Bath vs Worcester
9th September 19:45hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Bath -18 Handicap
Bookmaker Paddy Power
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 23:10 GMT, Tuesday, 8th September
Bath got themselves an away win at Harlequins on the weekend, which kept them in touch with the top four. They need to not let this opportunity slip by them.
They face a Worcester side who are third-from-bottom in the table and who are the lowest scoring side in the Premiership.
Bath can’t take their eye off the ball in what appears to be an extremely winnable match for them.
Table of Contents
Bath Preview – Bath to make it back to back wins
After a slip up at home in a big clash with Wasps in the race for a top-four finish in their penultimate match, Bath responded on the weekend.
They got themselves a comfortable 41-27 away win at Harlequins, which was their fourth win in their last five games.
So all in all, Bath have been in good shape since the restart and they are heavy favourites for this one.
In the handicap market for Bath v Worcester rugby betting a -18 option on the home side is at 10/11* (odds taken 23:10 GMT, Tuesday, 8th September).
Despite them having lost three times at the Rec this season, we actually see that handicap line as being pretty viable.
Their opponents have really been struggling to put points on the board since the restart, and that is why.
Bath posted a 22-21 away win over Worcester when they met for the first time this season back in February.
The last two meetings between these have actually not been settled by a bigger margin than two points.
Four of the last five meetings between Bath and Worcester have gone the way of the home side of the day, Bath’s win at Worcester in January 2018 breaking the sequence.
Bath will also be defending an unbeaten home record at the Rec against Worcester.
Worcester Preview – Worcester head to unhappy hunting grounds
Fifteen times before Worcester have played at the Recreation Ground in all competitions and they have never won there.
In their last fourteen Premiership encounters against Bath, home and away combined, they have managed to win just two of those.
The form of Worcester is almost non-existent as they have won just one of their last eleven Premiership fixtures.
That was a home win over Halruqeins in late August. It was against Harlequins that got their only away win of the campaign as well.
The Warriors are the lowest-scoring side in the Premiership averaging just shy of sixteen points per fixture.
A Worcester +18 handicap for a quote of 10/11 looks a slightly unreliable proposition for this game* (odds taken 23:10 GMT, Tuesday, 8th September).
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Worcester have tallied 24 points only across their last two away games, conceding 91. So there’s a massive discrepancy there.
Only once in their last five games has Wrocester managed to produce more than 17 points in a fixture actually, that one exception being their recent home win over Harlequins.
So the Warriors just don’t look a threat in this fixture especially with the quick turnaround in matches after the weekend.
Bath vs Worcester Betting Advice
Bath are strong favourites to come away with the victory in this match and for us it is all about the margins.
They were back in free-scoring mode last weekend and we would prefer to take the bath -18 for 10/11 than the positive line on Worcester * (odds taken 23:10 GMT, Tuesday, 8th September).
Key Facts – Bath vs Worcester Betting Tip
- Bath have won four of their last five league games
- The Warriors have won one away game all season
- Worcester have won 1 of their last 11 league fixtures
Bath have let a few games slip at the Rec this season, but that was against significantly better opposition than Wrocester.
The Warriors have claimed just one away win in this campaign and it’s unlikely that they are going to get much out of this game.
They just don’t have the scoring threat to trouble a good Bath side and a Bath 21/30 winning margin may be worth a look at 3/1* (odds taken 23:10 GMT, Tuesday, 8th September).
The best betting odds for Bath vs Worcester
Bath to win: 1/18 at Bet365
Draw: 40/1 at Bet365
Worcester to win: 8/1 at Bet365
