Exeter Chiefs vs Newcastle Falcons
6th November 1500hrs
Rugby – England – Premiership
Pick Newcastle +16 handicap
Bookmaker Ladbrokes
Odds: 10/11 odds taken 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021
Exeter had to scrap and fight all the way last weekend to collect maximum points in a victory over Gloucester.
That was a response that they needed though having lost to London Irish in their previous fixture. It has been far from a perfect campaign from the Chiefs.
Newcastle Falcons fly a long way south to take on Exeter on the weekend. They had a bye last weekend so will be arriving in Devon with some fresh legs.
Table of Contents
Exeter Chiefs Preview – Chiefs to bank the home win?
Exeter had a tough match on their hands last weekend as they dug out a victory at Gloucester.
The Chiefs had to mount a second-half comeback to get that as well, having been trailing 13-6 at the half time break.
But the win came and the club would have felt massively relieved as well because they had lost their previous match against London Irish.
Exeter’s win over Gloucester moves them onto a W4 L3 record, with each of those wins coming in their last five.
Exeter had a slow start to the season and it’s been far from a convincing campaign.
But they are the strong odds-on favourite at 1/8 in Premiership rugby betting on the weekend* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
It has been a surprising return from Exeter of just a W1 L2 record at Sandy Park this season.
Those losses came against Northampton Saints and London Irish.
Sandy Park is usually such a fortress for Exeter. They had been on a seven-match winning streak at home before the start of this season.
An Exeter -16 handicap is at the 10/11 line for rugby betting* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
The last time that they hosted Newcastle Falcons, Exeter scored for fun, picking up a 74-3 victory.
But only one of their last three home wins have been recorded by a margin of more than 10 points.
This season home and away combined, 4 of Exeter’s 7 matches have been settled by a margin of 10 points or less.
Newcastle Falcons Preview – Can gritty Falcons make an impact?
Ahead of the new Premiership Rugby season, Newcastle Falcons were one of the favourites to be relegated.
But they will be delighted with their returns of W3 L3 so far.
Once again they don’t look like a high-scoring side but know how to dig things out defensively.
At the close of last weekend, only the top two of Leicester and Saracens held a better defensive record in this season’s Premiership than Newcastle.
In the match outright, Newcastle are 5/1 underdogs* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
Newcastle Falcons will be coming in fresh for this fixture having had a bye last weekend.
The last match they played they lost at Gloucester, but it’s been three wins in their last five matches.
What is really lacking from Newcastle Falcons is the ability to win consistently away from Kingston Park.
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Newcastle Falcons have lost eight of their last ten Premiership away fixtures (L2).
The Falcons have lost their last thirteen visits to Sandy Park in all competitions.
Newcastle have conceded at least 30 points in all of their last seven visits there.
That trend for the Falcons can be translated across their overall away form in the Premiership recently.
They have conceded 30+ points in all but two of their last seven Premiership Rugby road fixtures.
Exeter Chiefs vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Advice
The win should go to the Exeter Chiefs on Saturday as the Devonshire outfit look to build some momentum.
They showed good character to fight back to claim that win at Kingsholm last weekend and can take this.
As the visitors are not a defensive pushover, the Newcastle +16 handicap takes preference at 10/11 for rugby betting* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021).
Key Facts – Exeter Chiefs vs Newcastle Falcons Betting Tip
- Exeter Chiefs have won all previous Premiership home games against Newcastle
- Exeter Chiefs scored 70+ points in last season’s home match against the Falcons
- Newcastle Falcons are W2 L8 in their last 10 Premiership away fixtures
Newcastle do not have the away form in the Premiership to hint at them going to Sandy Park on Saturday and causing an upset.
Sandy Park itself hasn’t been a happy hunting ground for the Falcons who are winless there.
The Exeter 11-20 winning margin may just be about right at 12/5* (odds recorded 21:12 GMT on November 4th, 2021)
The best betting odds for Exeter Chiefs vs Newcastle Falcons
Exeter Chiefs to win: 1/9 at Bet365
Draw: 33/1 at Bet365
Newcastle Falcons to win: 11/2 at Bet365
