Bristol Bears vs Saracens Betting Tip Saracens +4.5 – 15th August 2020

Sarries can push Bristol close at Ashton Gate

Jake Heenan / Bristol Bears ©imago images / ZUMA Press January 18, 2020

England Bristol Bears vs Saracens England
15th August 15:45hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Saracens + 4.5 handicap
Bookmaker Betfred
Odds: 6/5 odds taken 05:34 GMT, Thursday 13th August

Reigning Premiership champions Saracens are sitting at the foot of the table, which is where they will stay because of their massive points deduction.

They are being relegated, basically.

As for Bristol Bears, they are having a fantastic season and pushing hard for a top four finish.

Bet at Betfred

 

Bristol Bears Preview – Can Bears resume with a win?

The Bristol Bears were sitting in third place in the Premiership after round 13 of action.

So they will be coming back into action with a lot to play for.

It is a W8 D1 L4 record that the Bears have produced this season, but interestingly they are the lowest-scoring team sat in the top five.

But as a positive, they have been very sharp in defence.

On the back of their strong campaign, Bristol are the favourites to win this game.

A Bristol -7.5 handicap is trading at even money currently* (odds taken 05:34 GMT, Thursday 13th August).

That says a lot about how strong of a season that they are having.

Before the break, Bristol had put together a huge streak of winning form.

Our betting prediction:
Saracens To Win
15/8

Bet at Betfred

(odds taken 05:34 GMT, Thursday 13th August)

 

It is a five-match winning streak in the Premiership that the Bears have going on.

As we mentioned above they are not one of the highest-scoring teams around in contention for the playoffs.

Just once in their last four games have they managed to post more than 20 points in a fixture.

Bristol won their last home game against Saracens, squeaking home by just the two points.

 

Saracens Preview – Can Saracens secure an away win?

Even though they are bottom of the table, Saracens are still a massive threat to teams.

They still have an abundance of star quality in their ranks with which to play out the current season.

It is a W9 L4 record that Sarries have managed this season, which is equal to that of current Premiership leaders Exeter Chiefs.

So they are a team who can’t just be written off at the drop of a hat and looking through the handicap lines, we believe we spot value.

A Saracens +4.5 is at 6/5 odds against and may just be worth considering for this one* (odds taken 05:34 GMT, Thursday 13th August).

Saracens have won their last two league games, taking out Northampton and Leicester in that short sequence.

Saracens have been a little vulnerable on the road, losing two of their last three road fixtures.

They have, however, won four of their last five Premiership games against Bristol.

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Saracens didn’t manage to score more than 30 points in any of their final three games before the break.

The overall head to head is heavily in favour of Saracens. It is a W22 D1 L7 record that they have going against the Bears.

Nine of those 22 wins which they have taken against them have been away from home.

The number of tries that the two teams have amassed is pretty wide, with Saracens having tallied 42 and Bristol just the 32.

We can see this being a closely fought thing at Ashton Gate on Saturday.

 

Bristol Bears vs Saracens Betting Advice

So this is going to be an interesting match, with all of the pressure sitting on the shoulders of Bristol.

It’s been a fine defensive output that they have managed this season and they will need every part of that on Saturday.

We think that Saracens have enough about them to push them really close.

Which is why we would just swing with that +4.5 handicap option on them for 6/5* (odds taken 05:34 GMT, Thursday 13th August).

 

Key Facts – Bristol Bears vs Saracens Betting Tip

  • Bristol Bears are third with a W8 D1 L4 record
  • Bristol Bears have lost four of their last five against Sarries
  • Saracens are W9 L4 this season

 

We’re not saying that Bristol can’t win this. There’s a decent chance that they can grind one out as they did in their last home game against Sarries.

Either way, neither of these are going to get an easy game at Ashton Gate on their return.

 

The best betting odds for Bristol Bears vs Saracens

Bristol Bears to win: 2/5 at Bet365
Draw: 22/1 at Bet365
Saracens to win: 15/8 at Bet365