Elche Vs Atletico Madrid 
Wednesday, 11 May 2022 – 20:30 (BST)
Spanish La Liga
Pick: Atletico Madrid WIN BY ONE GOAL
Odds: 12/5
Bookmaker: Bet365
(All betting odds correct at time of writing: 9 May 2022)
Preview: With their La Liga status all but secured, can Elche attack a fixture they’ve not won since 2002 in a more relaxed frame of mind? The home side will encounter a motivated Atletico Madrid, though, determined to finish the campaign strongly that would see them qualify for another season of Champions League football.
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Table of Contents
Elche – Mission already accomplished?
Despite an impressive return of seven points from their last four matches moving his team seven points clear of relegation danger with three rounds remaining, Elche head coach Francisco has assured fans that there will be no complacency until safety is mathematically certain. That could come as early as Wednesday, though, when they welcome an Atletico Madrid who beat them only 1-0 earlier on in the season.
Los Franjiverdes have found form at just the right time. However, some of that hard-earned momentum garnered from positives outcomes against Mallorca, Betis and Osasuna (W2 D1) was lost last time, defeated 3-0 on the road by 16th placed Cadiz. It was a dire showing from Francisco’s side who created 0.07 (!) worth of xGF. A mere blip or has the team already checked out mentally with La Liga safety all but secured?
Key Stat: Elche would only fire a blank in four of 17 La Liga home games this season, finding the net in six of their last seven matches at Manuel Martinez Valero stadium.
Atletico Madrid – Top-four guaranteed finish nearing closer?
Sunday’s Madrid derby triumph – their first over Real Madrid in nine attempts – has strengthened the claims of Atletico Madrid for Champions League football next season via a top-four finish in La Liga. Yannick Carrasco scoring the game’s solitary goal from the penalty spot. It was a contest last season’s league champions deserved to win, albeit it was a closer affair than expected against much-changed opponents.
Atletico now hold a six-point cushion over Real Betis in the battle for fourth. Diego Simeone’s men would need to suffer at least two defeats across their final three fixtures to come under any threat from here, which seems improbable when considering how his team only has two losses in 11 La Liga games (W8 D1). Though both did come in their two previous away outings, beaten to nil by Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca.
Key Stat: Having previously found the opponent’s net in seven consecutive away league games, Atletico Madrid would fail to do so in each of their last two said fixtures. They’ve not failed to score in three successive La Liga away games since 2015.
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Elche Vs Atletico Madrid Betting Advice
With both teams close to achieving their seasonal objectives, it is curious which – if either – takes their foot off the gas first as the campaign draws to a close. Atletico Madrid arguably have more work left to do, though, but a win here coupled with Betis dropping points would guarantee them a fourth place finish at worst. Having won all seven La Liga head-to-heads since 2002, the omens are certainly strong.
Elche Vs Atletico Madrid – Key Facts:
- The previous seven La Liga meetings between the clubs were all won by the same team, Atletico Madrid, who ran out 1-0 winners in Madrid earlier on in the season.
- Elche approach this fixture in reasonable shape, however, with one loss in their last four matches (W2 D1) propelling them to the relative safety of 14th in La Liga. They were, however, beaten 2-1 at home by Barcelona and Real Madrid in 2021-22.
- Atletico Madrid are striving to avoid a third consecutive away league defeat, but their form on the whole has been good, with eight wins across their last eleven La Liga games (D1 L2).
On top of possessing a rotten record in this fixture, Elche don’t typically fare well against the division’s better sides. Especially at home. Los Franjiverdes hold losses to Barcelona, Betis, Real Sociedad and Real Madrid on their record here at Manuel Martinez Valero in 2021-22. The winning margin in all but one of these instances was only a solitary goal, though, which suggests the margin should be tight regardless.
Best Betting Odds – Elche Vs Atletico Madrid
Elche – 5/1 (Bet365)
Draw – 13/5 (PaddyPower)
Atletico Madrid – 4/6 (Coral)