Denis Shapovalov vs Andy Murray
2nd July 1300hrs
Tennis – London – Wimbledon
Pick Shapovalov -4.5 Games Handicap
Bookmaker Unibet
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 2016 GMT on July 1st, 2021
All credit is due to Andy Murray for having found a way through to the third round of Wimbledon.
He has had to go to a pretty deep well to get through his first challenges and now things get even tougher.
Murray finds himself as the underdog against as he has to face 10th seed Denis Shapovalov for a place in the fourth round.
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Denis Shapovalov Preview – Fresh Shapovalov likely to win
There is a big factor in play here in favour of Canada’s Denis Shapovalov.
He had a walkover in his second round match, so he is going to be super fresh for this third-round match.
Not so much Andy Murray who had a gruelling long time on court on Wednesday.
In the match outright for Wimbledon tennis betting, Shapovalov is a quote of 1/3 odds-on for the success* (odds taken 2016 GMT on July 1st, 2021).
In the opening round of Wimbledon 2021, Shapovalov, who is 10th seed, was taken to five sets.
That was against veteran Phillipp Kohlschreiber. It was a match that was expected to be fairly comfortable for Shapovalov.
But once again, we can’t understate the importance of him resting up for the second round.
Ahead of Wimbledon, Shapovalov played on grass at the Fever-Tree Championships at Queen’s and reached the semi-finals.
He was beaten there in straight sets by Briton Cameron Norrie.
This will be 22-year-old Shapovalov’s first meeting with Murray.
Shapovalov is only in the main draw of Wimbledon for the fourth time in his career. His previous best had been a second-round finish in 2018.
Can he dive even deeper into this year’s draw?
In the set betting market, the 3-0 for Shapovalov is at 6/4* (odds taken 2016 GMT on July 1st, 2021).
Andy Murray Preview – Does Murray have anything left in the well?
Andy Murray, on his return to Wimbledon for the first time since 2017 opened with a 3-1 win over Nikoloz Basilashvili.
That extra fourth set that he needed, was well, the last thing that he needed.
Then going up against Oscar Otte in the second round, Murray had a lot of extra exertion on top to win 3-2.
The two-time Wimbledon champion had been the match underdog for his first round match.
Then at 2-1 down in the second round, the odds were once again stacked against him.
But credit due, Murray went to the well and found a way to win.
In the match outright for Wimbledon tennis betting, Murray is a quote of 12/5 for the victory* (odds taken 2016 GMT on July 1st, 2021).
If he was to get across the finish line successfully in the match, that would easily be his best feat yet on his return.
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Andy Murray delivered that dramatic comeback against Otte to keep his Wimbledon hopes alive.
That was a long and exhausting match and that has to work against him.
In the Games Handicap tennis betting market, a +4.5 for Murray is at a quote of 10/11* (odds taken 2016 GMT on July 1st, 2021).
Can he hold on to cover that kind of margin?
That looks like a big ask and the longer the match goes on, the likelier his challenge is going to fade.
Denis Shapovalov vs Andy Murray Betting Advice
If Shapovalov plays this right he will try and move Andy Murray all over the court as early on in the match as he can.
The young Canadian is fresh and even though he himself was made to work hard in the first round, he should take this.
You can never count Murray out so we think the Shapovalov 3-1 set betting option could feature at 11/4* (odds taken 2016 GMT on July 1st, 2021).
Key Facts – Denis Shapovalov vs Andy Murray Betting Tip
- Denis Shapovalov meets Andy Murray for the first time
- Denis Shapovalov had a walkover in the second round
- Andy Murray fought back from 2-1 down in the last round
Under the circumstances, Murray has done a terrific job to get to the third round. A realistic best-case scenario ahead of the tournament probably would have been the fourth round.
But we don’t think that he will get there.
It’s admirable what he’s done with the crowd behind him.
But it’s a Shapovalov -4.5 Games Handicap we are looking at for 4/5 odds* (odds taken 2016 GMT on July 1st, 2021).
The best betting odds for Denis Shapovalov vs Andy Murray
Denis Shapovalov to win: 1/3 at Bet365
Andy Murray to win: 12/5 at Bet365