regular in European competitions these days, will come to the fore in this deciding leg. It has to, because at 1-0 down they are the ones chasing the tie. At the current market line, though, the expectation must be that they win this a touch cosily. However, turning this around may prove a more arduous undertaken than some expect.

 

AZ Alkmaar Vs Dundee United – Key Facts:

  • Following their 1-0 loss in the first-leg, AZ Alkmaar have now failed to win on 15 of the 17 occasions they’ve encountered a team from the British Isles in European competition (W2 D5 L10).
  • There has been Under 2.5 Goals in three of AZ Alkmaar’s four competitive matches so far this season, and all three of Dundee United fixtures in 2022-23.
  • Four of the past five home wins in Europe for AZ Alkmaar came via a 1-0 scoreline. Moreover, Dundee United have only been beaten by more than a single goal on one instance – 2-0 away to Rangers last season – in their past 11 competitive matches.

 

Dundee didn’t concede many last season, just 44 in 38 SPFL games. Consequently goals rarely flowed, with 34% of these contests seeing Under 2.5 Goals. That was unsurpassed league-wide. At 1-0 to the good, the Scots aren’t compelled to get on the front foot here either. That could frustrate the hosts who haven’t beaten any of six opponents by more than one goal at home in Europe since the start of last season.

Best Betting Odds – AZ Alkmaar Vs Dundee United

AZ Alkmaar – 2/7 (Coral)
Draw – 9/2 (BetFred)
Dundee United – 10/1 (Ladbrokes)