Bath vs Worcester Warriors
9th January 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Bath To Win
Bookmaker Paddy Power
Odds: 4/5 odds taken 21:49 GMT on January 7th, 2022
Bath return to Premiership Rugby action on Sunday looking for that elusive first win of the season.
It’s been a hard grind for them, collecting just four bonus points in this ten-match winless campaign.
Will they be able to get off the mark against the Worcester Warriors, whose league victories this season have all been on home turf?
Table of Contents
Bath Preview – Can Bath get off the mark?
Ten matches into the season and there has still been no league win for Bath in Premiership Rugby.
The last time that they won in the division was a six-point margin success over Northampton in Round 22 of the previous campaign.
It is not just league form that has evaded them.
Bath are also winless this season in all competitions. Sunday’s fixture will be the first of 2022 for Bath.
In their last league match on home turf at the Rec, they faced rivals Gloucester.
Bath were poor in that one, suffering a 20-40 loss.
Bookies favour Bath
In the match outright for rugby betting, the win for Bath is at 4/5* (odds recorded 21:49 GMT on January 7th, 2022)
That indicates that the bookies clearly think that they have a reasonable chance of getting off the mark against a Worcester team who generally struggle on the road.
There are some positives in the head to head form as well for Bath.
It’s a four-match winning streak that Bath Rugby are on against Worcester in the Premiership since losing to the Warriors at Sixways early in 2019.
Bath have won all seventeen previous home matches against Worcester in all competitions.
A Bath-3 handicap for rugby betting is at a quote of 5/4* (odds recorded 21:49 GMT on January 7th, 2022).
Fifteen times before Bath have hosted the Warriors in Premiership action and it’s been a win for Bath in all of those.
Home and away it is an 83% win rate that Bath have against Worcester. That’s their highest win rate in the league against a single opponent.
So the signs are positive for them on the weekend.
This current 10-match losing streak in the league is the worst ever run of form by Bath in the Premiership.
They may not have a bigger chance of getting off the mark for the season than they will have in this one.
Worcester Warriors Preview – Warriors look for fourth league win
There have been three wins posted this season by the Worcester Warriors in Premiership Rugby.
But each of those were taken at Sixways.
Those wins were against London Irish, Sale and Wasps.
But while they do have those wins, their away form has to be called into question because it is just not very good.
The last away match that they won (all competitions) was at London Irish in September 2020, a fixture played at The Twickenham Stoop.
In the match outright for Premiership Rugby action, Worcester are the 11/10 underdogs* (odds recorded 21:49 GMT on January 7th, 2022).
It is six matches away from home that the Warriors have played in this season’s league campaign.
They hold a W5 D1 record from that, the draw happening against Newcastle Falcons.
To their credit, they have scored 20+ points in their last two away matches at Newcastle and then in a heavy loss at Saracens.
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Worcester Warriors do have a scoring advantage over Bath Rugby, with the Warriors averaging 20 points per league fixture this season.
Bath in contrast averaged 18 points per fixture.
So the narrow handicap market is understandable and the Warriors +2 is at a quote of 10/11* (odds recorded 21:49 GMT on January 7th, 2022).
Worcester haven’t really gotten close to Bath in any of their last four league visits to the Rec.
Each of those five were lost by a margin of at least 15 points.
Will they be the first team to fall to Bath this season?
Bath vs Worcester Warriors Betting Advice
There are clear problems in the defensive area for both of these teams. These two have conceded the most 22 entries per match in this season’s Premiership Rugby.
Worcester have conceded the most points per 22 entry, with Bath conceding the second-highest amount.
It is the Bath home win that has to be supported at a quote of 4/5* (odds recorded 21:49 GMT on January 7th, 2022)
Key Facts – Bath vs Worcester Warriors Betting Tip
- Bath have won all 15 previous league home matches against Worcester
- Bath are still without a win in this league campaign (P10 L10)
- Worcester Warriors are winless in 17 Premiership Rugby away fixtures
Worcester are winless in 17 Premiership away matches (D1 L16) and they didn’t win a single road match in 2021.
That makes it hard to send a great deal of support their way, even though the Warriors are facing a team who haven’t won this season.
This should be fairly tight, but the Bath -3 handicap is applicable at 6/5* (odds recorded 21:49 GMT on January 7th, 2022).
The best betting odds for Bath vs Worcester Warriors
Bath to win: 4/5 at Bet365
Draw: 18/1 at Bet365
Worcester Warriors to win: 11/10 at Bet365
